CRIME SEQUENCE RECONSTRUCTION
(JUNE 2022)
PART 7/16
(BASED ON NORDSTREAM FILES MASTER DATA-FILE)
...previously: PART 6 (MAY 2022)
SUMMARY
Part 7 of larger series examining the Nord Stream pipeline incidents.
Exploring DATA from June 2022, contextualizing the incident
KEY TAKEAWAYS:
Primary Suspect: The investigation identifies elements of the UK government as the primary suspect for the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines.
Events in chronological order, grouped - JUNE 2022
After the attack on the Nordstream pipelines a news came out that there was a warning from USA to a couple of European countries. (131)
On one hand reports say that it was a "strategic warning" and it was exactly about the threat against both NordStream pipelines but then those same reports say that it was a vague and non specific nature. This is a bit contradictory as a "strategic" means rather specific. Warning would not be made if it was just some rumors and criticality would be low. The time of the warning is not specified and time when attacks should occurred is also not mentioned.
Was the warning meant to increase general awareness rather than to provide actionable intelligence for immediate defensive measures? Or was there more in it?
It is possible that the news reported the warning as "vague" for several reasons:
Protecting Intelligence Sources and Methods: To safeguard how the intelligence was gathered, which might include sensitive human sources or technical means that could be compromised if too much detail was shared publicly.
Hidden Depth in Communication: There might have been more detailed communications between intelligence agencies or governments behind closed doors. Official public statements often differ from the depth of information shared in secure, diplomatic channels.
But lets not run too fast!
Germany purchased on June 4, 2022 7 additional Boeing P-8A Poseidon and buries MAWS project, to complete a fleet of 12 Maritime Patrol Aircraft (MPA).
15 June 2022 - UK: #RAF Lossiemouth #Skagerrak. It is a strait known as herring. It is a passage for herring to the Baltic Sea. #GURNY01 #43C91F RAF Poseidon MRA1
15 June 2022 - GER: Germany Navy For Five New Boeing P-8A Poseidon Maritime-Surveillance Aircraft Approved
16 June 2022 - GER:#Grube, Germany #Baltic Sea, #ORION52 #3F6006 German Navy P-3C Orion
On June 16, 2022 - GER: #Grube, Germany #Baltic Sea, #ORION52 #3F6006 German Navy P-3C Orion
A first option is that the attacks could have been carried out as an underwater operation using advanced submarine technology. This implies that we are looking at a state and its navy. Although the attacks took place outside the territorial waters of the Nato members Denmark and Sweden, they could be interpreted as an act of war. It is supported by a lot of data (019, 056, 069, 077, 118, 144, 145, 146)
The second scenario is an operation launched from a privately owned surface vessel, such as a fishing boat being used as a platform for divers or submersibles to place explosives. In this case, the attack vessel was hiding in everyday maritime traffic.
-> The gray-zone attack by a Pro-Ukrainian group has been excluded by main Swedish investigator who disclosed that the main scenario is that it was in all blast a same single state actor with significant resources and knowledge and it was not Russia nor USA. (058, 216)
There is another expert opinion available from after blasts. Former mine clearance diver of the French Navy Philippe Chêne talks about Nordstream and explains: This sabotage bears the mark of a military attack, and again: “ not all navies have the necessary skills”. Similar to the statement to Swedish investigator he notes: “Some nations have midget submarines with combat swimmers. These are small submarines with a crew of just a few men. They can be launched from a mother submarine to hit their target. They can deposit loads at this depth. But combat divers do not escape the laws of underwater pressure. Beyond 50 m depth, dives become very complicated in terms of safety." He also explores other possible trajectories like Underwater drone, Underwater Robot, Mobil mines, Magnetic torpedo, and Trapped piston used in so called "pigging". (008, 093, 099)
Norway is experiencing a difficult situation because of the high for its export. Price of domestic electricity in southern part of Norway is very high due to demand from Europe.
On June 5, 2022 - NOR: Norway calls off gas strikes that risked UK supply. The UK imports about 50% of its gas and Norway is its biggest supplier making up 77% of imports, ONS data shows. The Department for Business said: "We have one of the most reliable and diverse energy systems in the world, with access to our own North Sea gas reserves, and the second largest LNG port infrastructure in Europe."
CABLE DAMAGE
The NATO BALTOPS exercise was held between June 5 - June 17, 2022. Note that the exercise precedes the planned Nord Stream AG and Nord Stream 2 AG planned Maintenance works which are conducted usually by 3rd party companies to assess internal and external integrity. It is important for re-insurers, to help to make sure there are no issues with pipelines. Exact details are not known. data are usually compared to previous years. (Nordstream emergency response plan and yearly check-ups).
On 18 June 2022 News: "Yesterday in a joint conversation with @USNavyCNO on board the GORCH FOCK. In difficult times, strong and close partnerships are all the more important. #strongertogether #WeAreNATO"
It is possible that under the guise of NATO exercises and maritime surveillance, UK Special Forces began mapping the Baltic Sea routes, gathering data on the pipeline's vulnerabilities. The UK's navy has such capabilities, including submarines and divers, which could be discreetly positioned to assess and plan for potential sabotage. This could have been done with such secrecy that even allies were unaware of the full extent of UK's intentions. It is possible that some of such activities were discovered by US Navy, confirmed by CIA and then shared with key allies in secrecy due to sensitivity.
Minister-level training
Last winter and spring, a series of multinational military exercises have taken place in the Nordics, while training about political and military crisis management for defense ministers and lead defense representatives is hardly ever mentioned.
“We must be fully ready to react swiftly and efficiently in case of a crisis or threats against our countries. It is important that we constantly work together with our allied and close partners to strengthen our cooperation, not least in the current security policy situation”, Danish Defense Minister Morten Bødskov (S) says in a press statement.
The goal of the exercise was to practice the rapid reaction force’s handling of an escalating crisis, and that in a way that support NATO’s role.
“We are in the middle of a critical time for European and international security and the coming together and discussing issues of mutual interest, as well as demonstrating unity, is essential” says Norwegian Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Center Party) in a press statement.
“Both the meeting and the exercise has shown that our countries are capable and willing to work together to face joint security threats and challenges in our region”, Gram adds."
UK NEWS & MOVES
THE TURBINES AFFAIR
Things got worse as reportedly on June 15, 2022 it was noticed that: "Another turbine was also due for maintenance in 2022 but could not be sent from Russia overseas." This was the reason why Gazprom announced it was reducing the flow through Nord Stream to 67 mmcm/d as one more turbine was taken offline, leaving only two operational turbines. Sanctions on Nord stream had unintended consequences.
At the same time anti Russian gas articles appear in the UK: June 16, 2022 "BASF subsidiary profits from Germany’s Russian gas addiction. Despite the war in Ukraine, in 2022 the chemical giant’s subsidiary Wintershall has piped €14 billion worth of Russian gas across Germany and made €400 million from its Siberian gas and oil fields.
NEW SUPPLY CONTRACTS
23 June 2022 - GER: #Naval Air Station Nordholz #Baltisches Meer(Baltic-Sea), #HUNTER #3F6004 German Navy P-3C Orion
On 23 - 24 June 2022 CNO Hosts Formal Counterpart Visit for Chief of French Navy between USA/FRA officials. Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday hosted the Chief of the French Navy Adm. Pierre Vandier in Washington, D.C., for a formal counterpart visit. The two leaders discussed maritime security, their shared commitment to interoperability, and the importance of ensuring joint forces are ready and trained for the high-end fight. Vandier’s trip to D.C. came at the end of a week-long trip to the U.S. that included stops in San Diego and Norfolk, Va., where he visited Navy commands and spoke with Navy leaders and Sailors.
