Monday, February 10, 2025

235 - Nordstream affair Crime sequence reconstruction - PART 10

    

CRIME SEQUENCE RECONSTRUCTION

(SEPTEMBER 2022 - 1/3)

PART 10/16 

(BASED ON NORDSTREAM FILES MASTER DATA-FILE) 

...previously: PART 9 (AUGUST 2022)

SUMMARY

Part 10 of larger series examining the Nord Stream pipeline incidents.
Exploring DATA from September (1st - 18th) 2022, contextualizing the incident


KEY TAKEAWAYS:

Primary Suspect: The investigation identifies elements of the UK government as the primary suspect for the sabotage of the Nord Stream pipelines.

Boris Johnson: Boris Johnson's communications with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz during early September 2022 were pivotal in emphasizing the UK’s stance on reducing reliance on Russian energy, particularly regarding the Nord Stream pipelines. Johnson highlighted Germany's commitment to moving away from Russian dependence, asserting that both nations shared the urgency to bolster energy security in light of Russia's aggressive actions. His conversations aimed to ensure that Germany remained aligned with the UK’s position on the necessity of curtailing Russian energy supplies, particularly as tensions escalated over the implications of the gas pipeline operations amidst the ongoing conflict in Ukraine

Echoes in deep: Immediately after an ASW planes on routine patrol - German, US Navy, Swedish and Dutch ASW asset detects an anomaly near the Nord Stream pipeline, leading to an immediate alert. Diplomatic channels heat up as Germany and France discuss the findings, leading to a high-tension meeting at NATO's MARCOM. The UK is put in the spotlight, having to clarify their naval activities, while the alliance navigates through trust issues, culminating in a strengthened but wary NATO maritime policy. This scenario, while speculative, has high degree of probability.  

Task Force 61/2 in early September: There were detection efforts related to potential underwater threats near the pipelines. Data implies that an anti-submarine warfare (ASW) planes may have detected unusual underwater activity. Russia was monitoring situation. This activity did not originate from the Andromeda asset, raising suspicions about other possible actors or assets involved in the area around the Nord Stream pipelines during critical times. This narrative signals that there were heightened security concerns about underwater activities potentially aiming to sabotage the pipelines already in early September, which aligns with speculation around state-sponsored actions during the period leading up to the incidents later in September 2022

The price cap and the Act of retorsion: Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak stated that they would not supply oil to any country that imposed such restrictions, calling the proposals absurd and asserting that they could destabilize the global oil market. On the same day, Russia also cited economic sanctions as a reason for lowering gas supplies through the Nord Stream pipeline, reinforcing the idea that their operational decisions were, in part, retaliatory against Western sanctions

Zelensky and Nordstream: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky appeared to be aware of potential threats to the Nord Stream pipelines, expressing concerns about Russia leveraging energy as a weapon against Europe. He indicated that the threat posed by Russia outweighed the economic pressures faced by Western nations due to rising energy costs. In a statement on September 3, 2022, he noted that "instead of tanks and missiles, Russia is using energy as a weapon" and warned that the country was preparing a "decisive blow" against Europe’s energy sector as winter approached. This suggests that Zelensky had insights into perpetrator´s strategic intentions, including the potential for aggressive actions targeting Nord Stream pipelines. The many meetings between UK and Ukrainian officials and the latter UK´s support to Ukraine to purchase more gas prior to the Nordstream attack hints that the UK was the rogue actor.

UK´s preparatory actions: Prior to the incidents involving the Nord Stream pipelines, the UK implemented several preemptive measures related to energy bills and supply security. On September 4, 2022, Liz Truss highlighted the growing energy crisis and began discussions about preparing for potential cuts in oil and gas supplies from Russia, which was described as a decisive blow in its energy warfare against Europe. This included proactive steps to support Ukraine in stockpiling energy supplies ahead of worsening conditions in Europe due to potential gas supply cuts from Russia. Additionally, Truss emphasized the need for the UK to ramp up its energy supply through various means, such as negotiating long-term energy contracts and planning to increase domestic oil and gas production, including lifting the fracking ban. These actions were aimed at enhancing energy resilience in light of the anticipated disruptions from the Nord Stream operations.

Liz Truss becomes UK´s PM: As strong as the storm will be, Britain is stronger," was intended to convey confidence in the UK's ability to navigate the turbulent geopolitical landscape, which was characterized by surging energy prices and threats to energy supplies, notably from Russia. In her initial speeches, Truss outlined plans to ramp up domestic energy production, lift the ban on fracking, and establish a new Energy Supply Taskforce to secure long-term energy contracts. These measures were designed as responses to the pressures arising from potential disruptions, including those related to the Nord Stream pipelines which were under scrutiny due to concerns about Russian energy interference.

European Lehman Brothers event, Margin calls against European Energy utilities: Sanctions against Russian energy since 2014 have increased and fluctuating energy prices in Europe.

Pipeline reopening voices: Public and some political factions in Germany push for reopening pipelines. Swiss court decides that the Nord Stream 2 AG case is admissible and the the company gets next half year out-of-bankruptcy extension.

Post Brexit Global Britain: The UK's foreign policy faced challenges in effectively countering European reliance on Russian gas, as it had limited leverage over EU energy policy, which remained heavily influenced by the need for stable energy supplies. This diminished the UK's ability to assert itself globally, highlighting a dependency on diplomatic alliances that Brexit was supposed to alleviate. The destruction of German-Russian energy and economic co-dependence has elevated Britain´s position. Later after Nordstream affair Rishi Sunak stated that Global Britain program has failed.

Liz Truss: Assuming the role of Prime Minister, she portrays herself as a strong leader determined to protect British interests. The phrase "As strong as the storm will be, Britain is stronger" suggests a narrative of resilience. It implies that despite expected foreseen external pressures, such as rising threats or instability in energy supply, the UK—under Truss’s leadership—will navigate these challenges effectively. This line could evoke a sense of national pride and commitment to security, emphasizing a defensive stance against any accusations or implications of aggression related to the Nord Stream incident.

Worsening security situation in the Baltic sea: As a response Russia launches series of "anti-terrorist drills" in early September suggesting a dual focus on both conventional military readiness and responses to emerging threats, potentially reflecting rising fears of instability or aggression in the area.

The UK sabotaged turbines delivery: UK played a pivotal role in the Nord Stream affair, particularly through its imposition of sanctions that complicated the maintenance and delivery of critical turbine components supplied by Siemens for Nord Stream AG. These sanctions created legal barriers that influenced the contract stipulations with Gazprom, as the maintenance agreement was governed under UK law, which led to significant delays in the necessary documentation for turbine deliveries from Canada and Germany back to Russia.
 

The Breaking point: On 15th of September political, naval activity exploded. Norwegians seemed to intercept some intelligence about the impending attack on European Key infrastructure. They shared first the intel with European allies (Germany, France) and then with the USA through planned high level meetings in Norfolk. Jens Stoltenberg also changed his schedule to attend. The race was on to stop perpetrators, protect pipelines, and de-escalate the tension. Time was of an essence!  

