SUMMARY:
This post looks into the possibility that the secrecy surrounding the Nord Stream pipeline sabotage was breached as early as September 21, 2022, five days before the incident.
The analysis focuses on unusual naval movements and significant meetings among US and European allies.
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
There is a critical questions regarding the origins and nature of the intelligence that may have been exchanged between allies prior to the attack.
In the days leading up to the attack, several high-level meetings occurred between US and European officials, including visits to the USS Gerald R. Ford and discussions among defense and foreign ministers.
The withdrawal of the USS Kearsarge from the Baltic Sea on September 21, 2022, alongside the deployment of a P-8A Poseidon aircraft, are identified as potentially significant events.
Data hint that the Key Intel which was likely shared by Norway on 19-09-2022 got out from the top security envelope and was passed to the security of allies which is shown by looking at communications and movements of naval assets on September 21, 2022.
Notably unusual naval activities by Swedish and Danish vessels near the explosion sites from September 22 to 24, 2022, indicate they might have received intelligence concerning an impending threat.
There is speculation about a possible connection between a new NATO strategy, termed "Deter and Defend," and the circumstances leading up to the attack which is examined in another posts separately.
DATA:
19 Sept 2022 - NOR: Norway Prime Minister, Minister of Defense, SECNAV Visit USS Gerald R. Ford
NORFOLK, Va. - Prime Minister of Norway Jonas Gahr Støre, Norway’s Minister of Defense Bjørn Arild Gram, and the U.S. Secretary of the Navy Carlos Del Toro visited the first-in-class aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford (CVN 78) Sept. 19, 2022.
“The U.S. is our most important ally. The U.S. pledge to support Norway and Europe in times of crisis and war is essential to our security. Norway and the U.S. have a long tradition of close defense cooperation. We are now seeking to develop this even further,” said Støre.
Støre and Del Toro also had the opportunity to hold a series of strategic meetings aboard.
[MRT: see the other post linked at the end, it is describing events on 19-09-2022]
19 - 23 Sept 2022 - USA: US Army Secretary visits Europe, receives update on Ukraine, reaffirms Army 2030
Honorable Christine Wormuth, U.S. Secretary of the Army, visited Germany, Poland and Belgium on her third trip to the region, Sept. 19-23, to receive an update on Ukraine and to reaffirm Army 2030.
In Poland, she and Williams, who also leads NATO’s Allied Land Command, visited U.S. Soldiers supporting Ukraine and reinforcing the Alliance’s eastern flank.
Before returning home, Wormuth traveled to Belgium where she met with Ambassador Julianne Smith, U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO, and the U.S. Mission to NATO, the official representation of the U.S. to the Alliance.
20 Sept 2022 - USA/NOR: Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III Remarks Welcoming Norwegian Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram to the Pentagon
...I'm also mindful of the crucial role that Norway plays as NATO's eyes and ears in the Arctic.
20 Sept 2022 - UK/USA: Secretary Blinken’s Meeting with UK Foreign Secretary James Cleverly
[MRT: Note that after UK-US top level meetings the "special relationship" was supposedly iced, paused "until we figure out what is going on - post here.]
20 Sept 2022 - UK: HMS Queen Elisabeth - NORFOLK, Va. - The amphibious assault ship USS Wasp (LHD 1) had the honor of hosting HMS Queen Elizabeth during the ship’s stay.
[MRT: Diplomatic mission - perhaps to share and coordinate with US about their unstoppable plan to blow up Nordstream?]
20 Sept 2022 - USA: Biden to Skip UN Meeting as Climate Change Moves to ‘Back Burner’
[MRT: Could the reason to manage the iced/paused UK-US relationship be a reason for this switch in plans?]
20 Sept 2022 - USA/GER: Readout of Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Dr. Colin Kahl's Virtual Meeting With German Federal Ministry of Defence Political Director Dr. Jasper Wieck
Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Dr. Colin Kahl virtually met with German Federal Ministry of Defence Political Director Dr. Jasper Wieck today to reaffirm the U.S.-Germany defense relationship.