Confirmation from Twitter post: 23-24 June 2022 "Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday hosted the Chief of the French Navy Adm. Pierre Vandier in Washington, D.C., for a formal counterpart visit, June 23-24"
The news is that: In June 2022 The C.I.A. had warned European governments of potential attacks on pipelines. The warning was supposed to be "not specific", the officials said, and they declined to say whether Russia was identified as a possible attacker.
The C.I.A. issued a "vague warning" in June to a number of European nations, including Germany, that the two Nord Stream gas pipelines that carry natural gas from Russia could be targeted in forthcoming attacks, three senior officials familiar with the intelligence said on Tuesday.
The German publication Der Spiegel was the first to report that the U.S. had provided what intelligence officials call “strategic warning” of a possible attack — a warning that came with no specifics about the likely time or place or manner of a potential strike.
Another report from Tuesday 27th of September about the June 2022 about the warning: "Der Spiegel was the first to report that the The C.I.A issued a vague warning in June to a number of European nations, including Germany, that the two Nord Stream gas pipelines that carry natural gas from Russia could be targeted in forthcoming attacks, three senior officials familiar with the intelligence said on Tuesday what intelligence officials call “strategic warning” of a possible attack — a warning that came with no specifics about the likely time or place or manner of a potential strike... The Biden administration, which in the run-up to the war often accused Russia of planning attacks on Ukraine, was careful on Tuesday not to blame Moscow — or anyone else."
The C.I.A. issued a "vague warning" in June to a number of European nations, including Germany, that the two Nord Stream gas pipelines that carry natural gas from Russia could be targeted in forthcoming attacks, three senior officials familiar with the intelligence said on Tuesday.
The German publication Der Spiegel was the first to report that the U.S. had provided what intelligence officials call “strategic warning” of a possible attack — a warning that came with no specifics about the likely time or place or manner of a potential strike.
Another report from Tuesday 27th of September about the June 2022 about the warning: "Der Spiegel was the first to report that the The C.I.A issued a vague warning in June to a number of European nations, including Germany, that the two Nord Stream gas pipelines that carry natural gas from Russia could be targeted in forthcoming attacks, three senior officials familiar with the intelligence said on Tuesday what intelligence officials call “strategic warning” of a possible attack — a warning that came with no specifics about the likely time or place or manner of a potential strike... The Biden administration, which in the run-up to the war often accused Russia of planning attacks on Ukraine, was careful on Tuesday not to blame Moscow — or anyone else."
Does this mean that Germany and allies knew about the risk on the key energy infrastructure?
What actions have been taken? Was the US navy presence in the Baltic sea preventing escalation by one of its allies? What information has triggered this warning? In what stage the mission against Nordstream was?
Protecting Intelligence Sources and Methods: To safeguard how the intelligence was gathered, which might include sensitive human sources or technical means that could be compromised if too much detail was shared publicly.
Hidden Depth in Communication: There might have been more detailed communications between intelligence agencies or governments behind closed doors. Official public statements often differ from the depth of information shared in secure, diplomatic channels.
Diplomatic Sensitivity: Given the politically sensitive nature of identifying an attacker, particularly if Russia was suspected but not officially named, there might be an inclination to downplay the specificity of the warning to manage international relations.
Managing Public Perception: Minimizing the known details can prevent panic or unnecessary escalation, especially in situations of geopolitical tension.
It is clear that countries which were warned would be definitely curious about the source of the threat. They would implement at least some Limited Preventive Measures, Increased Surveillance, Security around the Key infrastructure, or Readiness of Response teams, but without knowing specifics like the exact location, method, or timing, extensive or targeted protective measures would be challenging. Knowing the timeframe of the event, between June and the Monday 26th of September data should be looked at whether such measures were implemented, where and how. During the time between mid September and the time of explosions on 26th of September 2022 the whole Baltic sea was lit with different police actions, surveillance flights, naval trainings, anti-terrorist drills against protecting many different assets in the area. (179)
It is clear that countries which were warned would be definitely curious about the source of the threat. They would implement at least some Limited Preventive Measures, Increased Surveillance, Security around the Key infrastructure, or Readiness of Response teams, but without knowing specifics like the exact location, method, or timing, extensive or targeted protective measures would be challenging. Knowing the timeframe of the event, between June and the Monday 26th of September data should be looked at whether such measures were implemented, where and how. During the time between mid September and the time of explosions on 26th of September 2022 the whole Baltic sea was lit with different police actions, surveillance flights, naval trainings, anti-terrorist drills against protecting many different assets in the area. (179)
The fact that the attack happened despite the warning suggests either the warning was not heeded sufficiently or that the attackers found a way around whatever measures were implemented. It is also possible that more attempts were done but they were not disclosed due to sensitivity. The weekend just before Monday´s blasts the security situation changed dramatically. (223, 224, 225)
Conclusion is that the more unusual activity the more chance that the warning was more than vague!
Conclusion is that the more unusual activity the more chance that the warning was more than vague!
Based on the vast data collected and analysed (206) it is quite clear that the CIA message about warning had several purposes. One of them was to hint that the USA gave long enough pre-warning to allies about the threat and it was their own responsibility to take care of their energy artery, something they failed. The US Navy Task Force left the Baltic sea on 22nd of September, just a four days before explosions. (111) leaving behind one ship (178) to keep an eye on Russian enclave Kaliningrad (175).
Fools those who can not protect own critical infrastructure. (001, 045, 199)
Fools those who can not protect own critical infrastructure. (001, 045, 199)
For some great opportunity. (178)
The USA was the main beneficiary of the event.
But lets not run too fast!
POSEIDON FLIGHTS
Germany purchased on June 4, 2022 7 additional Boeing P-8A Poseidon and buries MAWS project, to complete a fleet of 12 Maritime Patrol Aircraft (MPA).
These aircraft if the best tech there is for Anti Submarine Surveillance - ASW. (182)
Note that Sy Hersh´s hypothesis has named the flight of the naval P-8A from 26th of September as the one which dropped some buoy which triggered explosions. The analysis has shown that this particular flight got into the area only after the first explosion and was not thus involved in the incident.
It is important to note on this occasion that Norway who has also vast undersea pipelines infrastructure has ordered and deployed from the USA Poseidon ASW planes to protect and monitor own assets.
Flights in the area of Bornholm, the future place of the drama has started for some reason on 20th of September as reported here:
On June 8, 2022 there was a Poseidon P-8A flight from Iceland toward the Baltic sea. Likely naval BALTOPS exercise related (5 - 17 June 2022). USA: #North Atlantic #Baltic sea, #NoCALLSIGN #AE6866 USN P-8A Poseidon
On June 8, 2022 The US Boeing P-8A simply switched off its call sign, several rounds over the NS blast site.
On June 8, 2022 Report that: US and GER military planes conducted activity over future Nordstream attack sites
On June 8, 2022 Report that: US and GER military planes conducted activity over future Nordstream attack sites
On June 10, 2022 Two US Boeing P-8A Poseidon flights detected.
On June 11, 2022 #Baltic Sea #Reykjavik: #NoCALLSIGN #AE6851 USN P-8A Poseidon
15 June 2022 - USA: #Keflavik #Baltic Sea: #NoCALLSIGN #AE67CF USN P-8A Poseidon
15 June 2022 - UK: #RAF Lossiemouth #Skagerrak. It is a strait known as herring. It is a passage for herring to the Baltic Sea. #GURNY01 #43C91F RAF Poseidon MRA1
15 June 2022 - GER: Germany Navy For Five New Boeing P-8A Poseidon Maritime-Surveillance Aircraft Approved
16 June 2022 - GER:#Grube, Germany #Baltic Sea, #ORION52 #3F6006 German Navy P-3C Orion
On June 16, 2022 - GER: #Grube, Germany #Baltic Sea, #ORION52 #3F6006 German Navy P-3C Orion
On June 16, 2022 - GER: #Grube, Germany #Baltic Sea, #ORION52 #3F6006 German Navy P-3C Orion
Poseidon P-8A flights coincided with BALTOPS exercise 5-17 June 2022.
