Monday, May 6, 2024

143 - Euro Asian Trade bottleneck countries in Mackinder Roadblocks hypothesis

In a ´theoretical´ geopolitical exercise aimed at slowing down or stalling Euro-Asian development and integration by imposing roadblocks to trade, development and intra-state economic activities, several key countries and regions could be targeted.

Is such hypothetical scenario purely speculative or grounded in real-world policies and intentions? Nonetheless, here are some potential targets that could disrupt Euro-Asian development and overview of major export countries in the region.

These are major surplus countries on Euro-Asia and weakened states. Lines represent what I call since 2014 "Mackinder roadblocks":


How can Euro-Asian development and integration be slowed/stopped?

Six Belt and Road Initiative corridotrs (BRI)
known also as One Belt One Road (OBOR) trade corridors

Trade and development is stopped or slowed down by imposing roadblocks on these following International Trade corridors and by weakening security in the region:


International transport corridors in Ukraine

  1. Ukraine: Control over Ukraine's territory, particularly its eastern regions and ports such as Odessa, could disrupt trade routes between Europe and Asia, particularly maritime trade in the Black Sea region and train corridor. As a transit country between Russia and the European Union, Ukraine plays a significant role in facilitating trade flows between Eastern and Western Europe. New Eurasian Land Bridge corridor also called the Second or New Eurasian Continental Bridge was derailed and investment shifted from Russian-Ukrainian route into

    Trans-Caspian International Transport Route.


  2. Turkey: Control over the Turkish Straits (Bosporus and Dardanelles) could allow for the blocking or regulation of maritime traffic between the Black Sea and the Mediterranean, impacting trade between Europe and Asia. Disruption of this trade would be impossible at the moment as Bulgaria, Romania, and Turkey are NATO states and Turkey holds the key to this trade bottleneck in form of 1936 The Montreux Treaty.
  3. Caucasus
    Azerbaijan: Located on the western shores of the Caspian Sea, Azerbaijan serves as a transit country for goods moving between Central Asia, the Caucasus, and Europe. The country's ports, such as Baku, are important hubs for maritime trade in the Caspian region.
    Georgia: Situated in the Caucasus region, Georgia serves as a key transit route for goods moving between Europe and Asia, particularly via the Caucasus corridor. The country's ports, such as Batumi and Poti, are important hubs for maritime trade in the Black Sea region. Control over Georgia's territory and its ports on the Black Sea could disrupt maritime trade routes in the Caucasus region, impacting trade between Europe and Asia.
    Armenia
    : Despite its small size, Armenia occupies a strategic position in the South Caucasus and serves as a transit country for goods moving between Europe, the Middle East, and Central Asia.
  4. Syria:

    Syria's geographic location historically played a significant role in trade along the ancient Silk Road routes, particularly as a connecting point between the Mediterranean Sea and the rest of the Eurasian landmass. T

    he ongoing conflict and political instability in Syria have severely disrupted trade and economic activity in the region. Overland trade between the Middle East and Europe through this route is more or less stalled.

  5. Iraq: Situated at the crossroads of the Middle East, Asia, and Europe, Iraq has long been a vital link for trade between these regions. This Iraq's geographic location has historically positioned it as a crucial trade hub along the ancient Silk Road routes. However, due to various factors such as conflict, political instability, and infrastructure challenges, Iraq's role as a trade bottleneck on the old Silk Road has been diminished in recent times. Instability on land routes connecting to Turkey and Syria has disrupt trade flows between the Middle East and Europe.
  6. Iran: Positioned at the crossroads of the Middle East, Central Asia, and South Asia, Iran plays a crucial role in trade between Europe and Asia, particularly for goods moving by land or sea. Disruptions to maritime traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, controlled by Iran, could impact trade flows between the Persian Gulf and the Indian Ocean, affecting global energy markets and trade routes between Europe and Asia.

  7. Afghanistan: Control over Afghanistan's territory and its major transportation routes, such as the Khyber Pass and other border crossings, could disrupt overland trade between South Asia and Central Asia, as well as between Central Asia and the Middle East.

  8. Pakistan: Control over Pakistan's territory, particularly its ports on the Arabian Sea and land routes connecting to Central Asia and China, could impact trade flows between South Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East.