This interpretation is one of several possible constructs based on the available data, not a factual recounting of events confirmed by actors (journalists, investigator´s job) and should be explored, examined and confirmed by official international investigation. This timeline is the largest available data-set exploring the Nordstream affair. The investigation has been conducted based on best criminal case practices and took 2+ years to do. (206207226)

 

Events in chronological order grouped - SEPTEMBER 2022


I TALKED WITH OLAF SCHOLZ LAST NIGHT (002, 003, 027, 032041081103, 105)
GERMANY IS RESOLUTE IN MOVING AWAY FROM DEPENDENCE ON RUSSIA (105107)

On 1 September 2022 Prime Minister Boris Johnson made a speech a Sizewell on the future of energy.
"I’ll tell everybody who thinks hydrocarbons are the only answer and we should get fracking and all that that offshore wind is now the cheapest form of electricity in this country offshore wind is nine times cheaper than gas because of the insanity of what Putin has done
and that’s why it makes sense for us to become more self-reliant and of course it is entirely clean and green so renewables are not only helping us to defeat climate change they are also helping to keep bills lower than they would otherwise be in this crisis what Putin has done is to launch a kind of kamikaze attack on the world economy
He doesn’t care how much pain Russia suffers
He believes that ultimately we will flinch, that western politicians do not have the stomach for the fight
He believes that we will give up on Ukraine, give in to his aggression and go back to mainlining his hydrocarbons
And I have to tell you he is wrong
He is wrong about his assumptions about the British people
I think he is wrong about other European governments too by the way
I talked to Olaf Sholz last night and it is absolutely clear that Germany is resolute in moving away from dependence on Russian
And Putin in this strategy is going to fail
So we are helping people now with the cost of living and of course there will be more cash to come in the months ahead..."


On 1 September 2022 Boris Johnson to give speech on energy security amid reports govt will sign off new nuclear plant Sizewell C

On 1 September 2022 The CEO of @TotalEnergies, @PPouyanne, explains the reality of the consequences of the sanctions against Russia: "The loss of billions of euros of investments given as gifts to the Kremlin, if ever Total withdraws, as the entails a disconnected media-political caste. Because, if we leave Russia, we give all the assets and infrastructures to Russia, and Russia know how to use it... so it will be a gift for the Kremlin." (040)

Britiains Defence minister Ben Wallace on 2 September 2022: "Submarines rather than ships could be the Royal Navy's future"


On 2 September 2022 HMS Audacious – one of Britain’s newest operation nuclear submarine – has completed her second Mediterranean patrol, conducting maritime security operations for the UK and her #NATO allies. After six months of near continuous operations, Audacious returned to Souda Bay to undergo maintenance - Specialist divers were flown out from the UK, running over the entire length of the submarine’s 97-metre-long hull with what is effectively a giant, heavy duty dental hygienist’s tooth polisher – the bristles on the brushes strong enough to sweep away barnacles, but not too firmly that the black tiles which cover Audacious and are key to her stealth are not damaged or dislodged..

It is odd that the attack submarine which could also be used for undercover operations after trials got hull cleaning which is done before missions. Was this submarine involved in the plot or another one which returned to the UK port mere few days after Nordstream was attacked? HMS S120 Ambush returned just a short time after the attack on Nordstream under odd circumstances. Those early posts explore this possibility: (004, 006, 008, 009, 012, 014, 016, 019)


FIRST APPROACH TO MINE PIPELINES? (012)
LOOKS LIKE UNDERSURFACE ASSET WAS DETECTED
AND IT WAS NOT THE ANDROMEDA (112, 214)

On 1,2,3 Sept 2022 - USA: US Military Helicopters Circled Around Future Nord Stream Leaks For Hours In September. In particular, at the beginning of the month, a US Navy Sikorsky MH-60R Seahawk helicopter loitered over the location of pipelines in the Baltic Sea near Bornholm for three days in a row on September 1, 2 and 3.







Royal Netherlands Navy NH90 ASW
(helicopters are better than planes due to lower speed for anti-sub warfare)


FlightRadar shows a few flights there on that day

It is curious that on September 2, almost in parallel with the US military, a military helicopter NH90 of the Dutch Navy was flying in the vicinity of Bornholm Island, probably observing the activities of the Americans.


US helicopters, according to Flightradar24, also flew over the branches of Russian gas pipelines on September 10 and September 19.

In all cases, the trajectories of the US military speak of observation flights or loitering with other targets over a specific section of the water area. Helicopters that made sorties on the night of September 22-23 and 25-26 have especially confusing tracks. (177, 181)

German, French and Dutch companies are jointly 49% shareholders of Nord Stream 1 pipelines.


RUSSIA WAS CURIOUS AND ALSO CHECKED  (012)
WHAT DID DUTCH AND AMERICANS HELICOPTERS DETECTED UNDER? (131)

On 1 September 2022 Russian Ambassador Summoned To Denmark After Alleged Airspace Violation

On 1 September 2022 Russia’s Sarmat ICBM are declared operational. Russia’s RS-28 Sarmat heavy intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) has entered operational service. A 1 September 2023 report from Russian news agency TASS quoted Yury Borisov, the head of Russia’s Roscosmos state space corporation, as saying that day that the Sarmat system “has assumed combat alert posture”.
One of six new Russian strategic weapons heralded by Russian President Vladimir Putin on 1 March 2018, the Sarmat ICBM was designed to replace Russia’s ageing R-36 (NATO designation SS-18 ‘Satan’) ICBMs and has thus been given the NATO designation SS-X-30 ‘Satan II’.
Russia successfully test-launched its Sarmat ICBM for the first time from the Plesetsk spaceport in Russia’s northern Arkhangelsk Region on 20 April 2022. The Makayev Rocket Design Bureau then received a production contract from the Russian Ministry of Defence for Sarmat ICBMs on 16 August 2022.

Similar intrusions into Danish airspace to check on Nord Stream were reported e.g. in 1 May 2022, 16 June2022, with the previous from 17 June 2022 when Russian SU-30 fighter planes were observed over Danish airspace near Christiansø Island and Bornholm Island, where the drama will unfold last week of September 2022.


THE PRICE CAP AND ACT OF RETORSION (029, 171173)

Russia reminds on 1 September 2022 Nord Stream is loaded by 20% due to anti-Russian sanctions

Russia's Medvedev threatens on 2 September 2022  'no gas for Europe if Brussels adopts price cap'
G7 countries agree to cap the price of Russian oil on 2 September 2022. The West’s biggest economies on Friday agreed to impose a price cap on Russian oil in an attempt to reduce Moscow’s ability to fund its war in Ukraine without further stoking global inflation.
“We will simply not supply oil and petroleum products to such companies or states that impose restrictions, as we will not work non-competitively” Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak told reporters Thursday, according to state news agency TASS.
“The price cap is specifically designed to reduce Russian revenues and Russia’s ability to fund its war of aggression whilst limiting the impact of Russia ́s war on global energy prices, particularly for low and middle-income countries,” the G7 finance ministers said. (031, 105, 106, 107)
Novak has called the proposals to impose restrictions “completely absurd” and said they could destroy the global oil market, TASS reported. “Such attempts will only destabilize the oil industry, the oil market,” he said.