On June 17, 2022 - #Evenskjer #Andøy, #SAINT33 #4781A1 Norway Air Force P-8A Poseidon
Similar pattern of NOR Poseidon flights is shown later in September.
EU SECURITY THREATS ANALYSIS
Report for the EU from June 2022 with name: "IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS - Security threats to undersea communications cables and infrastructure – consequences for the EU" (089) This paper was requested by the European Parliament's sub-committee on Security and Defence (SEDE).
The report states that to prevent attacks is very difficult and requires a combination of surface, undersea surveillance as well as mine-hunting activities to detect threats. The report specifically notes a danger from malicious activities under the threshold of armed conflict. Note that Christian Bueger - Professor of International Relations specialised in maritime security and ocean governance at University of Copenhagen and the main author of the report hints to two main scenarios which may have happened in his article from after explosions.
The report states that to prevent attacks is very difficult and requires a combination of surface, undersea surveillance as well as mine-hunting activities to detect threats. The report specifically notes a danger from malicious activities under the threshold of armed conflict. Note that Christian Bueger - Professor of International Relations specialised in maritime security and ocean governance at University of Copenhagen and the main author of the report hints to two main scenarios which may have happened in his article from after explosions.
A first option is that the attacks could have been carried out as an underwater operation using advanced submarine technology. This implies that we are looking at a state and its navy. Although the attacks took place outside the territorial waters of the Nato members Denmark and Sweden, they could be interpreted as an act of war. It is supported by a lot of data (019, 056, 069, 077, 118, 144, 145, 146)
The second scenario is an operation launched from a privately owned surface vessel, such as a fishing boat being used as a platform for divers or submersibles to place explosives. In this case, the attack vessel was hiding in everyday maritime traffic.
This scenario points us to so called “grey-zone” tactics: an attack by a group acting indirectly on behalf of state interests. The involvement of any government will then be very difficult to verify.
There is another expert opinion available from after blasts. Former mine clearance diver of the French Navy Philippe Chêne talks about Nordstream and explains: This sabotage bears the mark of a military attack, and again: “ not all navies have the necessary skills”. Similar to the statement to Swedish investigator he notes: “Some nations have midget submarines with combat swimmers. These are small submarines with a crew of just a few men. They can be launched from a mother submarine to hit their target. They can deposit loads at this depth. But combat divers do not escape the laws of underwater pressure. Beyond 50 m depth, dives become very complicated in terms of safety." He also explores other possible trajectories like Underwater drone, Underwater Robot, Mobil mines, Magnetic torpedo, and Trapped piston used in so called "pigging". (008, 093, 099)
The interesting information comes from the flights of Poseidon P-8A which are the main anti-submarine detection tool. Their presence from between 21st September to 26th September hints to the USA looking at the threat or trying to detect it. (181)
Note also that there will be huge increase of diplomatic, and military meetings on top level. (073, 120)
Also the amount of naval training will increase: Sweden (076), Poland (075), Germany and Baltic states (118)
NORWAY
Norway is experiencing a difficult situation because of the high for its export. Price of domestic electricity in southern part of Norway is very high due to demand from Europe.
On June 5, 2022 - NOR: Norway calls off gas strikes that risked UK supply. The UK imports about 50% of its gas and Norway is its biggest supplier making up 77% of imports, ONS data shows. The Department for Business said: "We have one of the most reliable and diverse energy systems in the world, with access to our own North Sea gas reserves, and the second largest LNG port infrastructure in Europe."
Note that Norway was already pumping at maximum and many contract re long term. There were speculations about Norway being involved in sabotage but data do not support this view. On the contrary, Norway actually wanted to reduce its energy exports. (028) Data point that Norway actually acted more as a "whistle-blower" from about 19th of September trying to warn allies. (069)
CABLE DAMAGE
Likely unrelated event happened on June 7, 2022 in another place between AFRICA/ASIA. "Internet disruption reported in Africa and Asia after suspected undersea cable damage"
UK RELATED
On June 1, 2022 - Radakin: "A pleasure to welcome fellow chiefs and senior military leaders from Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the United States to London for a meeting of the Five Eyes Partnership."
On June 4, 2022 Liz Truss on her Twitter account: "Thanks to outgoing Estonian Foreign Minister @eliimets - it has been a pleasure working with you. Estonia is an inspiration in its defence of freedom and democracy. Congratulations to new FM @SuttAndres. Look forward to working together to ensure Putin fails in Ukraine."
On June 1, 2022 - Radakin: "A pleasure to welcome fellow chiefs and senior military leaders from Australia, Canada, New Zealand and the United States to London for a meeting of the Five Eyes Partnership."
On June 4, 2022 Liz Truss on her Twitter account: "Thanks to outgoing Estonian Foreign Minister @eliimets - it has been a pleasure working with you. Estonia is an inspiration in its defence of freedom and democracy. Congratulations to new FM @SuttAndres. Look forward to working together to ensure Putin fails in Ukraine."
On June 6, 2022 - UK: Joint leaders statement by the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, the Rt Hon Boris Johnson and the Prime Minister of Estonia, Mrs Kaja Kallas "We agree on the need to end dependence on Russian hydrocarbons as rapidly as possible and will work together to accelerate the development of alternatives."
On June 8, 2022 - Penny Mordaunt, @PennyMordaunt “We are at an inflection point for our country. People have put their trust in us to deliver on their vision. If we fight one other, we’ll fail. If we unite and work as a team, we will succeed. That is our job, and we’d better remember it.”
Penny Mordaunt is one of the suspects. She has been shortly a Defence minister in the past and had the trust by UK Navy after Boris Johnson´s "Party scandal" which caused his resignation. Later during pre-elections when public opinion gives preference to Truss she and the rest of Navy jointly endorse Liz Truss for next UK´s Prime Minister. (054)
YEARLY INTERNATIONAL NAVAL EXERCISE - BALTOPS
International naval exercise in the Baltic Sea, BALTOPS took place: 5 - 17 June 2022. "The biggest naval exercise of the year in the Baltic Sea begins this weekend, where over 45 ships from 14 NATO countries train together. Denmark participates with ships and a specialized mine clearance unit. The Swedish Navy is participating this year with the diving ship Søløven, two ships from the mine clearance force and a team from the mine divers"
YEARLY INTERNATIONAL NAVAL EXERCISE - BALTOPS
International naval exercise in the Baltic Sea, BALTOPS took place: 5 - 17 June 2022. "The biggest naval exercise of the year in the Baltic Sea begins this weekend, where over 45 ships from 14 NATO countries train together. Denmark participates with ships and a specialized mine clearance unit. The Swedish Navy is participating this year with the diving ship Søløven, two ships from the mine clearance force and a team from the mine divers"
On June 9, 2022 BALTOPS: "The ships operate in the waters off Simrishamn in southern Sweden", says the head of MCM DNK, Captain Lieutenant Christian Skov Nielsen from his headquarters, which is set up in the Swedish exercise area Ravlunda, close to Simris. The minesweepers are getting ready to launch the drone and search the seabed. Denmark is not alone in demining off Simrishamn. Units from Belgium, France, Norway and the USA are also deployed.
The NATO BALTOPS exercise was held between June 5 - June 17, 2022. Note that the exercise precedes the planned Nord Stream AG and Nord Stream 2 AG planned Maintenance works which are conducted usually by 3rd party companies to assess internal and external integrity. It is important for re-insurers, to help to make sure there are no issues with pipelines. Exact details are not known. data are usually compared to previous years. (Nordstream emergency response plan and yearly check-ups).