  9. Russia:

    With its vast landmass spanning both Europe and Asia, Russia plays a pivotal role in transcontinental trade. Key transportation routes, such as the Trans-Siberian Railway and various highways, pass through Russia, making it a critical bottleneck for goods moving between Asia and Europe. Important Northern corridor, North-South transport corridor.
  10. Kazakhstan: As the largest landlocked country in the world, Kazakhstan occupies a strategic position in Eurasia. It serves as a transit country for goods moving between China and Europe, with key transportation routes like the Eurasian Land Bridge passing through its territory. CCAWEC provides an alternative land route route between China and Europe which avoids Russian territory

  11. North Korea: Disruptions to maritime traffic and trade flows in Northeast Asia, particularly through control over ports and coastlines, is impacting trade between East Asia and the rest of the world, including Europe. The frozen conflict is a roadblock for NE Asian progress and development in the region.

  12. Taiwan: Control over Taiwan's territory and its ports could disrupt maritime trade routes in the East China Sea and South China Sea, impacting trade flows between East Asia and the rest of the world, including Europe.

SUMMARY:

Large countries on Euro-Asia: Russia, China, Iran and India are impossible to control. These sovereign countries pursuit their own sovereign interests and can not be controlled in medium to long term directly.

Several countries in Eurasia serve as significant trade route bottlenecks due to their strategic geographic location and due to the level of their transportation infrastructure.

These countries act as crucial nodes in the Eurasian trade network, and any disruptions or congestion in their transportation infrastructure can have significant implications for regional and global trade flows.

Several smaller states were lately purposefully destabilized, weakened. The maintenance of infrastructure was neglected, investments were prevented.

These ARTIFICIALLY created bottlenecks impact the flow of goods and commerce between Europe and Asia. They prevent or limit trade between surplus regions:



MACKINDER ROADBLOCKS (Artificially wakened states on old Silk Roads)

Ukraine: Ukrainian-Russian conflict

Russia: Economical and political sanctions

Caucasus: Azerbaijan-Armenian issue

Syria: Civil war

Iraq: Weak fragmented state'

Iran: Sanctioned

Afghanistan: Weakened state


Artificially induced migration as a weapon

 

RELATED POSTS:


[MRT: this article was since its publishing long term #1 read article on this blog]



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I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
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Saturday, April 27, 2024

142 - UK´s impasse in the case of Nordstream affair?

Impasse or Stockholm syndrome?
(the UK is the main suspect)


"For Europe, Russia’s attack means that we strengthen the European pillar of NATO. Our ability to deter and defend must always be credible. We are therefore deepening our cooperation with the United Kingdom. Thank you, !"

post here


If the UK was indeed the perpetrator as the investigation shows
does this impasse statement by Sunak mean anything about the Nordstream affair responsibility?
post here


***

***
Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

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Friday, April 26, 2024

141 - Jens Stoltenberg´s Freudian slip in Nordstream case?

NATO SG Jens Stoltenberg asked about Ukrainian colonel Roman Chervinsky.

video here

(credit to Freddie Ponton 🇫🇷@LFCNewsMedia)

JS: Who is this? Journalist: The Ukrainian intelligence officer who may be involved in the attack on Nord Stream. Roman Chervinsky, when did you first hear his name? JS: There is an ongoing negoc... investigation, I can't comment It was a very good question, shame Stoltenberg can't remember who the man was and when he first heard of him. If you were to ask Jens Stoltenberg who Zaluzhnyi is, he probably wouldn't remember either.

[MRT: Yes, the research has confirmed that the identity of the perpetrator is well known (the UK) and that there are negotiations on how the situation will be handled. He states that there are national investigations (plural) and that he will not comment on them. There is only 1 known active NATO member remaining investigation and that is by Germany, Sweden and Denmark stopped their investigations.]


RELATED POSTS:




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I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

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140 - Nordstream AG and the insurance case - update


The insurers of Nord Stream have rebuffed claims in their written defense filed at London's High Court, asserting that their policies do not cover damages incurred by gas pipelines due to explosions in 2022, citing the cause as war-related.  Insurers said Nord Stream's policy did not cover damage "directly or indirectly" resulting from war, military actions or the detonation of explosives

[Mrt: This is exactly my point - the war for the definition of the event started straight after the event happened, and could have been actually even started before as data point that some people may have known before it happened.]

Nord Stream is pursuing compensation exceeding 400 million euros ($427 million) from its insurers for the explosions that inflicted damage on pipelines intended for the transportation of Russian gas to Germany.

The insurers also stated that the policy does not cover any damage which happened "under the order of any government".

