The hypothesis here is that once NOR blew the whistle to the USA on September 19, 2022, the issue was deemed crucial to the country's security. It was uncertain what reply Russia would take; it was possible that NOR did not know all, and the UK had broader plans. The possibility of a nuclear exchange has not been ruled out. The continent's security was poorer than that of the United States.
Sidenote: The implications for NATO and European Union security must be explained, as the alliance is seriously fractured.
Lets see if this holds water.
Familiarize with previous post here.
DATA:
19 - 23 Sept 2022 - USA: US Army Secretary visits Europe, receives update on Ukraine, reaffirms Army 2030
Honorable Christine Wormuth, U.S. Secretary of the Army, visited Germany, Poland and Belgium on her third trip to the region, Sept. 19-23, to receive an update on Ukraine and to reaffirm Army 2030.
In Poland, she and Williams, who also leads NATO’s Allied Land Command, visited U.S. Soldiers supporting Ukraine and reinforcing the Alliance’s eastern flank.
19 Sept 2022 - USA: The CNN reports thatBefore returning home, Wormuth traveled to Belgium where she met with Ambassador Julianne Smith, U.S. Permanent Representative to NATO, and the U.S. Mission to NATO, the official representation of the U.S. to the Alliance.
(haleytalbotcnn @haleytalbotcnn team @cnn on Capitol Hill // @DardenMBA class of 2026)
20 Sept 2022 - USA/GER: Readout of Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Dr. Colin Kahl's Virtual Meeting With German Federal Ministry of Defence Political Director Dr. Jasper Wieck
Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Dr. Colin Kahl virtually met with German Federal Ministry of Defence Political Director Dr. Jasper Wieck today to reaffirm the U.S.-Germany defense relationship.
The two leaders exchanged views on the situation in Ukraine, and discussed other regional issues of shared interest between Allies. They also discussed NATO priorities and work plans for the coming months.
Wieck and Kahl expressed their commitment to deepening the U.S.-Germany defense and security relationship.
20 Sept 2022 - USA/GER: WIESBADEN, HESSEN, GERMANY - Gen. Darryl A. Williams,
Commanding General of U.S. Army Europe and Africa hosts an honor cordon welcoming Secretary of the Army Honorable Christine Wormuth in Wiesbaden, Germany. Secretary Wormuth visited Germany to amplify U.S. commitment to the alliance and discuss USAREUR-AF initiatives with senior leaders in theater.
21 Sept 2022 - GER/NED: Verteidigungsministerium @BMVg_Bundeswehr: Minister Lambrecht
received her 🇱🇺 counterpart and Deputy Prime Minister @Francois_Bausch today. The focus of the discussions was on the latest developments in 🇷🇺 , the situation on the #NATO eastern flank and in the Sahel, as well as cooperation in the space dimension.
22 Sept 2022 - Inaugural visit by French Armed Forces Minister Sébastien Lecornu
On Thursday, September 22, 2022, Defense Minister Christine Lambrecht will receive the French Minister for the Armed Forces, Sébastien Lecornu, for his inaugural visit to the Bendler Block.
Relations with France are of particular importance to the Federal Government. In terms of security policy, France is the closest and most important partner in Europe. The Aachen Treaty forms the basis for the further expansion of intensive relations, especially in defense policy. In view of the numerous similarities, the unifying goal remains to strengthen Europe's ability to act.
Pressekonferenz Christine Lambrecht und Sébastien Lecornu (franz. Minister für Streitkräfte)
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Great analysis Mortymer! But there's new problem! Uncle Sam cannot meet European energy demand from fracked gas. Qatar may have to terminate contracts with Asian countries for meeting European demand. That means Asian reliance on russian, Iranian and probably Venezuelan energy increases.Ww3 scenario building up?, Maybe !
ReplyDeleteThank you for your words
DeleteConcerning energy importers and exporters.
Years ago I have learned one important postulate:
-> Every energy IMPORTER wants and tries to diversify.
-> Every energy EXPORTER wants and tries to diversify.
-> GEOGRAPHY rules.
There is another one´, about economics/trade and politics:
-> In medium to long run business triumphs over politics.
Rational people will come to power sooner or later and the mess will be cleared out. For Europe has shown to be unreliable partner and customer who SHOULD OF worked with Russia to protect joint project which connects us. It failed, future energy will have this risk premium.