On 3 September 2022 Russia kept one of its main gas supply routes to Europe shut on Saturday, stoking fears of winter fuel shortages and spotlighting differences between Gazpromand Germany's Siemens Energy over repair work on the pipeline.

On 3 September 2022 Gazprom has completely Stopped Supplies on Nord Stream for an Indefinite Period. In a statement, Gazprom said it had discovered "oil leaks" in the turbine during a planned three-day maintenance operation and that "until it is repaired ... the transportation of Nord Stream gas has been completely suspended." On its Telegram page, the company posted a photo of cables covered in brown liquid, AFP reported.
Earlier in the day, the Kremlin warned that the future operation of the Nord Stream gas pipeline, one of Gazprom's main supply routes, was at risk due to a lack of spare parts.
"There are no technical reserves, only one turbine is working," Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov told reporters.
"So the reliability of the operation, of the whole system, is at risk," he said, adding that it was "through no fault" of Russian energy giant Gazprom.
Turbine maker Siemens Energy said the oil leak, which it blamed on Gazprom, was "not a technical reason to stop work".
"Such leaks do not normally affect the operation of the turbine and can be sealed on site," he said, adding that "no maintenance work has been contracted".

Other news describe the event on 3 September 2022: Russia cuts off gas exports to Europe via Nord Stream indefinitely. On Friday, Russian state energy giant Gazprom said it would not resume flows through the pipeline on Saturday as planned because it had detected an oil leak at its Portovaya compressor station. The pipeline has been shut since Wednesday for maintenance.
“Until the issues on the operation of the equipment are resolved, gas supplies to the Nord Stream gas pipeline have been completely stopped,” Gazprom said in a statement.
The Nord Stream 1 pipeline is a key artery carrying Russia’s vast gas supplies to Europe, accounting for about 35% of Europe’s total Russian gas imports last year.
Since June, Gazprom has slashed flows through Nord Stream 1 to just 20% of its capacity, citing maintenance issues and a dispute over a missing turbine caught up in Western export sanctions.
Engie said the shutoff was the result of “a disagreement between the parties on the application of contracts.”

Russia announces on 5 September 2022 "Gas flows to Europe won’t resume until sanctions lifted." The Kremlin says Western sanctions caused the decision to stop gas flows down the Nord Stream pipeline. (029)


WHAT DID ZELENSKIY KNOW ABOUT APPROACHING ATTACK 
ON NORDSTREAM? (057147)

On 3 September 2022 Zelensky exclusive: "Threat from ‘Putin the Nazi’ outweighs pain of rising energy bills."  The Ukrainian leader praises Boris Johnson, criticises Macron and Scholz and says western cost of living fears are ‘incomparable’ with the threat from Russia. 
Volodymyr Zelensky refuses to talk about Boris Johnson in the past tense.
Under Johnson, Britain was one of the first nations to donate weapons to Ukraine as the countdown to the Russian invasion began last winter. While nervous European leaders dawdled, Johnson led the pack. (002003105)


On 4 September 2022 Zelenski Tells Europe To Prepare For Difficult Winter With Oil, Gas Supply Cuts

On 4 September 2022 Zelenski warns that Russia is preparing a «decisive blow» in its energy offensive against Europe. "Instead of tanks and missiles, Russia is using energy as a weapon, he said, and is preparing a decisive blow in the energy sector this winter."

On 7 September 2022 Liz Truss: "I spoke to President Zelenskyi this evening and reiterated our steadfast support for Ukraine’s freedom and democracy. Russia's attempts to weaponise energy must not deter the West. Ukraine can depend on the UK for support in the long term." (002, 147091)




THE UK IS IMPLEMENTING PREEMPTIVE MEASURES FOR HIGHER ENERGY BILLS 
AT HOME, HELPS UKRAINE TO STOCK UP ENERGY BEFORE NORDSTREAM IS BLOWN UP (042, 147)

UK news from 4 September 2022 Gas prices likely to hit new highs as Russia shuts pipeline indefinitely a growing number of UK manufacturers have said they are already cutting production or making job cuts as a direct result of “out of control” energy bills.


On 4 September 2022 Liz Truss warns she will make unpopular decisions as prime minister and defends tax cuts for wealthy

On 5 September 2022 Boris Johnson delivers Plutonium Jubilee for Britain's nuclear test veterans
In an open letter to all those affected by the Cold War radiation experiments which knowingly and intentionally exposed thousands of servicemen to nuclear fallout, he offered his “profound thanks” but stopped short of the apology veterans demanded.
“You forged and perfected our country’s protective shield and then made certain that it worked,” he said. “Today, 67 million people in the UK - and our NATO allies - live in the safety that you helped to provide.”

On 5 September 2022 Markets Wobble as Britain Gets a New Prime Minister and Energy Worries Grow. Liz Truss, the Conservative Party’s choice, will face a falling British pound and myriad economic troubles. Elsewhere in Europe, markets started the week on shaky footing after the Russian energy giant Gazprom said on Friday that it would not restart the flow of natural gas between Russia and Germany through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline on Saturday as expected. Natural gas prices jumped, and stocks slumped.


On 6 September 2022 Liz Truss becomes new PM in UK. Liz Truss did work for Shell as a commercial and finance analyst for a short period after graduating from university.
According to Truss's LinkedIn profile and other sources, she worked at Shell from 1996 to 1997, after graduating from the University of Oxford with a degree in Politics, Philosophy and Economics. During her time at Shell, Truss worked in the downstream division of the company, which deals with refining, distribution, and marketing of oil and gas products. As a commercial and finance analyst, she would have been involved in market analysis, financial planning, and commercial strategy development related to downstream operations. After leaving Shell in 1997, Truss went on to work for other companies in the energy and telecommunications industries, as well as in public policy and government positions. (
091)

September 2022 New UK leader Liz Truss finalizes huge power subsidy plan

On 6 September 2022 Truss Drafts £130 Billion Plan to Freeze UK Energy Bills

On 7 September 2022 Prime Minister Liz Truss's call with Chancellor Olaf Scholz. The Prime Minister spoke to German Chancellor Olaf Scholz this evening. The leaders discussed the energy challenges faced by the UK and its European partners as a result of Putin’s illegal war. Both agreed on the importance of energy resilience and independence. The Prime Minister underlined the importance of ensuring democracy and freedom were upheld in Europe, and of protecting countries made vulnerable by Russia’s economic blackmail.