"The defendants will rely on ... the fact that the explosion damage could only have – or, at least, was more likely than not to have – been inflicted by or under the order of a government," the insurers' lawyer said.

Gazprom, which built the pipelines, and Nord Stream AG did not reply to requests for comment.

link via ErkPerk - here




RELATED POST:



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Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
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Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

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Monday, March 11, 2024

139 - The Legal Trigger - PCA CASE No. 2020-07, PROCEDURAL ORDER NO. 11

One actor hoped that the Nordstream 2 AG will not go online
That actor looked very carefully at the decision on 10 Sept 2022
in which Nordstream 2 AG got Out-of-Bankruptcy exception
It was not possible to wait any longer
There was just 6 months to go
And the water in Baltic sea was getting colder


ON THE MATTER OF AN ARBITRATION 
UNDER THE ENERGY CHARTER TREATY 

- and - 

THE UNCITRAL ARBITRATION RULES 

-between

NORD STREAM 2 AG 

-and 

THE EUROPEAN UNION



14 July 2023 - By e-mail of 1 March 2022, the Claimant informed the Tribunal as follows: 

1. The designation of Nord Stream 2 AG as a US Specially Designated National (SDN) on 23 February 2022 and recent geopolitical developments have led to an inability on the part of the Claimant to pursue the arbitration at this time. In particular, the Claimant’s bank accounts have been blocked, meaning NSP2AG is unable to make any payments or access finance.

2. The Claimant consequently requested a suspension of the arbitration.

...

6. By letter dated 8 June 2022, the Claimant informed the Tribunal that it had been granted a provisional composition moratorium until 10 September 2022 by the Cantonal Court in Zug, by which date the Cantonal Court would decide on a definitive composition moratorium, an extension of the provisional composition moratorium, or a declaration of bankruptcy. The Claimant noted that, given these circumstances, until “that point in time [it] will not be in a position to give any further substantial indication concerning its circumstances, its ability to continue the proceedings, nor on the further conduct of the proceedings, or on timing.

Accordingly, it requested a continuation of the suspension of the proceedings and a postponement of the 20 June 2022 procedural meeting until a date after 10 September 2022. .. ” 





THE TRIGGER:

10 Sept 2022 - Nord Stream 2 gas link operator wins further stay of bankruptcy: court

A Swiss court has granted the operator of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline from Russia to Germany a stay of bankruptcy until early January, as calls from within Germany for the link to be opened continue.

On May 11, Switzerland-based Nord Stream 2 AG was awarded a provisional stay of bankruptcy until Sept. 10, according to a notice in the Swiss Official Gazette of Commerce.

[MRT: There was one rogue actor who was very energy insecure watching this decision carefully. That state actor di not have a legal power to effect the case. The only possible way how to stop the project was a direct hit, a destruction. Just 16 days after on 26-09-2022 both Nordstream 1 and Nordstream 2 are attacked. This decision was a trigger.] 

28 Dec 2022 - Nord Stream 2 pipeline firm gets 6-month stay of bankruptcy

A Swiss court has granted a six-month “stay of bankruptcy” to the operating company for the never-opened Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which was built to bring Russian gas to Germany but put on ice shortly before Russia invaded Ukraine in February.

The company’s stay was extended from Jan. 10 through July 10 by a regional court in the Swiss canton (state) of Zug, according to a notice published Wednesday in the Swiss Official Gazette of Commerce.

Nord Stream 2 AG, a subsidiary of Russia’s Gazprom, is based in Zug. Nord Stream 2’s court-appointed administrator, Transliq AG, sought the extension.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s government halted the certification process for the pipeline on Feb. 22, after Russia recognized the independence of two separatist regions in eastern Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered sent troops into Ukraine two days later, and U.S. President Joe Biden President then directed his administration to impose sanctions on the Nord Stream 2 operating company. 

[MRT: The NOrdstream 2 AG refuses to die - a real Cliffhanger]


ARTICLE 

27 Feb 2024 - Despite explosions: The Nord Stream companies in Zug live on

POST

Despite explosions: The NordStream companies in Zug live on

 


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Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

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138 - Nordstream affair: The UK military silenced

What is going on?
A short news, which everybody overlooked...
Sometimes, silence can speak volumes.
A post about:
"...Truth, that may be uncomfortable..."


