Behavioral Changes: Sudden or suspicious changes in behavior around the time of the incident, like increased secrecy, unexplained absences, or financial transactions. (NOR, US, GER leaders had suddenly changed their schedules to align with future events, Pound moves)
Unusual Activities or Meetings: Patterns of meetings that don't align with normal behavior or routine. Secretive meetings, unusual travel patterns, or sudden changes in behavior (Truss leaving in the middle of the Mini-Budget).
Inconsistencies: Note any discrepancies between public statements and private actions or between different accounts of events. Note shallow explanations of important events.
Access and Opportunity: Means, motive, and opportunity based on their actions and known capabilities. (Only the UK fits the profiling, has strongest motives - here)
Communication Patterns: Communication logs and known interactions for signs of planning, coordination, or post-event cover-up. (Truss messaging, several posts)
Psychological Indicators: Stress indicators, changes in social behavior, or admissions of guilt through indirect means. (Truss going into hiding 3 days before and after the event, her announcement at the UN council, the UK=s long term bashing of RU energy exports)
23 Sept 2022 - Liz truss missing
She was in the House of Commons by Kwasi Kwarteng’s side as he announced his emergency Budget on Friday, supportively nodding and smiling, but she scuttled out of the chamber as soon as the leader of the opposition had responded.
[MRT: Described in a separate post: What the heck happened on Friday 23-09-2022 that Liz Truss scuttled out of the chamber and went into hiding?. She was missing 3 days before and 3 days after. During this time she wrote supposedly a message to Blinken "It is done". What was it about? Was she asked to stop it or was she reporting progress or giving advance warning? This behavior could be connected to other events which happened on the same day, see here: 222 - The Classified Briefing - Cavoli, Nuland, Kahl, Douglas Sims II on 20-09-2022]
23 Sept 2022 - USA/NATO: The 2nd Transatlantic working dinner
Foreign Affairs Minister Bogdan Aurescu attended on Thursday a transatlantic working dinner of the EU and NATO foreign affairs ministers, a traditional event hosted by the US and carried out in New York, on the sidelines of the 77th Session of the United Nations (UN) General Assembly.
23 Sept 2022: Meeting between Baerbock and Lavrov at the UN General Assembly collapsed
A planned meeting between Federal Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Russian chief diplomat Sergei Lavrov in New York has fallen through.
"After they made their requests for negotiations with Sergei Lavrov on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly and received a proposed date from the Russian side, the EU delegations disappeared from the radar," criticized Russian Foreign Office spokeswoman Maria Zakharova on her Telegram channel on Friday.
[MRT: Germany knew, Russia knew, but Germany cancelled. Investigation hints that they tried to protect against the hybrid attack of a friendly state. Russia also knew something was up.]
USA
24 Sept 2022 - USA @UnderSecStateP, Good to meet partner and friend Enrique Mora,
Deputy Secretary General/Political Director, European External Action Service. Building an EU foreign policy. @enriquemora_ at #UNGA. We are committed to the enduring U.S-EU partnership on all our shared global priorities.
25 Sept 2022 - USA: Vice President Kamala Harris to visit the USS Howard (DDG 83) in Yokosuka on Wednesday afternoon.
[MRT: Was she sent to be at the safe place or just a normal typical day of a vice?]
25 Sept 2022 - USA: Capt. Brian Weigelt, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa Chaplain visited #USSGeorgeHWBush to speak with Sailors from our Command Religious Ministries Department. 0
25 Sept 2022 - USA/ROM: Joint Statement on the U.S.-Romanian Bilateral Defense Relationship[MRT: Last paying before suicidal/dangerous assignment? / They estimated a possible conflict.]
On September 24, 2022, U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs Celeste Wallander and Romanian State Secretary Simona Cojocaru met in Romania to discuss a range of bilateral defense and regional security issues.