On 8 September 2022 - UK: PM Liz Truss's opening speech on the energy policy debate
"Firstly, by ramping up supply... we have created a new Energy Supply Taskforce under the leadership of Maddy McTernan. They are already negotiating new long term energy contracts with domestic and international gas suppliers to immediately bring down the cost of this intervention... We are also accelerating all sources of domestic energy, including North Sea oil and gas production... We will end the moratorium on extracting our huge reserves of shale, which could get gas flowing in as soon as six months, where there is local support."

On 8 September 2022 New British PM Liz Truss announces a cap on energy bills to combat cost-of-living crisis

On 8 Sept 2022 - UK: Energy Supply Taskforce to hold talks with renewables sector over fixed-price contracts. A new Energy Supply Taskforce, led by Madelaine McTernan who headed up the UK’s successful Vaccine Taskforce, has begun negotiations with domestic and international suppliers to agree long-term contracts that reduce the price they charge for energy and increase the security of its supply.
The Taskforce and Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy will negotiate with renewable producers to reduce the prices they charge as well.

On 9 September 2022 Liz Truss lifts ban on fracking, and will prop up fossil fuel companies in energy crisis. Europe is particularly reliant on Russian gas, with the nation supplying some 45% of the EU’s total gas imports last year. While imports from Russia made up just 4% of the UK’s total gas supply in 2021,...b ...plans, announced earlier this year, to diminish reliance on Russian imports by building a robust network of fuel suppliers across the US, the Netherlands and the Gulf



LIZ TRUSS BECOMES UK´S PRIME MINISTER (054091)
AS STRONG AS THE STORM WILL BE, BRITAIN IS STRONGER

United Kingdom 6 September 2022: 'As strong as the storm will be, Britain is stronger'

On 6 September 2022 Liz Truss becomes new PM in UK.
Liz Truss did work for Shell as a commercial and finance analyst for a short period after graduating from university. According to Truss's LinkedIn profile and other sources, she worked at Shell from 1996 to 1997, after graduating from the University of Oxford with a degree in Politics, Philosophy and Economics. During her time at Shell, Truss worked in the downstream division of the company, which deals with refining, distribution, and marketing of oil and gas products. As a commercial and finance analyst, she would have been involved in market analysis, financial planning, and commercial strategy development related to downstream operations. After leaving Shell in 1997, Truss went on to work for other companies in the energy and telecommunications industries, as well as in public policy and government positions.
She sends 4 identical "Letters of last resort" to 4 Trident captains of nuclear deterrence submarines. Liz Truss asked about nuclear weapons: 'I'm ready to do it' 'I'm ready to do it'.

On 6 September 2022 Letters of last resort: PM’s early task to write to UK’s nuclear sub commanders
One of Liz Truss’s early tasks will be to write instructions by hand to each of Britain’s four nuclear submarine commanders, directing them how to respond in the event of an all-out attack that will have killed her and destroyed the UK. They are known as the letters of last resort.
But first, Truss will receive a briefing from Britain’s military chiefs on how the Trident nuclear deterrent operates – including the likely military and human consequences of authorising a retaliatory strike.
It is not necessary for Truss to write the letters immediately after the briefing; the new prime minister has time to reflect. The existing letters, written by Boris Johnson, can remain in force, most obviously for the submarine currently out at sea – at least one must be on patrol at all times for the nuclear deterrent to remain continuous.

The letters are destroyed unopened whenever a Prime Minister leaves office, note that she said during the selection process that she would not hesitate to use nuclear weapons to defend Britain while rishi Sunak did not. On 24 August 2022 The foreign secretary, Liz Truss, says that "She is not afraid to use nuclear weapons if she becomes prime minister."

On 6 Sept 2022 - UK: Liz Truss delivered her first speech as British prime minister on Tuesday after being formally invited by Queen Elizabeth II to form a government.
"I am confident that together we can ride out the storm"
Liz Truss delivered her first speech as British prime minister on Tuesday after being formally invited by Queen Elizabeth II to form a government.
The new prime minister said her top priorities are to cut taxes, boost energy security and improve the country's health care system.
"We shouldn't be daunted by the challenges we face," she said outside No. 10 Downing Street. "As strong as the storm may be, I know that the British people are stronger. Our country was built by people who get things done. We have huge reserves of talent, of energy and determination. I am confident that together we can ride out the storm."


On 6 September 2022 Queen looked exhausted after meeting Boris Johnson and Liz Truss two days before her passing away

On 8 September 2022 Queen Elisabeth died at Balmoral Castle in Scotland, at the age of 96.


THE EUROPEAN LEHMAN EVENT
SANCTIONS & THE MARGIN CALL ON EUROPEAN ENERGY UTILITIES (026)

On 4 September 2022 Sweden, Finland step in to avert Lehman-like situation for power companies
Finland and Sweden on Sunday announced plans to offer billions of dollars in liquidity guarantees to power companies in their countries after Russia’s Gazprom shut the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline, deepening Europe’s energy crisis. “This has had the ingredients for a kind of a Lehman Brothers of energy industry,” Finnish Economic Affairs Minister Mika Lintila said on Sunday. 

On 6 September 2022 “Lehman Event” Looms For Europe As Energy Companies Face $1.5T In Margin Calls

On 6 September 2022 Russia reaps massive profits from high energy prices

On 6 September 2022 Energy Trading Stressed by Margin Calls of $1.5 Trillion. European energy trading is being strained by margin calls of at least $1.5 trillion, putting pressure on governments to provide more liquidity buffers, according to Norway’s Equinor ASA.

On 6 September 2022 - GER: Uniper CEO: "The worst is yet to come". After the jump at the beginning of the week, gas prices are falling again significantly. Uniper CEO Klaus-Dieter Maubach is convinced that this will not last. He believes that the business ties with Gazprom have been severed forever.


On 16 Sept 2022 Germany seizes control of three Russian-owned Rosneft oil refineries
We are making ourselves independent of Russia', Chancellor Scholz said on Friday

Explainer from 16 September 2022  How margin calls came to threaten Europe's energy firms
Soaring power and gas prices have rocked energy companies across Europe, forcing utilities and traders to secure extra funds from governments and banks to cover margin call requirements.


GERMAN P-3C ORION FLIGHTS (182)

On 3 September 2022 - GER/German Institute for International Security and Affairs: Nuclear rhetoric and escalation management in Russia’s war against Ukraine: A Chronology

On 5 September 2022 FlyNavy1, CdrDeuNavalAir: At the weekend, @chiefdeunavy invited people to the Admirals' College. Admirals from all areas of #Bundeswehr , #EU & #NATO exchanged ideas openly and constructively in order to best meet the requirements of the current geopolitical situation in the future.

Germany conducts with P-3C Orion flights monitoring over Mediterranean sea on September 12, 2022. 
There does not seen any known unusual activity until 15th of September.  
Germany conducts with P-3C Orion flights monitoring over Baltic sea 24 Sept 2022 with journalists abroad. 