[MRT: Was this intel data sharing event?]
The two leaders exchanged views on the situation in Ukraine, and discussed other regional issues of shared interest between Allies. They also discussed NATO priorities and work plans for the coming months.
Wieck and Kahl expressed their commitment to deepening the U.S.-Germany defense and security relationship.
20 Sept 2022 - USA/GER: WIESBADEN, HESSEN, GERMANY - Gen. Darryl A. Williams, Commanding General of U.S. Army Europe and Africa hosts an honor cordon welcoming Secretary of the Army Honorable Christine Wormuth in Wiesbaden, Germany. Secretary Wormuth visited Germany to amplify U.S. commitment to the alliance and discuss USAREUR-AF initiatives with senior leaders in theater.
20 Sept 2022 - USA/DK: @mfMorten has now formally met the new US Ambassador...
... to the Kingdom of Denmark @USAmbDenmark. Our most important ally. Stronger together
20 Sept 2022 - USA: Baltic Sea: The US Navy Boatswain’s Mate 3rd Class Neil Kennedy...
... guides an MH-60S Seahawk helicopter, assigned to Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 28, to land on the flight deck of USS Paul Ignatius (DDG 117).
21 Sept 2022 - NATO: Strong partnerships and close cooperation with #NATO commands 🇺🇸 overseas
... are essential to preserve peace and security. To enhance collaborations, COM #JSEC traveled to #Norfolk (VA) earlier this week to meet COM @JFCNorfolk and DSACT @NATO_ACT #WeAreNATO #StrongerTogether
21 Sept 2022: USA/SPA/LAT: U.S. Embassy Riga, @USEmbassyRiga:
21 Sept 2022 - USA/ICE: US Boeing P-8A Poseidon to Keflavik#AmbCarwile and @EmbajadaEspRiga #AmbCámaraAngulo visited Lielvārde Air Base where they met with @USArmy Soldiers and Spanish land forces deployed to #Latvia. 🇺🇸🇪🇸 presence in 🇱🇻 contributes to critical deterrence efforts and demonstrates our ironclad commitment to #NATO Allies.
21 Sept 2022 - USA: Kearsarge group leaves Baltic Sea[MRT: Movements of P-8A are described in this and several posts in more detail]
[MRT: Only a strong reason could change/end the mission. Withdrawal from the area could mean that the USA did not ant any misunderstandings. It was likely still considering options through diplomatic and other channels.]
21 Sept 2022 - USA: Replenishment ship USNS William McLean leaves UK, Portland
[MRT: It is possible that the replenishment in Gdynia was not enough and would there be a large crisis more supplies would be needed.]
21 Sept 2022 - US: Boeing P-8A Poseidon #AE5A9D
[MRT: The P-8A flew from USA to Iceland to Baltic sea. They preferred own data-link over shared NATO data likely for USA´s own security. Only a serious incident which could spark international crisis could have caused this. There are many indices which cross-reference this claim. The uSA did not have the stomach to enter into next European war, this time between Russia and UK the rogue actor as data of this investigation show.]
21 Sept 2022 - SWE: Swedish Navy Rear Admiral Ewa Skoog Haslum, Berga Naval Base
U.S. Marine Corps Capt. Brandon Klewicki (left), and Swedish Marine Capt. Jacob Lindholm (center), joint commanders of the ground force element, greet Swedish Navy Rear Admiral Ewa Skoog Haslum (right), Chief of Swedish Navy, while visiting U.S. and Swedish Marines during exercise Archipelago Endeavor 22 (AE22) on Berga Naval Base, Sweden, Sept. 21, 2022. AE22 is an integrated field training exercise that increases operational capability and enhances strategic cooperation between the U.S. Marines and Swedish forces.