[MRT: Looks like the US indeed used its operational and informational advantage]
25 Sept 2022 - USA: POTUS: As we manage shifting geopolitical trends—the United States will conduct itself as a reasonable leader. We do not seek conflict. But the United States will be unabashed in promoting our vision for a free, open, secure, and prosperous world.
25 Sept 2022 - GER: Defense Ministry:
As a result of the changed security situation,
the roll call of the Territorial Command of the #Bundeswehr
will take place tomorrow
in the Julius Leber Barracks in Berlin in the presence of
@Bundeskanzler and Minister Lambrecht.
26 Sept 2022 - GER: The @TFK_Bundeswehr (Territorial Command of the Bundeswehr)
has been put into service. The tasks assigned to the command are diverse. Lean structures speed up decision-making processes in order to support the Federal Government's ability to react and act, particularly in crisis situations.20 Sept 2022 - Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Dr. Colin Kahl virtually met with German Federal Ministry of Defence Political Director Dr. Jasper Wieck today to reaffirm the U.S.-Germany defense relationship.
26 Sept 2022 - GER: Olaf Scholz tests positive for COVID-19, German chancellor isolates after catching coronavirus.
A government spokesman announced that Scholz has mild cold symptoms and is isolating in the chancellor’s apartment in the Federal Chancellery.
“This week’s public appointments will be canceled. The chancellor wants to attend internal appointments and the scheduled meeting with the prime ministers of the federal states virtually,” a chancellery statement said.
Scholz just returned from a two-day trip to the Persian Gulf region, where he signed a gas deal with the United Arab Emirates.
26 - 27 Sept 2022 - USA/GER/FRA: 21st TSC and French Logistics Command partner to build interoperability
Maj. Gen. Stéphane Canitrot, commanding general, French Logistics Command, visited 21st Theater Sustainment Command Headquarters in Kaiserslautern, Germany for the first time on September 26-27.
U.S. Army Maj. Gen. James Smith, commanding general, 21st TSC, said building and strengthening relationships benefits both commands and a shared commitment enhances interoperability. “We must be deliberate,” said Smith.
The 21st Theater Sustainment Command executes assigned missions, plans contingency operations in the European theater; while also serving as a Joint Security Area Operations. In doing so, the 21st TSC not only ensures a theater capable of supporting routine operations, but also deterrence and contingency operations. The 21st TSC also enables and facilitates the rapid receiving and deploying of military forces to maintain a strong Europe and execute joint security area operations.
OSLO
26 Sept 2022 - NOR: The Minister of Defense will visit the Norwegian Navy at Haakonsvern on Monday 26 September / Bjørn Arild Gram | Ministry of Defence
Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram will visit Bergen on 26 September.
Gram will meet management and personnel at the Norwegian Navy's base at Haakonsvern. He will receive an orientation at the National Naval Operations Centre, visit the frigate squadron, Bogøytoppen, the minesweeper squadron and the corvette squadron. The Chief of the Norwegian Navy hosts the visit, which lasts the whole day.
26 Sept 2022 - NOR: Today, Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram is on his first visit
to the Norwegian Navy. At Haakonsvern, he gets an insight into how the various squadrons and departments operate.
[The minister of defense at the operational command of Navy in times of worsening security situation. Whole day event when Nordstream is blown up. He knew. He was also the whistle-blower in Norfolk and later in Pentagon dealing with Austin.]
26 Sept 2022 - NOR: State Secretary Eivind Vad Petersson attended a meeting with
the marine insurance company Gard about challenges in connection with the sanctions against Russia.
[MRT. Studying the case and implications, perhaps trying to understand how to frame the upcoming destruction?]
26 Sept 2022 - NOR: Støre skips the opening of the new Baltic pipeline
[MRT: He knew, he was, after all, the whistle-blower]
OPENING OF BALTIC PIPELINE
participation of PM @MorawieckiM, PM of Denmark Mette Frederiksen & @prezydentpl, @AndrzejDuda. The Baltic Pipe is a strategic infrastructure project aimed at creating a new gas supply corridor on the European market. Instead of NOR PM a NOR Energy minister.