On 6 September 2022 - GER: German frigate Hessen to train with USS Gerald R. Ford in North Atlantic (120150)


CURIOUS TRAGIC EVENT OVER BALTIC SEA

On September 4, 2022, a Cessna 551 Citation II/SP, registered as OE-FGR, took off from Jerez, Spain, headed for Cologne, Germany. Shortly after takeoff, the pilot reported a cabin pressure malfunction to air traffic control. After passing the Iberian Peninsula, communication with the aircraft was lost. The plane continued on autopilot, flying over Europe and into the Baltic Sea without landing in Cologne. It flew for nearly two hours more until it ran out of fuel and crashed into the Baltic Sea off the coast of Latvia. All four people on board, including the pilot, were presumed dead. The crash was attributed to hypoxia, likely due to the cabin pressure issue, causing the occupants to lose consciousness.

On 4 September 2022 The Cessna Citation business jet fell into the Baltic Sea off Latvia - contact was already lost in Spain

On 4 September 2022 Private jet that was supposed to land in Germany, crashed near Riga about 15 kilometers off the coast of Latvia. The Danish Air Force says it was unable to identify anyone in the cockpit after intercepting the plane. A Swedish Coast Guard helicopter is approaching the crash

Various conspiracy theories that emerged after Karl-Peter Griesemann's plane crash, suggesting a link between his company and the Nord Stream pipelines. However, these claims were refuted by the company, and several fact-checking organizations confirmed that there was no such connection. Official statement from Griesemann Gruppe explicitly states: "The Griesemann Gruppe does not have any business relationships with Nord Stream AG."



GERMANY PUSHES FOR REOPENING PIPELINES

On 5 September 2022 Russia switches off Europe’s main gas pipeline until sanctions are lifted. "Russia’s gas supplies to Europe via the Nord Stream 1 pipeline will not resume in full until the collective west lifts sanctions against Moscow over its invasion of Ukraine", the Kremlin has said. 
Josep Borrell, the EU’s chief diplomat, on Monday acknowledged that certain political factions in the bloc wanted the EU to drop its support for Ukraine, push Kyiv into a ceasefire and abandon sanctions against Russia to ease economic pressure on European countries. He said those views were “not representative” of the position adopted by member states.

In Germany, Lubmin: mayors of the surrounding communities are in favour of opening Nord Stream 2, dated on 05-09-2022.






UNSUCCESSFUL ATTEMPT TO IMPLEMENT "GLOBAL BRITAIN" FOREIGN POLICY (044, 033, 042, 054)

On 6 September 2022 Can Liz Truss save Global Britain in a disintegrating world?
The UK's new prime minister has plenty of foreign policy experience, but it might not be enough to solve problems abroad and at home.
The UK's new prime minister, Liz Truss, has been in power only a day, but she is already running out of time. So grave are the problems Britain faces. Inflation has hit double digits and energy bills are set to rise by 80 per cent next month. More crises are brewing at home and abroad.

On 6 September 2022 Cabinet reshuffle: The ministers with links to the military
A number of MPs in the cabinet have served in the military - Forces News takes a closer look.
Ben Wallace - Former British Army officer Ben Wallace is staying on as Defence Secretary
James Heappey - Another former British Army officer is James Heappey in the cabinet is James Heappey.
James Cleverly - In one of the changes to the leadership team, British Army reservist James Cleverly is appointed the new Foreign Secretary.
Penny Mordaunt - Former Defence Secretary, and Tory leadership candidate this year, Penny Mordaunt is the new Leader of the Commons.
Tom Tugendhat - Another Conservative leadership candidate, Afghanistan veteran and Army reservist Tom Tugendhat is Minister for Security.

On 6 September 2022 Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office @FCDOGovUK: We are delighted to welcome @JamesCleverly as the new Secretary of State for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs.

On 6 September 2022 -The Rt Hon Ben Wallace MP @BWallaceMP has been re-appointed Secretary of State for Defence @DefenceHQ.

On 6 September 2022 US Ambassador to UK Jane Hartley @USAmbUK: "Boris Johnson has been a true friend to America and the Special Relationship, I wish him and his family well as they begin a new chapter."

On 6 September 2022 Ambassador Jane Hartley @USAmbUK: "Congratulations to Prime Minister Liz Truss. I look forward to working together as we further strengthen the Special Relationship between our two countries."

On 6 September 2022 Annalena Baerbock: "Congratulations Liz Truss on winning the Tory leadership contest. "I wish you wisdom, strength and luck as the Prime Minister of the UK. As our common European security is challenged like never before, we must find strength in unity, friendship and trust."

On 7 September 2022 - UK: Truss assembles cabinet of class war at home and escalated war against Russia
The first act of new British Prime Minister Liz Truss on entering Downing Street was to call US President Joe Biden and reaffirm Britain’s backing of NATO’s proxy war in Ukraine against Russia.
Biden tweeted in response, “I look forward to deepening the special relationship between our countries and working in close cooperation on global challenges, including continued support for Ukraine as it defends itself against Russian aggression.” (023)
The only continuation in personnel from Boris Johnson’s cabinet were Defence Secretary Ben Wallace and Armed Forced Minister James Heappey. Both have been instrumental in prosecuting war against Russia.

On 7 September 2022 Liz Truss appoints Tim Barrow as the new national security advisor, replacing Stephen Lovegrove. Tim Barrow is currently the Second Permanent Secretary and Political Director at the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO). He has extensive experience across a range of foreign and national security policy issues, including having served as Ambassador in Kyiv, Moscow, and to the European Union.
Prime Minister Liz Truss said: "Sir Tim Barrow brings with him a huge wealth of experience safeguarding the interests and security of the British people around the world. This includes working on the UK’s response to Putin’s illegal war in Ukraine"

On 7 September 2022 Zelensky says he's the first foreign leader to speak to new British prime minister

On 7 September 2022 Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office, @FCDOGovUK: "We’re delighted to welcome Leo Dochetry @LeoDochertyUK as a new Minister of State at the Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office." 

On 7 September 2022 UK’s New Energy Chief Rees-Mogg Wants to Drill ‘Every Last Drop’. “We need to be thinking about extracting every last cubic inch of gas from the North Sea because we want security of supply,” Rees-Mogg said in a radio interview earlier this year. “We’re not trying to become net zero tomorrow and we are going to need fossil fuels in the interim and we should use ours that we have got available.” (069)

On 7 September 2022 New UK PM Truss Wants More North Sea Production. "I want to see us use more of our energy supply, including more oil and gas from the North Sea and nuclear power," she said.