[MRT: A highly unusual visit when the US suddenly vacates the Baltic sea. Note that several local states have started to alert their special units in light of threat from "hybrid attacks from hidden actors"]
21-24 Sep 2022 - DK/SWE: Five days before the pipeline blasts,...
...it was a chilly and overcast day on the east coast of Sweden. The Intelligence Ship - HSwMS - Swedish Corvette „K31 Visby“ (K31) was set on a southward course... The next morning, something must have happened.
The „Visby“ left Karlskrona on 22 September around 08.30 a.m. (06:30 UTC) at 18-20 knots, according to MarineTraffic data, effectively double the speed of its patrol ride on the previous day. Now it was heading southeast for Bornholm. Had it received a radio call instructing it to search for something?
The following day, 23 September, the „Visby“ rounded the island of Bornholm, passing closely by the later explosion site #1 in the process. After leaving the area westward, the naval corvette returned for a second look at explosion site #2 the following day, 24 September, around midday at 12:13 local time..
The Danish Patrol Boat - On the same morning of 22 September when the „Visby“ left Karlskrona seemingly in a hurry, the Danish Navy Patrol Boat „Nymfen“ P524 had already headed to the same waters northeast of Bornholm.
Nymfen left Rodbyhavn 21/9 ~19.50
Focusing on a particular section of the Danish patrol boat’s movements (blue box) near site #2, a search pattern emerges. The location of the blue box is approx. 18-20 km from the later explosion site #2.
The „Nymfen’s“ route on 22 Sept. – blue box: close-up area
The patrol boat’s movements seem to indicate a kind of search pattern. At one point, it almost came to a halt, moving at 1 knot or less (indicated by the red arrows). What information was it that brought the boat out to this location? Where did the information come from?
The fact is the „Nymfen“ was crusing in the highlighted area (blue box) between 08:17 a.m. local Swedish time (06:17 UTC) and 08:41 a.m. (06:41 UTC) — the same time that the Swedish warship „Visby“ was just leaving Karlskrona heading for the same general area.
The routes of the „Nymfen“ (left) and the „Visby“ (top, right) on 22 September.
By the time the „Visby“ arrived near explosion site #2 around 01:00 p.m. local time (11:00 UTC), the Danish patrol boat „Nymfen“ had already left for the nearby port of Nexø on the island of Bornholm.
[MRT: Looks like there was some real reason, intel from somebody, they were rechecking. Similar to the US Poseidon P-8A which primary function is to detect submarines. Was it USA or Norway which alerted them?]
21 Sept 2022 - DK: The Royal Danish Navy Diana-class Patrol Vessel P524 Nymfen left Rødbyhavn
... and headed directly towards the Nord Stream 1 sabotage location. The P524 Nymfen heading straight for the Nord Stream 1 sabotage location overnight is highly unusual, as this would be only the second time in many years that a Royal Danish Navy vessel has taken an interest in the area.
[MRT: On what intel, who provided that and when? What threat were they checking actually? Underwater? later it was revealed that both Sweden and Denmark possess hydroacoustic data. Was there a submarine/mini-submarine/manner or unmanned submersible?]
21 Sept 2022 - NATO: Our new strategy: Deter and Defend
NATO safeguards 1 billion citizens. Today, we are excited to launch our new strategy: ‘Deter and Defend.’
[MRT: Was this new strategy by any chance proposed by the UK and a pre-requisite a calculated move before the event is launched?]
21 Sept 2022 - NATO: ❝We will stay calm and continue to provide support to #Ukraine❞
#NATO Secretary General @jensstoltenberg on Russia’s partial mobilisation and President Putin’s dangerous and reckless nuclear rhetoric
[MRT: Later next week on 26-09-2022 the day Nordstream is blown up, after meeting with Ursula von der Leyen, the same message appears, the EU continues on Tuesday 27-09-2022 impose more sanctions ad allies are asked to provide support to Ukraine]
RELATED POSTS:
200 - US Secretary of Defense Lloyd J. Austin III and the Nordstream affair
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