[MRT: Tape Face is great commedian, enjoy here]




20 Dec 2023 - Tony Radakin and defence chiefs ‘gagged by paranoid Rishi Sunak’
Prime minister accused of blocking military leaders from speaking




20 Dec 2023Tony Radakin and defence chiefs ‘gagged by paranoid Rishi Sunak’

The Times reports No 10 has advised press officers of a ‘ministers only’ rule preventing senior leading military figures and spy chiefs from giving interviews/ making public statements.
Reason unclear but a source suggests “paranoia over govt messaging before an election”

“The insider added that control in No 10 was worse under Rishi Sunak than under previous prime ministers” “As a result [of raising concerns] Admiral Radakin and General Sandersare said to have been prevented on several occasions from speaking to the media.

Some spy agencies have been blocked from issuing statements about specific events, another source said. One dept dealing with security issues was told it could issue ‘reactive’ statements only in case it distracted from the No 10 agenda”

[MRT: I will be interesting to learn which are those specific events, naval operation perhaps?]

2 March 2024 - HIDDEN ESCALATION: Head of UK armed forces SECRETLY helping Ukraine craft battle plans against Russia

According to reports, Radakin was asked by Prime Minister Rishi Sunak to stay in his post until autumn 2025, a request that was reportedly approved by King Charles III.

FLASHBACK: 

13 Nov 2022 - Defence chief has 'serious' talks with PM and chancellor in face of cash squeeze and Ukraine war

Admiral Sir Tony Radakin tells Sky News's Sophy Ridge on Sunday programme that Rishi Sunak "absolutely" understands the UK cannot have economic stability without security - and that comes at a price.



RELATED POSTS:





***

***
Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

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Wednesday, March 6, 2024

137 - Nordstream and Sergei Naryshkin, director of the Russian Foreign Intelligence Service - The jigsaw puzzle was put together




[MRT: Lately I have been using this picture in Twitter/X] 


5 March 2024 - Signs were present Nord Stream sabotage acts committed by Anglo-Saxons — intelligence

Some indirect signs pointed to Anglo-Saxon countries being behind terrorist acts at Nord Stream and Nord Stream 2 gas pipelines and the "jigsaw puzzle was put together" then, Russian Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) Director Sergey Naryshkin said.

[MRT: The article by Nordic Times has been circulating in Russia for already two weeks+. It has been commented by Elena Panina Director of the Institute for International Strategic Studies, who mentioned that Putin and Hersh stated it was a USA job. My answer and message to her was to have better reading comprehension. Last two days the article has been read by many thousands, thank to Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand who reposted the article, it got over 69k views. More reposts are appearing in DUT, SUI,..] 

"Anglo-Saxons," Naryshkin said in an interview for Soloviev Live television.

[MRT: The Anglo-Saxon suspect has been the consistent claim since the event happened, here is a list of Russian statements about Anglo-Saxons being the culprint.] 


"Certainly, we had information, indirect signs of the ones commiting that. Although these indirect signs were revealed by perpetrators of that," the director noted. "Well, the jigsaw puzzle was put together. And this puzzle clearly points to perpetrators," he added.

[MRT: Indirectly confirming that my research has been validated. Jigsaw puzzle 2x, I often refer that my research clearly points to London.



30 Sept 2022 - AngloSaxons did it (video)

Putin: "There are not enough sanctions for the Anglo-Saxons, they have moved to diversions, organizing explosions on the international gas pipelines of the Nord Stream. It is obvious to everyone who benefits from this. Who benefits from this, is the one who did it"


NOTE: The keyword phrase "Mortymer clearly" in X/Twitter occurrences - search results here



[MRT Appeal: Can someone please thank Sergei Naryshkin 
for the verification and validation of my research?]

Note that I also asked MANY foreign ministers to conduct 
international investigation to verify and check my findings:

post here 

example China


---

PART II

 "Sergei Naryshkin Nord stream"  in the press:

20 Sept 2020 - Russia accuses U.S. of using Russian opposition leader's case to block Nord Stream 2

Washington is using the case of the alleged poisoning of Alexei Navalny to block the Nord Stream 2 pipeline project, Russian Foreign Intelligence Service Director Sergei Naryshkin said

30 Sept 2022Russian spy chief: we have evidence West involved in ‘sabotage’ of Nord Stream pipelines (video)

Head of Foreign Intelligence Service, Sergei Naryshkin, said that Russia has materials pointing to the role of the West in organizing & carrying out explosions at Nord Stream “West is doing everything to hide the true perpetrators & organizers of this international terrorist act”


***

***
Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

(retweet and follow)