On 9 September 2022 Europe Can Get Rid Of Russian Energy 'Chokehold': Blinken
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Friday that "Russia's war in Ukraine presented Europe with the opportunity to finally end its dependence on Russian energy".
Blinken made the comments after a surprise visit to Ukraine while en route to Brussels where he said he would be discussing energy security at a meeting with NATO representatives.
"There's also a tremendous opportunity … finally once and for all, to move away from this dependence on Russia, to get rid of the chokehold that Russia has on Europe, using energy as a weapon, and to diversify supply, diversify routes," Blinken said.

Russian gas giant Gazprom last week shut the Nord Stream pipeline to Germany citing the need for repairs, with the Kremlin saying sanctions have prevented the proper maintenance of gas infrastructure.
"The fact that Russia has cut off the Nord Stream pipeline again is further evidence that it is so vitally strategic for Europe to move away from dependence on Russian energy because Putin has shown he will use it as a weapon and he’s not going to stop now," Blinken said.


TASK FORCE 61/2 IN EARLY SEPTEMBER (111)
MISSION BALTIC SEA: ENSURING MARITIME SECURITY AND STABILITY IN THE REGION

On 6 September 2022 - USA/SWE: USS Arlington (LPD 24) arrives in Visby, Sweden
The San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock ship USS Arlington (LPD 24), assigned to the Kearsarge Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) and embarked 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), arrived in Visby, Sweden for a scheduled port visit, Sept. 6, 2022.

On 9 September 2022 Kearsarge ARG and 22nd MEU Complete Training with Sweden and NATO
The Kearsarge Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) with the embarked 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) concluded two successful training events with the Swedish Armed Forces and Standing NATO Maritime Group (SNMG) 1 while operating in the Baltic Sea, Sept. 4, 2022.
Immediately following the bilateral training with Sweden, the Kearsarge ARG-MEU transitioned to a maritime-focused exercise with SNMG1, a ready force continuously available to NATO, establishing Alliance presence and providing maritime capability in peacetime as well as during crisis and conflict.

On 9 September 2022 USN MH-60R Strike Hawk 


On 12 Sept 2022 NAVSUP, mission partners sustain USS Kearsarge ARG readiness for Baltic Sea exercises. USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) Amphibious Ready Group (ARG), and embarked 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), are operating in the Baltic Sea to strengthen interoperability with key NATO allies and partners since May 2022.
In August 2022, the ARG-MEU, consisting of Kearsarge, USS Arlington (LPD 24) and USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44), trained alongside the Finnish and Swedish Navies to foster a shared goal of preserving security and stability in the Baltic region.
After completing the exercises with the Finnish Navy, Arlington and Gunston Hall conducted a scheduled port visit in Riga, Latvia, Aug. 20. They later joined the rest of the ARG-MEU to participate in a maneuvering exercise with the Swedish Navy, Aug. 30.
"Our ability to support the ARG's logistics and maintenance periods in July and the ships' port visits in August demonstrate our commitment to facilitating end-to-end sustainment for U.S. ships across Europe's High North region as the ARG-MEU crewmembers accomplish their mission of strengthening relationships with Baltic allies and partners while ensuring maritime security throughout the region," MacKenzie said.
Kearsarge ARG is under the command and control of Task Force 61/2. Embarked commands with the ARG include Amphibious Squadron SIX, 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU), Fleet Surgical Team 2, Fleet Surgical Team 4, Tactical Air Control Squadron 22, Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 22, Helicopter Sea Combat Squadron 28, Assault Craft Unit 2, Assault Craft Unit 4, Naval Beach Group 2, and Beach Master Unit 2. The Kearsarge ARG and larger amphibious task forces provide military commanders a wide range of flexible capabilities including maritime security operations, expeditionary power projection, strike operations, forward naval presence, crisis response, sea control, deterrence, cyber operations, security cooperation and counter-proliferation, and humanitarian assistance and disaster relief.


Between 13 -19 September 2022 the universal landing ship USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) was in Gdynia, Poland.

On 13 September 2022 US Navy ship USS Arlington (LPD-24) docked in the port of Klaipėda, Lithuania today for logistical resupply and military equipment maintenance after the intensive military exercises in the Baltic Sea. The Lithuanian and US navies have been actively cooperating for more than 30 years.


On 13 September 2022 USN MH-60R Strike Hawk near Bornholm


On 14 September 2022 USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) and USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44) arrive in Poland
The port visits to Gdynia and Gdansk highlight the U.S. Navy and Marine Corps’ commitment to the Baltic region and strengthens relationships between the United States and Poland, a key NATO ally.

On 14 September 2022 USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) and USS Gunston Hall (LSD 44) arrive in Poland
Prior to arriving in Gdansk and Gdynia, Kearsarge and Gunston Hall, along with San Antonio-class amphibious transport dock ship USS Arlington (LPD 24) and Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Paul Ignatius (DDG 117), participated in two training events in and around the Baltic Sea with the Swedish and Finnish Armed Forces as well as NATO Allied Maritime Command’s (MARCOM) Standing NATO Maritime Group (SNMG) 1. The training enhanced the ARG and embarked 22nd Marine Expeditionary Unit’s (MEU) ability to operate alongside allies and partners while demonstrating the strength of a cohesive NATO alliance.
While in Gdynia and Gdansk, Kearsarge and Gunston Hall leadership will participate in key leader engagements to include an office call with the 3rd Ships Flotilla Commander.

On 15 September 2022 U.S. Embassy Riga, @USEmbassyRiga: The @USNavy USS Paul Ignatius has arrived in Latvia for a scheduled port visit. Cmdr. Aaron Arky, Paul Ignatius’ commanding officer: “Our presence in Riga serves as a physical reminder to the Latvians that we fully support the NATO alliance and the Baltic States.”

On 15 September 2022 USS Paul Ignatius (DDG 117) arrives in Riga, Latvia. The Arleigh Burke-class guided-missile destroyer USS Paul Ignatius (DDG 117) arrived in Riga, Latvia for a scheduled port visit, Sept. 15, 2022.
“Our presence in Riga serves as a physical reminder to the Latvians that we fully support the NATO alliance and the Baltic States,” said Cmdr. Aaron Arky, Paul Ignatius’ commanding officer.
Since departing Tallinn Estonia in late August, Paul Ignatius has operated in the Baltic Sea with the Kearsarge Amphibious Ready Group (ARG) as well as the Swedish Navy and Dutch, Portuguese, and Norwegian navies attached to NATO Allied Maritime Command’s (MARCOM) Standing NATO Maritime Group (SNMG) 1.
Paul Ignatius is the latest U.S. Navy ship to conduct a port visit in Riga, following the Wasp-class amphibious assault ship USS Kearsarge (LHD 3) just last week and fellow destroyer USS Arleigh Burke (DDG 51) in July of this year.
Paul Ignatius is currently on patrol in the U.S. Naval Forces Europe (NAVEUR) area of operations as a member of the Forward Deployed Naval Forces-Europe (FDNF-E) force.
She began her patrol on Aug. 1, 2022 and joined up with the Kearsarge ARG in the Baltic Sea, Aug. 30, 2022.
Four U.S. Navy destroyers are based in Rota, Spain and are assigned to Commander, Task Force 65 in support of NATO’s Integrated Air Missile Defense architecture.