On June 14, 2022 BALTOPS 22: A Perfect Opportunity for Research and Resting New Technology. Experimentation was conducted off the coast of Bornholm, Denmark, with participants from Naval Information Warfare Center Pacific, Naval Undersea Warfare Center Newport, and Mine Warfare Readiness and Effectiveness Measuring all under the direction of U.S. 6th Fleet Task Force 68.
On 15 June 2022 - NATO: Experimentation on new types of unmanned underwater vehicles were also tested off the coast of Bornholm Island, Denmark during the exercise.
On 18 June 2022 News: "Yesterday in a joint conversation with @USNavyCNO on board the GORCH FOCK. In difficult times, strong and close partnerships are all the more important. #strongertogether #WeAreNATO"
On June 24, 2022 Baltic Sea maneuvers: After BALTOPS is before BALTOPS. The fact that Russia is observing NATO forces during such an extensive maneuver with its own fleet movements is consistent with behavior that has been known for years. “It is completely normal for this time of year, and especially parallel to BALTOPS, that the Russian Navy also holds maneuvers,” said Admiral Lenksi. “So there can be no talk of Russian saber rattling in the Baltic Sea at the moment, especially since Russia is also a Baltic Sea neighbor. And we want the Russian Navy to see that NATO is a strong alliance.”
Note that after BALTOPS is finished on June 17th in 24 days after on July 11, 2022 Russia shuts down Nord Stream for repairs, 10 d, starting 11th of July. "Russia has reduced Nord Stream gas exports to Europe as the pipeline enters a scheduled 10-day maintenance period." The typical check-up includes internal and external checkups (022). It could be very risky to place explosions before this date so the "window of opportunity" for placing explosives was rather after July 11th and not during BALTOPS as Hersh´s claim states (121).
GERMAN NAVY & NAVAL SECURITY
During BALTOPS in Germany on June 14, 2022 at ISPK | Dept. for Maritime Strategy & Security: @SeapowerSeries: "We are excited to welcome the new Commander of the Fleet and Supporting Forces, and Deputy Chief of the German Navy, Vice Admiral Frank Lenski"
On June 16, 2022 - chiefdeunavy, @chiefdeunavy: "Trip on board the MARINE 1 with Minister of State @tobiaslindner in Berlin. With #Marine birthday cake in a maritime setting. In intensive and constructive exchange about DEU security policy and the future challenges of the
@deutschemarine"
@deutschemarine"
On 15 - 18 June 2022 Chief of Naval Operations Visits Kiel to attend BALTOPS, Meets with Navy and Government Leaders. NATO Chief of Naval Operations (CNO) Adm. Mike Gilday traveled to Kiel, Germany, June 15-18, for the conclusion of BALTOPS 22. In its 51st iteration, BALTOPS is an annual coordinated exercise that reinforces interoperability with Allies and partners and provides collective maritime security in the Baltic Sea. Gilday visited the guided-missile destroyer USS Porter (DDG 78) at sea during the final days of the exercise.
While in Kiel, Gilday met with Vice Adm. Jan Kaack, Chief of the German Navy, as well as Vice Adm. Frank Lenski, Vice Chief of the German Navy, to discuss operational areas of mutual interest, NATO operations, and Transatlantic security. (Could this be the source of the warning? /118)
The trip culminated with a BALTOPS reception aboard the U.S. Sixth Fleet flagship USS Mount Whitney (LCC 20), where Gilday met with U.S and foreign naval leadership, as well as members of the local community.
U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa and U.S. Sixth Fleet maintains regular rotational forces that operate in the theater throughout the year. These forces include: Forward Deployed Naval Forces guided-missile destroyers, P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft; construction and expeditionary personnel; and Military Sealift Command USNS ships that provide a wide array of support and capability to our forces at sea. This was Gilday’s first visit to Germany.
While in Kiel, Gilday met with Vice Adm. Jan Kaack, Chief of the German Navy, as well as Vice Adm. Frank Lenski, Vice Chief of the German Navy, to discuss operational areas of mutual interest, NATO operations, and Transatlantic security. (Could this be the source of the warning? /118)
The trip culminated with a BALTOPS reception aboard the U.S. Sixth Fleet flagship USS Mount Whitney (LCC 20), where Gilday met with U.S and foreign naval leadership, as well as members of the local community.
U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa and U.S. Sixth Fleet maintains regular rotational forces that operate in the theater throughout the year. These forces include: Forward Deployed Naval Forces guided-missile destroyers, P-8A Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft; construction and expeditionary personnel; and Military Sealift Command USNS ships that provide a wide array of support and capability to our forces at sea. This was Gilday’s first visit to Germany.
On June 18, 2022 U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa/U.S. 6th Fleet, @USNavyEurope @USNavyCNO, Vice Adm. Gene Black, commander, U.S. Sixth Fleet, and @deutschemarine Vice Adm. Frank Lenski, Vice Chief of the German Navy, speak to media at the #BALTOPS22 closing press conference in front of @USSMountWhitney in #Kiel, #Germany
Was it during this time and on these meetings that the US warning was shared with Germany?
Based on increased activity in middle of September, surveillance flights, meetings (222) and other government actions it does look like they knew (118) about a naval threat to its energy security (224) and security in general (223). But they were not alone (179, 225).
THE ORIGIN OF THE WARNING
Covert No-Failure-Allowed Critical Operations require proper planning with preparation of each detail. There had to be some checking of future possible best places for the operation. Some mapping had to be done in the past or close to the explosion date. It is known that it was a complex operation done by a state with significant resources and knowledge as Mats Ljungqist stated. (214)
It is possible that under the guise of NATO exercises and maritime surveillance, UK Special Forces began mapping the Baltic Sea routes, gathering data on the pipeline's vulnerabilities. The UK's navy has such capabilities, including submarines and divers, which could be discreetly positioned to assess and plan for potential sabotage. This could have been done with such secrecy that even allies were unaware of the full extent of UK's intentions. It is possible that some of such activities were discovered by US Navy, confirmed by CIA and then shared with key allies in secrecy due to sensitivity.
If this logic is correct the the plan was already at advance stage and not just on drawing board. Note that the purchase of Poseidon planes by Norway and Germany was accelerated by real needs. (159, 163)
MERKEL´S MISCALLCULATION,
THE CONDITIONAL CERTIFICATION WAS NO LEVERAGE
RUSSIA HAS NOT USED GAS AS A WEAPON
On June 8, 2022 Angela Merkel in the interview: "But it wasn't an easy decision. "The thesis at the time was that once Nord Stream 2 is operational, Putin will stop supplying gas through Ukraine or even attack it." The West ensured that gas was routed through Ukraine anyway, and she continued to receive transit fees. Merkel pointed out that Russia then attacked Ukraine on February 24, when gas was not yet routed through Nord Stream 2 . "In this sense, gas was not a weapon," Merkel said.
Merkel defends Nord Stream 2 decision on June 18, 2022. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel has defended her decisions to build the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea. "I didn't believe in change through trade, but in connection through trade, with the second largest nuclear power in the world," Merkel told the editorial network Germany. But it wasn't an easy decision. "The thesis at the time was that once Nord Stream 2 is operational, Putin will stop supplying gas through Ukraine or even attack it." The West ensured that gas was still routed through Ukraine and that they continued to receive transit fees. Merkel pointed out that Russia then attacked Ukraine on February 24, when gas was not yet flowing through Nord Stream 2. "In this sense, gas was not a weapon," Merkel said.
