Saturday, December 2, 2023

097 - The Nordstream affair, East Red herrings and Mats Ljungqvist - the Swedish investigator - PART 2

SEVERAL EVENTS HAPPENED WHICH COULD BE CLASIFIED AS RED HERRINGS

  • The "Part 1" is here
  • A few days before the attack on Nordstream pipelines there was an attack on the TurkhStream.
  • After Nordstream was attacked there was another unsuccessful attempt on TurkStream 
  • In April 2023 Mats Ljunquist stated that perpetrators planted several Red herrings.

    => Were these drones those Red herrings he spoke about?
=> Could these be before/after Red herrings on the Russian side?
 
What is Red herring

OFFICIAL DATA:

Russia September 2022

22 Sept 2022 - FSB thwarts terror attack on gas pipeline from Turkey to Europe

The would-be terrorist was apprehended when taking two powerful self-made explosive devices from a cache

"The Federal Security Service has thwarted an attempt by the Ukrainian special services to conduct a terror attack on an oil and gas facility being used for energy supplies from Turkey to Europe," the FSB reported. The perpetrator, a Russian national born in 1978, recruited by the Ukrainian security services in Ukraine, and his four Russian accomplices have been detained, the FSB added.

The would-be terrorist was apprehended when taking two powerful self-made explosive devices from a cache. Mobile devices with text and audio records of his conversations with a curator and instructions on how to assemble the explosive device and money transfer details as well as the coordinates of the intended explosion site were found on the Ukrainian security service agent.

 22 Sept 2022 - Russia Says It Thwarted Attack on Energy Link to Turkey, EU

Russia’s security service said it thwarted a planned Ukrainian attack on infrastructure delivering energy to Turkey and Europe -- a claim Kyiv denied.

 26 Sept 2022 - UK: SBS mentors Kyiv's special operations in the Black Sea

The highly secretive British Special Boat Service is training operatives from Ukraine's 73rd Naval Centre of Special Operations, which carries out special missions for the GUR in the Black Sea.


Russia October 2022

13 Oct 2022 - Saboteurs caught plotting attack on TurkStream pipeline — Kremlin

Dmitry Peskov stressed that "this is an attempt on a route that remains in a functional state, fully loaded, running like clockwork"

13 Oct 2022 - Russia detains saboteurs trying to blow up TurkStream

A Russian-Turkish project has been subjected to sabotage as attacks continue on Russia's energy infrastructure.

The Russian authorities have detained several saboteurs as they were trying to sabotage and blow up a part of the TurkStream pipeline that is on Russian territory, Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov said on Thursday˙´.

[MRT: Looks like a different saboteur. It is easy to repair pipes on the land compared to the broken undersea line. If the Nordtsream was done by Ukraine why not to use the same technology, mission? Why not to blw them at the same time? Looks like these two are unrelated.]

"Saboteurs were taken, several people were detained - they wanted to blow up [TurkSteam] on our territory, on land," Peskov told reporters. The pipeline starts in the Russian Krasnodar region.

"Moscow does not have the habit of "shooting itself in the leg", Peskov added, dismissing remarks made by Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, who said Russia was planning on sabotaging its infrastructure of gas pipelines.

"We do not tend to shoot ourselves in the leg," Peskov underlined.

According to Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov, the TurkStream gas pipeline would not replace the Nord Streams because they have different capacities.

Investigators from Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) later started a criminal investigation into the blasts as an act of international terrorism.

"There is no doubt that this is an act of international terrorism, the purpose of which is to undermine the energy security of the entire continent," Putin told the Russian Energy Week in Moscow on Wednesday.

Putin previously accused the West of being behind the damage to the Nord Stream pipelines. He said it had already "practically begun to destroy shared European energy infrastructure," stressing that "it is obvious to all who is profiting from this."

Turkey October 2022

18 Oct 2022 - Moscow Plans to Shift EU Export Routes to Turkey

Gazprom wants to rearrange its natural gas pipeline transit routes to Europe through Turkey after the two Nord Stream pipelines were damaged...

Gazprom CEO Alexei Miller said last week during the Russian Energy Week conference in Moscow that the new transit through Turkey could fully replace the lost Nord Stream capacity, potentially alluding that Gazprom intends to increase Turk Stream capacity even further than the planned 63 Bcm/yr.

Putin said Europe must make it clear that it needs the gas from an expanded Turk Stream before Moscow starts investments


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6 April 2023 - State actor involvement in Nord Stream pipeline attacks is 'main scenario', says Swedish investigator

There are certain companies that have certain special missions that mean they could, in theory, carry this out … We don’t rule out anything, but that it is a state actor who is directly or at least indirectly behind this is of course our absolute main scenario, given all the circumstances.

The people who did this have probably been aware that they would leave clues behind and probably took care so that the evidence would not point in one direction, but in several directions … That makes it difficult to clearly point to one actor.

[M: This hints that the investigation is checking relationship between several groups and who knew what at certain time. Then there is of course a deductive logic which points to just one perpetrator - the UK.] 

"I don't want to comment on any specific report but I can conclude that many of the hot theories can be easily ruled out based on what we know from the investigation," he said. 

[M: Same here, there are many Spin doctor theories, read here debunking them.]  

Chief Nord Stream investigator Mats Ljungqvist speaks:

 Same singular state-actor suspected on all sites.

Red herrings were planted

 "Choice of explosive" excludes many actors.  

Ljungqvist really emphasises last point. 


Note that both USA and Russia were excluded from suspects:


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