WORSENING SECURITY SITUATION IN THE BALTIC SEA
RUSSIAN NAVAL AND LAND EXERCISES, ANTI-TERRORIST DRILLS IN SEPTEMBER (110)

On 6 September 2022 - RU: In August, more than 100 anti-terrorist exercises were conducted in the Baltic Fleet. In August, more than 100 training sessions with counter-terrorism units were conducted in the Baltic Fleet (BF) formations and military units.
The servicemen practiced blocking and destroying the enemy during his attacks on various military units, learned to provide first aid and transport the wounded, and improved their mine clearance skills.
The amount in September grew substantially. (110)

On 10 September 2022 A training session on detecting and destroying underwater saboteurs was held at the Baltic Fleet bases


For unknown reasons Russia launched several land, sea and air exercises from 18th of September (110).
About the same time Russia threatened UK with nuclear response would the integrity of Russia be threatened. (113)


THE UK SABOTAGED NORD STREAM AG BY DELAYING DELIVERY OF INCOTERMS (171)

Gazprom says on 6 September 2022 that Nord Stream 1 resumption depends on Siemens Energy.
Russia's biggest natural gas pipeline to Europe will not resume pumping until Siemens Energy repairs faulty equipment, Gazprom’s Deputy Chief Executive Vitaly Markelov told Reuters on Tuesday.


Putin statement from 7 September 2022 about Nordstream at Eastern Economic Forum plenary session.
Putin: "...Regarding Nord Stream 1, our German partners have agreed that all technical aspects of Nord Stream 1, including the maintenance of gas-pumping turbine units, are subject to British law because – I myself was unaware of this and learned about this from Mr Miller – Gazprom had to sign a contract for the maintenance of these units made by Siemens not with the Siemens main office but with its subsidiary based in the United Kingdom, which slapped sanctions on Gazprom, and agreed to repair the turbines at a Siemens plant in Canada.
What do we have to do with all of that? Canada finally took it but yielded to numerous requests coming from Germany and gave it to Germany, whereas under an agreement with a Siemens subsidiary in the UK, the turbines were to be shipped straight to St Petersburg. Logistics arrangements have changed and the contract has to be revised. The British-based Siemens subsidiary will not even respond to Gazprom’s inquiries..."
(171)

On 7 September 2022 Putin Says Nord Stream Can Reopen If Turbines Available.

On 7 September 2022 Putin says Russia to stop supplying energy if Western price caps imposed

On 7 September 2022 Putin says West's sanctions fever wrecks European lives



SWEDEN AND UK: POSEIDON ANTI-SUBMARINE FLIGHTS IN EARLY SEPTEMBER

On 7 September 2022 Swedish plane monitors Baltic sea: "#Linkoping #Baltic Sea, #SVF603 #4A821F Sweden Air Force Saab S100D Argus (AEW&C)"


On 8 September 2022 UK #RAF Mildenhall #Baltic Sea, #NoCALLSIGN #AE679A USN P-8A Poseidon.


On 8 September 2022 - SWE+UK/NOR/FRA: JFD Successfully Completes NATO Submarine Rescue System Northern Crown Exercise in Sweden. Gary Lindhofer, Head of Defence – Services, JFD, said: “The relationship between the Swedish Navy and the NSRS Participant Nations continues to remain strong and is essential for providing submarine rescue support and contingency. The final activity of the exercise involved the airlift of the SRV and its supporting equipment by the UK Royal Air Force, using a Boeing C-17 Globemaster from Sweden back to Prestwich in the UK."

On 10 September 2022 UK #RAF Mildenhall #Baltic Sea, #NoCALLSIGN #AE67F7 USN P-8A Poseidon




ECHOES IN DEEP: THE FIRST BALTIC INCIDENT?
GERMAN AND FRENCH NAVAL/MILITARY MEETINGS IN EARLY SEPTEMBER
THEN TALKS WITH NATO AND THE UK NAVY
WHAT WAS THE TOPIC OD DENSE TALKS?

Anti-Submarine Warfare (ASW) planes from various NATO countries are routinely monitoring the Baltic Sea, especially around sensitive infrastructure like the Nord Stream pipelines. Hypothetical scenario drawn from data that these ASW planes, possibly from Germany, detects an anomaly - a UK submarine or an unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) in proximity to the Nord Stream pipeline. This detection raises alarms due to the unusual activity in a neutral or sensitive zone. Germany, being directly affected by any potential threat to Nord Stream, would likely alert its intelligence and military command. They would also inform France, given their shared interests in European energy security. France, concerned with the broader implications for European energy security and NATO cohesion, would engage in rapid diplomatic and intelligence exchanges with Germany. German and French representatives meet to discuss the implications. They analyse whether this was a rogue operation, a mistake, or part of a strategic move. Given the gravity, this information would likely be escalated to NATO's military command, especially to MARCOM (Maritime Command), which oversees maritime operations in the Atlantic and beyond. Here, the situation would be assessed for its impact on NATO's security posture and alliances.

9-14 Sept 2022 - GER: German Navy had an intelligence ship and a submarine hunting warship in the area (reported by Billy Bostickson, @BillyBostickson)


Between 9-15 Sept 2022 - GER: The two GER military vessels spent a total of six days cruising in close proximity to the two later explosion sites. The ships‘ presence was not part of the naval exercise „Northern Coasts 2022“, which also included a German submarine and a mine sweeper. That started later. (019, 118) The German Armed Forces call it their „eyes and ears“: The „Oste“ A52 (shown above in 2018), built in the 1990s, is an intelligence ship loaded with electronic, optical, and hydro-acoustic sensors.

On 7 September 2022 German FlyNavy1, @CdrDeuNavalAir: "On the way to the important partner FRA @chiefdeunavy made a stopover at the #Marineflieger |n. We wish Admiral Vandier & Vice Admiral Kaack successful discussions at a time when everyone must be at their highest level of operational readiness.FRA DE #gemeinsamstark"

On 7 September 2022 French Chef d'état-major de la Marine, @CEMM_FR: "Pleased to welcome Vice Admiral Jan C. Kaack, @chiefdeunavy to Brest for two days of exchanges. The @deutschemarine is an important partner in 🇪🇺 and within @NATO, with whom we share interests at the maritime borders of Europe but also in the Indo-Pacific. This meeting will be an opportunity to reaffirm our desire to cooperate together, in training as well as in operations, and to share our visions of the current situation in our areas of strategic interest."


On 7 September 2022: French Chef d'état-major de la Marine, @CEMM_FR: "At the Maritime Information Cooperation and Awareness (MICA) Center in Brest with @chiefdeunavy. Maritime security is a joint effort that is built day after day through enhanced cooperation between the military and maritime professionals."