Liquid gas was too expensive for the German economy
Merkel also justified the procedure at the time with economic considerations. "At the time, the German economy opted for pipeline gas transport from Russia because it was economically cheaper than liquid gas from Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates and later also from the USA," she explained. They were willing to use taxpayers' money to support the construction of two terminals for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Germany. "But until the last day of my tenure, no company built an LNG terminal in Germany because there was no importer who would have booked long-term capacities in advance because of the high price."
There was no leverage, Germany has partly miscalculated on its own and partly has been played. (103)
US Navy, UK Royal Navy, JFC, JEF and ALLIES
On June 8, 2022 Angela Merkel in the interview: "But it wasn't an easy decision. "The thesis at the time was that once Nord Stream 2 is operational, Putin will stop supplying gas through Ukraine or even attack it." The West ensured that gas was routed through Ukraine anyway, and she continued to receive transit fees. Merkel pointed out that Russia then attacked Ukraine on February 24, when gas was not yet routed through Nord Stream 2 . "In this sense, gas was not a weapon," Merkel said.
Merkel defends Nord Stream 2 decision on June 18, 2022. Former German Chancellor Angela Merkel has defended her decisions to build the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea. "I didn't believe in change through trade, but in connection through trade, with the second largest nuclear power in the world," Merkel told the editorial network Germany. But it wasn't an easy decision. "The thesis at the time was that once Nord Stream 2 is operational, Putin will stop supplying gas through Ukraine or even attack it." The West ensured that gas was still routed through Ukraine and that they continued to receive transit fees. Merkel pointed out that Russia then attacked Ukraine on February 24, when gas was not yet flowing through Nord Stream 2. "In this sense, gas was not a weapon," Merkel said.
Liquid gas was too expensive for the German economy
Merkel also justified the procedure at the time with economic considerations. "At the time, the German economy opted for pipeline gas transport from Russia because it was economically cheaper than liquid gas from Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates and later also from the USA," she explained. They were willing to use taxpayers' money to support the construction of two terminals for liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Germany. "But until the last day of my tenure, no company built an LNG terminal in Germany because there was no importer who would have booked long-term capacities in advance because of the high price."
There was no leverage, Germany has partly miscalculated on its own and partly has been played. (103)
US Navy, UK Royal Navy, JFC, JEF and ALLIES
On June 8, 2022 Defence Secretary meets European counterparts for talks in Iceland. The ministers of defence issued a joint statement condemning Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, committing to support Ukraine both militarily and politically, and welcoming the sovereign decisions of Finland and Sweden to apply for NATO membership.
What is "Joint Force Headquarters (JFC)" 9 June 2022 a "Joint Publication 3-33". This publication provides joint doctrine for the formation, organization, employment, and transition of a joint force headquarters (JFHQ) to command and control joint forces. It also provides guidance for the JFHQ to plan, prepare, execute, and assess JFHQs’ operations. Adjusted the scope of the publication from a focus on a joint task force (JTF) headquarters (HQ) to one inclusive of all joint force HQs, including combatant commands.
Press briefing with Norwegian and British Minister of Defense after JEF meeting from June 10 2022: "Leaders from the ten countries in the Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF) will participate in meetings and a table-top exercise in Oslo. After the conclusion of the exercise, Minister of Defense Bjørn Arild Gram and his British colleague Ben Wallace will meet the press. In Oslo, the participants will discuss and explore how the JEF could respond if a crisis should arise. What is the JEF? The JEF is a UK-led coalition of like-minded nations (Denmark, Estonia, Finland, Iceland, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Norway and Sweden), comprising high readiness forces configured to respond rapidly to crises in the High North and Northern Europe." (043, 197)
Joint statement by Joint Expeditionary Force (JEF) Defence Ministers from June 15, 2022: "JEF Defence Ministers discussed current security challenges, including the implications of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and considered the future development of the JEF to ensure it continues to make an effective contribution to security and stability in its core region of the High North, North Atlantic and Baltic Sea. JEF Defence Ministers also took part in a table-top exercise to practise the JEF’s role in responding to an escalating crisis, including the relationship between the JEF and NATO in such a scenario."
Joint Expeditionary Force Countries Practiced Defense-Political Crisis Management from June 17, 2022 "This week, ministers from the JEF states met in Norway to practice how to interact in a crisis situation. “We must be fully ready to act swiftly in case of a crisis or threat against our countries”, says the Danish Minister of Defense.
“The JEF defense ministers discussed present security challenges, including the implications of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and assessed the future development of the JEF to ensure its continuing to provide an efficient contribution to security and stability in its core region consisting of the High North, the North Atlantic, and the Baltic Sea”, the defense ministers say in a joint statement after their meeting. For Norway, the JEF supplements other cooperation formats such as NATO in an early, yet tense situation to get an overview and be able to de-escalate a potentially dangerous development, according to the Armed Forces. (069)
“The JEF defense ministers discussed present security challenges, including the implications of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, and assessed the future development of the JEF to ensure its continuing to provide an efficient contribution to security and stability in its core region consisting of the High North, the North Atlantic, and the Baltic Sea”, the defense ministers say in a joint statement after their meeting. For Norway, the JEF supplements other cooperation formats such as NATO in an early, yet tense situation to get an overview and be able to de-escalate a potentially dangerous development, according to the Armed Forces. (069)
Minister-level training
Last winter and spring, a series of multinational military exercises have taken place in the Nordics, while training about political and military crisis management for defense ministers and lead defense representatives is hardly ever mentioned.
“We must be fully ready to react swiftly and efficiently in case of a crisis or threats against our countries. It is important that we constantly work together with our allied and close partners to strengthen our cooperation, not least in the current security policy situation”, Danish Defense Minister Morten Bødskov (S) says in a press statement.
The goal of the exercise was to practice the rapid reaction force’s handling of an escalating crisis, and that in a way that support NATO’s role.
“We are in the middle of a critical time for European and international security and the coming together and discussing issues of mutual interest, as well as demonstrating unity, is essential” says Norwegian Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Center Party) in a press statement.
“Both the meeting and the exercise has shown that our countries are capable and willing to work together to face joint security threats and challenges in our region”, Gram adds."
UK NEWS & MOVES
Ukraine: Zelensky praises UK’s ‘leadership’ during meeting with Ben Wallace on June 10, 2022.
Deadly cargo: According to Scottish CND and Nukewatch, in a news from 10 June 10, 2022, there were nuclear warhead convoys at the end of the month in May, June and July. The convoys do a return journey from AWE Burghfield in southern England (where the bombs are maintained) to Coulport on the west coast of Scotland (where they’re loaded onto Trident submarines). They travel through Glasgow, a city of 1.6 million people. Each truck was probably carrying two nuclear warheads. On 10 June, according to Nukewatch, a special nuclear material convoy left RAF Brize Norton for AWE Aldermaston, the nuclear bomb factory. (096, 113)
Deadly cargo: According to Scottish CND and Nukewatch, in a news from 10 June 10, 2022, there were nuclear warhead convoys at the end of the month in May, June and July. The convoys do a return journey from AWE Burghfield in southern England (where the bombs are maintained) to Coulport on the west coast of Scotland (where they’re loaded onto Trident submarines). They travel through Glasgow, a city of 1.6 million people. Each truck was probably carrying two nuclear warheads. On 10 June, according to Nukewatch, a special nuclear material convoy left RAF Brize Norton for AWE Aldermaston, the nuclear bomb factory. (096, 113)
Aukus pact: Australia pays $830m penalty to France for ditching non-nuclear French submarines, news on 11 June 11, 2022
There are changes in UK army, announcement on 13 June 2022: "Welcome to General Patrick Sanders who assumes the historic role of Chief of the General Staff at a pivotal time for our security."
There are changes in UK army, announcement on 13 June 2022: "Welcome to General Patrick Sanders who assumes the historic role of Chief of the General Staff at a pivotal time for our security."