[MRT: So Denmark, Poland likely did not know. PL PM and DK PM were there but NOR PM switched with energy minister to attend some very lo event while his defence minister Gram spends whole day of Nordstream attack at the NOR Navy HQ.]
BRUSSELS
26 Sept 2022 - NOR/NATO: Anita Nergaard @NorwayAmbNATO A great honour to meet @NATO Secretary General @jensstoltenberg today to discuss key political & defense issues facing Allies and partners in these challenging times. #WeAreNATO @NorwayMFA
26 Sept 2022 - NATO/EU: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen met with Jens Stoltenberg, NATO Secretary General. (See the -3D Fridays urgent Stoltenberg´s request - on NATO web press release pages.)
26 Sept 2022 - USA/EU: U.S. Mission to the EU, @US2EU National Security Advisor
@JakeSullivan46 met @EU_Commission EVP @TimmermansEU. They discussed 🇺🇸 🇪🇺 shared efforts to address the global climate crisis and transatlantic cooperation to address Russia’s weaponization of energy.
26 Sept 2022: NATO/BLG/DK/NED/NOR/FRA: Admiral Rob Bauer @CMC_NATO:
It was a pleasure to meet with the new Permanent Representatives to #NATO from 🇧🇪, 🇩🇰, 🇳🇱, 🇳🇴, and the new 🇫🇷 Military Representative today. I am looking forward to working together with you to keep our Alliance safe!
AMSTERODAM
26 Sept 2022: DK, Morten Bødskov: @mfMorten Visit to the good people (and dog) in Denmark's Special Operations Command. What skills, overview and will to make a difference! Impressive work. #dkpol @forsvaretdk
[MRT: So Denmark perhaps knew something because they had ship in the area sniffing already... post here]
26 Sept 2022 - NOR/RU: Norway cancels Coast Guard visit to Murmansk
An unofficial visit to the port of Murmansk previously agreed upon between FSB Border Guards and the Norwegian Joint Headquarters will not take place.
[MRT: No reason why so sudden change was given.]
26 Sept 2022 - NOR: NOR embassy in FIN: Good discussions in #Helsinki
between the 🇳🇴 Total Preparedness Commission #totalberedsapskommisjonen & 🇫🇮 @TKomitea on #ResilientCivilians, #Preparedness & #comprehensivesecurity.
[MRT: Other posts explain that Finland got warning, they also were protecting their own key infrastructure. Post here.]
26 Sept 2022 - SWE: Royal Central, King Carl XVI Gustaf, Queen Silvia, Crown Princess Victoria and Prince Daniel will attend the Diplomatic Reception.
26 Sept 2022 - UK/SWE/DK/LAT: Brittiska Ambassaden Stockholm, @UKinSweden:
Good neighbours... The British embassies work as a network in the Nordics and the Baltic states. Nice to have a meeting in Stockholm with visiting colleagues from 🇩🇰 🇱🇹 to talk about cooperation in energy, research and climate.
LONDON[MRT: Interesting UK-DK and UK-LAT diplomatic meeting.]
26 Sept 2022 - UK: According to the article, a phone hack revealed Truss sent a text to U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken a few minutes before the explosion saying “It’s done.”
26 Sept 2022 - UK: Tory MPs furious with Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng as pound crashes
[MRT: Actually once it was clear that the uSA will back-up NATO which indirectly shields UK the pound rebounced and started to go up despit the Friday´s somehow messed up Mini-budget - post here ]
26 Sept 2022 - UK/RU: UK, Russian defence officials meet in London; 26 Sep 2022 (19:01 GMT)
The UK’s chief of defence staff has held talks with the Russian defence attaché at the Ministry of Defence in London.
Admiral Sir Tony Radakin and Colonel Maxim Elovik met as part of ongoing efforts to “strengthen military to military channels of communication” with Russia.
[MRT: Looks like the UK initiated a diplomatic event just to make sure that the attack on Nordstream will not get out of hands and escalate further.]
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