THE TURBINES AFFAIR
Gazprom turbines announcement is posted on June 14, 2022. Siemens issued a statement confirming that a gas turbine was ‘currently unable’ to return from maintenance in Canada due to sanctions, adding that the Canadian and German governments have been ‘informed’ and were ‘working on a viable solution’.'
On the same day June 14, 2022 Gazprom announced it was reducing the flow through Nord Stream from 167 to 100 mmcm/d with five out of eight turbines being taken offline. This led to three turbines remaining operational
On June 14, 2022 Canada caught between allies as Germany presses for return of Russian turbine. Robert Habeck, Germany's finance minister and deputy chancellor, has acknowledged that his country made a "grievous mistake" when it allowed itself to become so dependent on Russian energy. But Habeck said Berlin now has no choice but to ask Canada to override its sanctions and return the turbine.
Next day June 15, 2022 other news picked up and shared what was for many a shock: "Gazprom announced it was reducing the flow through Nord Stream to 67 mmcm/d as one more turbine was taken offline, leaving only two operational turbines"
Things got worse as reportedly on June 15, 2022 it was noticed that: "Another turbine was also due for maintenance in 2022 but could not be sent from Russia overseas." This was the reason why Gazprom announced it was reducing the flow through Nord Stream to 67 mmcm/d as one more turbine was taken offline, leaving only two operational turbines. Sanctions on Nord stream had unintended consequences.
News about supplies worries started to spread: "On June 16, 2022 Russian gas flows to Europe fall, hindering bid to refill stores. European benchmark natural gas prices increased by around 30% after Gazprom reduced Nord Stream 1's gas supply to Germany to 40% of the pipeline's capacity. Russia warned that usage of the pipeline could be completely suspended because of problems with the repairment."
Russia, through Tass agency reminds on June 16, 2022 that: "Both strings of Nord Stream 2 are under pressure and gas can be delivered to Germany even now, Gazprom CEO Alexey Miller said during his speech at SPIEF 2022"
Russia, through Tass agency reminds on June 16, 2022 that: "Both strings of Nord Stream 2 are under pressure and gas can be delivered to Germany even now, Gazprom CEO Alexey Miller said during his speech at SPIEF 2022"
At the same time anti Russian gas articles appear in the UK: June 16, 2022 "BASF subsidiary profits from Germany’s Russian gas addiction. Despite the war in Ukraine, in 2022 the chemical giant’s subsidiary Wintershall has piped €14 billion worth of Russian gas across Germany and made €400 million from its Siberian gas and oil fields.
Canada minister announces on June 23, 2022 that: "G7 likely to discuss Russian turbine, but may not find solution"
German chancellor Scholz and Canadian prime minister Trudeau hold a bilateral meeting to discuss gas matters at the G7 meeting on June 27, 2022.
The UK likely later sabotaged the Nord Stream 2 via not delivering new INCOTERMS in time (171) which caused partial Force Majeure and added to sanction which together caused the 2.5 Trillion Margin call on European Energy utilities (024)
DTXG - ÚK´S DIVER EXPLOSIVE CLEAREANCE TEAM
On June 15, 2022 Royal Navy divers from Portsmouth undertake ‘importance’ explosives clearance using state-of-the-art drones in Lithuania. Delta Diving Unit from the Diving & Threat Exploitation Group (DTXG) based on Horsea Island in Portsmouth, practised identifying – and neutralising – a range of explosive devices in the water and ashore across Lithuania. Robots and autonomous vessels were also tested to aid with operations, including the use of Remus – a torpedo-shaped submersible which can survey and map possible ordnance.
On June 20, 2022 European Defence Agency’s C-IED Exercise BISON COUNTER. "Commander Sean Heaton, commanding officer of DTXG, said: “The relevance of what the Royal Navy and our NATO partners have been doing here in Lithuania, could not be clearer."
On June 20, 2022 European Defence Agency’s C-IED Exercise BISON COUNTER. "Commander Sean Heaton, commanding officer of DTXG, said: “The relevance of what the Royal Navy and our NATO partners have been doing here in Lithuania, could not be clearer."
Putting Royal Navy Bomb and Mine Disposal Divers from the Diving & Threat Exploitation Group, through these challenging scenarios ensures we are operationally prepared, and able to respond with agility to any threat to UK and NATO interests.”
The presence of specialist divers with explosive clearance skills should be checked. How did they and their equipment got there? Were they part of the BALTOPS?
RUSSIA CHECKS ON AND PROTECTS NORDSTREAM PIPELINES
News from Bornholm area (more examples to get all interesting data):
News from Bornholm area (more examples to get all interesting data):
On June 16, 2022 Russian Ambassador Summoned Following Violation of Danish Airspace: “Inacceptable breach”. The summons is a reaction to Russia’s violation of Danish airspace on 11 June between 11:08 a.m. and 11:42 a.m., during which time two Russian SU-30 fighter planes were observed over Danish airspace near Christiansø Island and Bornholm Island.
On June 16, 2022 Russia once again intrudes into Danish territory. This time a warship entered Danish waters near Bornholm while thousands attend Folkemødet political festival on the island
On June 17, 2022 - RU/DK: Russian corvette in Danish waters last night - A Russian corvette violated Danish territorial waters twice last night. The incident took place north of Christiansø off Bornholm. Later in the night, the same corvette crossed the territorial waters again, also north of Christiansø. After a call on civilian VHF radio from the Navy's maritime response unit, the Russian ship immediately left Danish territorial waters.
On June 17, 2022 news post: "Russian warship violated Danish territorial waters in Baltic, Danish military says"
On June 17, 2022 - RU/DK: Russian corvette in Danish waters last night - A Russian corvette violated Danish territorial waters twice last night. The incident took place north of Christiansø off Bornholm. Later in the night, the same corvette crossed the territorial waters again, also north of Christiansø. After a call on civilian VHF radio from the Navy's maritime response unit, the Russian ship immediately left Danish territorial waters.
On June 17, 2022 news post: "Russian warship violated Danish territorial waters in Baltic, Danish military says"
On June 17, 2022 - RU: Russian warship violated Danish territorial waters in Baltic Sea. A Russian warship twice violated Danish territorial waters in the Baltic Sea as senior politicians gathered close by for a democracy festival on Friday. The incidents took place as the annual festival attended by senior legislators and businesspeople was under way on a nearby island. The Russian warship entered Danish waters without authorisation at 2:30am (00:30 GMT) and again a few of hours later, the armed forces said in a statement. After a radio message from the Danish navy, the ship immediately left the area. The island of Christianso is located 300km (190 miles) from the Russian exclave of Kaliningrad.
Russian intrusions shown willingness to protect its project. And VERY strongly. Listed news describe a plane and ship violated Danish Territorial zone near the future blasts. Note that those blast sites are in DK and SWE Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ) VERY near Danish and Swedish Territorial Zones (TZ). That for example allows any submarine to hide in water where it is not seen and where Russia can not go based on maritime law. Was this a testing of Russian reaction time? What surface, sub-surface or otherwise suspicious activity triggered Russian surveillance plane and navy to go into that area?
Russian intrusions shown willingness to protect its project. And VERY strongly. Listed news describe a plane and ship violated Danish Territorial zone near the future blasts. Note that those blast sites are in DK and SWE Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZ) VERY near Danish and Swedish Territorial Zones (TZ). That for example allows any submarine to hide in water where it is not seen and where Russia can not go based on maritime law. Was this a testing of Russian reaction time? What surface, sub-surface or otherwise suspicious activity triggered Russian surveillance plane and navy to go into that area?
NEW SUPPLY CONTRACTS
15 June 2022 - EU/IL/EGY: EU signs gas deal with Israel, Egypt in bid to ditch Russia
16 June 2022 - UK: British Gas owner signs deal with Norway firm for extra UK supplies
The British Gas owner, Centrica, has signed a major supply deal with the Norwegian state oil company, Equinor, as ministers scramble to secure domestic energy supplies.
Equinor has agreed to deliver an additional 1bn cubic metres of gas supplies to the company for each of the next three years – enough to heat an additional 4.5m UK homes.
The British Gas owner, Centrica, has signed a major supply deal with the Norwegian state oil company, Equinor, as ministers scramble to secure domestic energy supplies.
Equinor has agreed to deliver an additional 1bn cubic metres of gas supplies to the company for each of the next three years – enough to heat an additional 4.5m UK homes.
UK ACTIONS AND DIPLOMACY PUSHES FOR RUSSIAN STRATEGIC DEFEAT
News from UK: 16 June 2022 Royal Navy's cutting-edge £1.3bn submarine takes to Mediterranean for first NATO mission
The submarine was formally commissioned in September 2021. It joined its sister vessels – HMS Astute, Ambush and Artful – on the front line for the first time in January, spending months in the depths of the North Atlantic and Mediterranean.
Fresh from its deployment to the Arctic, in which it carried out a number of missions including sub-surface stealth raids with Royal Marines Commandos, sister submarine HMS Ambush joined Audacious as it limbered up for full operations off the Scottish coast. The two submarines went head to head in underwater battles in a range of warfare scenarios.
17 June 2022 - UK: Ukraine war: Russia has 'strategically lost', UK armed forces chief Admiral Sir Tony Radakin says
Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, the UK's chief of defence staff, said Russia was under pressure because "it's running out of people and it's running out of hi-tech missiles".
17 June 2022 - UK/UA: UK PM makes second trip to Kyiv — as it happened
17 June 2022 - UK: Explainer: Why Russia drives European and British gas prices
18 June 2022 - UK: Boris Johnson: We will never be secure if we turn our backs on valiant Ukraine
22 June 2022 - UK: Truss: Türkiye is an important partner for the UK. We are key European NATO allies. "I met Vice President @fuatoktay in Ankara & talked about the UK & Türkiye deepening our cooperation in areas including energy, defence and security. We continue to work together to support Ukraine."
GERMANY AND ALLIES
19 June 2022 - GER: “For a strong navy” - Minister Lambrecht announces investments of more than one billion euros nationwide in the infrastructure of the @deutschemarine . The role of the German naval forces as a #NATO partner will thus be strengthened.
20 June 2022 - RU: Russia's Sarmat heavy ICBM to enter service at end of year
Russia's first RS-28 Sarmat heavy intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) will begin combat duty at the end of the year, Russian President Vladimir Putin told military university graduates he met in the Kremlin on 21 June.
Danish frigate Absalon hunts submarines in the North Atlantic on 22 June 2022. "In recent weeks, the frigate Absalon has participated in the 'Dynamic Mongoose' exercise in the North Atlantic, where the Danes have hunted submarines together with our NATO allies." Dynamic Mongoose is an annual anti-submarine warfare exercise led by NATO's Maritime Command (MARCOM). This year, three submarines are participating in the exercise, along with 11 ships and a larger number of aircraft and helicopters. One of NATO's standing naval forces also participates. The purpose of the exercise is to train all parties in anti-submarine warfare in the deep Atlantic. This means that the surface ships are trained in search, localization and combat against submarines, where the ships use their sensors such as different types of sonar. (043)
The submarine was formally commissioned in September 2021. It joined its sister vessels – HMS Astute, Ambush and Artful – on the front line for the first time in January, spending months in the depths of the North Atlantic and Mediterranean.
Fresh from its deployment to the Arctic, in which it carried out a number of missions including sub-surface stealth raids with Royal Marines Commandos, sister submarine HMS Ambush joined Audacious as it limbered up for full operations off the Scottish coast. The two submarines went head to head in underwater battles in a range of warfare scenarios.
17 June 2022 - UK: Ukraine war: Russia has 'strategically lost', UK armed forces chief Admiral Sir Tony Radakin says
Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, the UK's chief of defence staff, said Russia was under pressure because "it's running out of people and it's running out of hi-tech missiles".
17 June 2022 - UK/UA: UK PM makes second trip to Kyiv — as it happened
17 June 2022 - UK: Explainer: Why Russia drives European and British gas prices
18 June 2022 - UK: Boris Johnson: We will never be secure if we turn our backs on valiant Ukraine
22 June 2022 - UK: Truss: Türkiye is an important partner for the UK. We are key European NATO allies. "I met Vice President @fuatoktay in Ankara & talked about the UK & Türkiye deepening our cooperation in areas including energy, defence and security. We continue to work together to support Ukraine."
GERMANY AND ALLIES
19 June 2022 - GER: “For a strong navy” - Minister Lambrecht announces investments of more than one billion euros nationwide in the infrastructure of the @deutschemarine . The role of the German naval forces as a #NATO partner will thus be strengthened.
20 June 2022 - RU: Russia's Sarmat heavy ICBM to enter service at end of year
Russia's first RS-28 Sarmat heavy intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) will begin combat duty at the end of the year, Russian President Vladimir Putin told military university graduates he met in the Kremlin on 21 June.
Danish frigate Absalon hunts submarines in the North Atlantic on 22 June 2022. "In recent weeks, the frigate Absalon has participated in the 'Dynamic Mongoose' exercise in the North Atlantic, where the Danes have hunted submarines together with our NATO allies." Dynamic Mongoose is an annual anti-submarine warfare exercise led by NATO's Maritime Command (MARCOM). This year, three submarines are participating in the exercise, along with 11 ships and a larger number of aircraft and helicopters. One of NATO's standing naval forces also participates. The purpose of the exercise is to train all parties in anti-submarine warfare in the deep Atlantic. This means that the surface ships are trained in search, localization and combat against submarines, where the ships use their sensors such as different types of sonar. (043)
23 June 2022 - GER: #Naval Air Station Nordholz #Baltisches Meer(Baltic-Sea), #HUNTER #3F6004 German Navy P-3C Orion
On 23 - 24 June 2022 CNO Hosts Formal Counterpart Visit for Chief of French Navy between USA/FRA officials. Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday hosted the Chief of the French Navy Adm. Pierre Vandier in Washington, D.C., for a formal counterpart visit. The two leaders discussed maritime security, their shared commitment to interoperability, and the importance of ensuring joint forces are ready and trained for the high-end fight. Vandier’s trip to D.C. came at the end of a week-long trip to the U.S. that included stops in San Diego and Norfolk, Va., where he visited Navy commands and spoke with Navy leaders and Sailors.
Confirmation from Twitter post: 23-24 June 2022 "Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Mike Gilday hosted the Chief of the French Navy Adm. Pierre Vandier in Washington, D.C., for a formal counterpart visit, June 23-24"
Given the criticality of the strategic warning several options how the classified message was shared among top officials this is one of the possible venues how it may have happened. The protection of key energy infrastructure where Germany, France and Netherland have share should be then considered done by some of their joint operation. (073, 221) There was supposedly another warning (131) which was followed by US navy withdrawing from the Baltic sea (111) and subsequent actions (077).
NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND GERMANY
NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN RUSSIA AND GERMANY
BORRELL STATEMENT (TO ADD) about several countries not wanting war to go on
24 June 2022 - GER: Germany says its energy crisis may trigger Lehman-like contagion as the country moves a step toward to natural-gas rationing
Germany's economy minister warns of a "market collapse" if natural-gas prices continue to soar.
Germany has triggered the second stage of its three-stage emergency gas plan on supply fears.
That's after Russia —citing a technical reason — slowed piped natural-gas supplies to Germany.
Germany's economy minister warns of a "market collapse" if natural-gas prices continue to soar.
Germany has triggered the second stage of its three-stage emergency gas plan on supply fears.
That's after Russia —citing a technical reason — slowed piped natural-gas supplies to Germany.
26 June 2022 - UK/UA: Statement by Kuleba, Truss: 'We must ignore the defeatist voices who propose to sell out Ukraine'
"It is therefore imperative that the G7 and NATO this week demonstrate that their commitment to Ukraine will never be surpassed by Putin’s determination to seize it. That means increasing and speeding up their supply of heavy weapons, continuing to sanction all those colluding in Putin’s war, and cutting off imports of Russian energy completely," the foreign ministers said.
26 June 2022 - UK: Truss: Today 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 🇯🇵 have led @G7 allies with sanctions to ban the import of Russian gold - cutting off funding for Putin’s war machine and further isolating Russia from the international financial system.
"It is therefore imperative that the G7 and NATO this week demonstrate that their commitment to Ukraine will never be surpassed by Putin’s determination to seize it. That means increasing and speeding up their supply of heavy weapons, continuing to sanction all those colluding in Putin’s war, and cutting off imports of Russian energy completely," the foreign ministers said.
26 June 2022 - UK: Truss: Today 🇬🇧 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 🇯🇵 have led @G7 allies with sanctions to ban the import of Russian gold - cutting off funding for Putin’s war machine and further isolating Russia from the international financial system.
27 June 2022 - UK/UA: We must ignore the defeatist voices who propose to sell out Ukraine: joint article by Liz Truss and Dmytro Kuleba
UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba wrote a joint article in The Telegraph about how to stop Putin's war in Ukraine.
It is therefore imperative that the G7 and NATO this week demonstrate that their commitment to Ukraine will never be surpassed by Putin’s determination to seize it. That means increasing and speeding up their supply of heavy weapons, continuing to sanction all those colluding in Putin’s war, and cutting off imports of Russian energy completely.
The UK is increasing its sanctions, with further legislation this week on a range of trade bans, and more to come over the next month. The free world, collectively, needs to bear down harder to cut Russia off from its key sources of foreign income: energy and other exports such as gold.
27 June 2022 - UK: Defence Secretary Ben Wallace has formally written to the PM to ask for the UK’s defence budget to be permanently increased to 2.5% of GDP - an extra 20% or £10bn a year - by 2028 because of the threat from a resurgent Russia
BRITAIN TO PREPARE FOR TOTAL WAR WITH RUSSIA
27 June 2022 - UK/JEF: Indispensable: NATO’s Framework Nations Concept beyond Madrid
The JEF is an example of NATO’s Framework Nations Concept (FNC), established at the Wales Summit in 2014 to encourage multinational groups within the alliance to develop deployable capabilities, led by a “framework nation.”
The United Kingdom’s intent to form the JEF was originally declared in a 2012 speech by then chief of the defense staff, General Sir David Richards: “The JEF will be of variable size; a framework into which others fit.” It was conceived and “designed to meet our NATO obligations,” based on the experience of Libya, where “Jordan, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates were able to play a vital role by bringing their regional expertise into the command structure of a NATO operation.”
Leadership of the JEF was cemented as a UK priority in its 2015 defense review as part of the United Kingdom’s policy of becoming “international by design.”
On June 28, 2018, a new MOU formally declared the JEF able to “deploy over 10,000 personnel from across the nine nations.” Iceland joined in 2021, after which the 10 JEF nations issued a new policy directive “designed to provide the overarching policy framework within which the JEF can evolve as a concept and operate as a force, across a broad spectrum of operational activity.”
New army chief General Sanders urged Britain on June 28, 2022 to prepare for total war with Russia
UK Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba wrote a joint article in The Telegraph about how to stop Putin's war in Ukraine.
It is therefore imperative that the G7 and NATO this week demonstrate that their commitment to Ukraine will never be surpassed by Putin’s determination to seize it. That means increasing and speeding up their supply of heavy weapons, continuing to sanction all those colluding in Putin’s war, and cutting off imports of Russian energy completely.
The UK is increasing its sanctions, with further legislation this week on a range of trade bans, and more to come over the next month. The free world, collectively, needs to bear down harder to cut Russia off from its key sources of foreign income: energy and other exports such as gold.
27 June 2022 - UK: Defence Secretary Ben Wallace has formally written to the PM to ask for the UK’s defence budget to be permanently increased to 2.5% of GDP - an extra 20% or £10bn a year - by 2028 because of the threat from a resurgent Russia
BRITAIN TO PREPARE FOR TOTAL WAR WITH RUSSIA
27 June 2022 - UK/JEF: Indispensable: NATO’s Framework Nations Concept beyond Madrid
The JEF is an example of NATO’s Framework Nations Concept (FNC), established at the Wales Summit in 2014 to encourage multinational groups within the alliance to develop deployable capabilities, led by a “framework nation.”
The United Kingdom’s intent to form the JEF was originally declared in a 2012 speech by then chief of the defense staff, General Sir David Richards: “The JEF will be of variable size; a framework into which others fit.” It was conceived and “designed to meet our NATO obligations,” based on the experience of Libya, where “Jordan, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates were able to play a vital role by bringing their regional expertise into the command structure of a NATO operation.”
Leadership of the JEF was cemented as a UK priority in its 2015 defense review as part of the United Kingdom’s policy of becoming “international by design.”
On June 28, 2018, a new MOU formally declared the JEF able to “deploy over 10,000 personnel from across the nine nations.” Iceland joined in 2021, after which the 10 JEF nations issued a new policy directive “designed to provide the overarching policy framework within which the JEF can evolve as a concept and operate as a force, across a broad spectrum of operational activity.”
New army chief General Sanders urged Britain on June 28, 2022 to prepare for total war with Russia
“The British Army must be prepared to engage in warfare at its most violent.”
Former Royal Navy Reservist and Defence Secretary Penny Mordaunt said on June 29, 2022: “The Atlantic Forum is an incredibly powerful force for good in the world."
Former Royal Navy Reservist and Defence Secretary Penny Mordaunt said on June 29, 2022: “The Atlantic Forum is an incredibly powerful force for good in the world."
On June 29, 2022 Liz Truss spoke at the panel session of the NATO Public Forum in Madrid about how we must be united to ensure Ukraine wins, and deter aggressors like China. Her remarks: "First of all it’s absolutely imperative that we secure Russia’s defeat in Ukraine. And it’s imperative for the sake of European security, freedom and democracy, and it’s the only way that we are going to achieve a lasting peace in Europe.
There are some who are saying that there could be some possibility of negotiations now whilst Russia is still in Ukraine, but I think that would bring a false peace and it would lead to further aggression in the future.
We have to learn the lessons of the past, the failures of the Minsk protocol for example, in being able to secure a lasting peace in the area. So my very strong message is we have to defeat Russia first, and negotiate later."
We have to learn the lessons of the past, the failures of the Minsk protocol for example, in being able to secure a lasting peace in the area. So my very strong message is we have to defeat Russia first, and negotiate later."
THE PRAGUE SUMMIT
30 June 2022 -EU/CZE: Remarks by President Charles Michel after his meeting in Prague with Prime Minister of the Czech Republic Petr Fiala
I confirm that on October 6th and 7th, you will host the 27 European leaders for the informal meeting of the European Council.
30 June 2022 -EU/CZE: Remarks by President Charles Michel after his meeting in Prague with Prime Minister of the Czech Republic Petr Fiala
I confirm that on October 6th and 7th, you will host the 27 European leaders for the informal meeting of the European Council.
This summit was likely a place where the perpetrator´s identity cover-up has happened. (047)
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NEXT
(Part 8 - July - Draft for now)
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Please consider supporting my work with a donation.
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