On 8 September 2022 A visit to @MarineNationale in France. "Strong partners in EU and @nato are more important than ever. @amiralVandier and I discuss options for joint projects in the future and reaffirm our commitment to cooperation between our navies. #strongertogether"

On 8 September 2022 US Navy P-8A Poseidon anti-submarine aircraft active over the Baltic Sea


On 8 September 2022 Commander Allied Maritime Command (COM MARCOM), Vice Admiral Keith Blount Royal Navy, visited Allied Joint Force Command Brunssum (JFCBS). The main purpose of this visit was to maintain and develop the already close relationship between the two headquarters and to discuss the how this should evolve with the changing security context. Under NATO’s new Strategic Concept, agreed at the Madrid Summit after Russia’s brutal invasion of Ukraine, the Alliance is strengthening its ability to deter aggression and defend every inch of Alliance territory.
Based in Northwood, United Kingdom, MARCOM is the primary headquarters responsible for maritime forces assigned to NATO. (043)


On 9 September 2022: Chef d'état-major des armées @CEMA_FR: "Dense and constructive discussion with my British counterpart, Admiral @AdmTonyRadakin_. On the agenda: update on joint military operations and discussions in preparation for the next military committee @NATO."

On 15 September 2022 Chief of German navy, @chiefdeunavy: "With the commander at @NATO_MARCOM. In discussion with VAdm Blount we highlighted the position of the @deutschemarine for a regional maritime #Hauptquartier in the #Ostsee . 🇩🇪 as a regional #Expertise |carrier. #strongertogether #wearenato #verantwortungsvollepartner"

Was the meeting at MARCOM involving high-ranking military officials from various NATO countries, including the UK, to clarify the situation? Was the UK explaining the possible presence as routine maintenance or surveillance, unrelated to any aggressive intent? Was this why Mette Frederiksen later flied directly to the UK to meet Liz Truss? (037, 117126Did NATO launch an internal investigation to ensure no member state is acting unilaterally in ways that could destabilize the alliance? This might be the reason of increased air and naval surveillance around critical infrastructure to prevent future incidents or misunderstandings. (118, 131, 144, 145, 146, 177179
Meetings may have been unrelated. Yet, statements might be vague to maintain diplomatic relations, focusing on the integrity of alliances and the need for open communication but given the gravity of the situation. Each meeting should be explored with possibility to be related to the Nordstream affair.


LAMBRECHT & GRAM & BODSKOV PRIVATE DISCUSSIONS

On 8 September 2022 Defence Minister Lambrecht used the journey to Ramstein on board the
Team Luftwaffe Airbus for talks with her Danish counterpart Morten Bødskov and Norwegian counterpart Bjørn Arild Gram. "We will continue to provide support, liaising closely with our partners and allies."

On 8 September 2022 The journey to the conference in Ramstein was already used for initial discussions. Also in the Airbus from Team Luftwaffe were Danish counterpart Morton Bødskov and Norwegian counterpart Bjørn Arild Gram. We will continue to provide support - in close coordination with our partners and allies.

On 8 September 2022 German Defence Minister Lambrecht: "The journey to the conference in Ramstein was already used for initial discussions." Also in the Airbus from @Team_Luftwaffe were 🇩🇰 counterpart Morton Bødskov and 🇳🇴 counterpart Bjørn Arild Gram. We will continue to provide support - in close coordination with our partners and allies.

On 8 September 2022 Norwegian Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Sp) travels to Ramstein in Germany on 8 September to discuss further support for Ukraine with Western allies in the Ukraine Defense Contact Group.

On 8 September 2022 Norway will hand over 160 Hellfire missiles and night vision devices to Ukraine — the Royal Norwegian Ministry of Defence. This statement was made today by the Minister of Defence of Norway, Bjørn Arild Gram, at a meeting with defense ministers at the Ramstein Air Base in Germany.

These discussions seem to be focused on arms deliveries and support for Ukraine. There does not seem to be a sign that Norway was briefing its allies about threat to their key infrastructure, yet. Several hints point to Norway sharing some secret high level data first with Europeans then flagging the issue to the USA on the top level.  (069)


SEDE PUBLISHES PEAPER ABOUT THREATS TO UNDERSEA INFRASTRUCTURE (045, 051089)

On 9 September 2022 European union´s SEDE publishes: "Security threats to undersea communications cables and infrastructure"



THE FINAL TRIGGER WHICH MAY HAVE SIGNED THE FATE OF PIPELINES (139)

On 8 September 2022 Swiss court gives Nord Stream 2 more time to avoid insolvency. In May, the court granted a provisional moratorium against bankruptcy proceedings for the first time, which was valid until September 10. This period has now been extended by another four months. The Swiss company behind the Russian gas pipeline Nord Stream 2 has received a four-month extension to try to repay its debts.

On 8 September 2022 Gazprom unit granted Nord Stream 2 debt restructuring moratorium extension
Nord Stream 2 AG will not go bankrupt at least until 10th of January 2023 thanks to another decision from Zug court.

On 10 September 2022 Nord Stream 2 gas link operator wins further stay of bankruptcy: court
On May 11, Switzerland-based Nord Stream 2 AG was awarded a provisional stay of bankruptcy until Sept. 10 2022, according to a notice in the Swiss Official Gazette of Commerce. In a new notice dated Sept. 8, a court in Zug awarded a four-month extension of the stay of bankruptcy from Sept. 10 until Jan. 10, 2023. There have been calls from within Germany in recent weeks to allow Nord Stream 2 to begin operations after flows through the first Nord Stream system were curtailed and then halted altogether, with gas prices having surged to new records as a result.


It is highly possible that the perpetrator was waiting for the decision. The Swiss court decided to postpone the bankruptcy for half a year. The window of opportunity due to the temperature and weather conditions in Baltic sea would not allow such operation in the middle of the winter so the time was short. EU Foreign minister Borrell disclosed that some parties, likely Germany, were lobbying for the end of the conflict and relaxing sanctions. It was likely Germany needing energy supplies as the energy crisis was spinning out of control. The only possibility left to end Nord Stream 2 and Nord stream 1 pipelines was a physical liquidations. The head of Swedish investigation later in March 2023 stated that the perpetrator was a state with significant knowledge and resources. (053)


TRUSS IN, JOHNSON OUT AND NORD STREAM 1 OFF
I AM CONFIDENT THAT TOGETHER WE CAN RIDE OUT THE STORM
 (042045)

On 9 September 2022 US company Halliburton Completes Russia Exit Over Ukraine War
“The Russia-based management team now owns and operates Halliburton’s former business and assets in Russia under the name BurService LLC, which is independent from Halliburton,” the multinational said in a statement. Halliburton did not disclose the terms of the sale. Its Russian assets were valued at $340 million prior to the exit.

10 Sept 2022 - UK: Boris, meet Tony: Every living ex-UK prime minister gathers as Charles is proclaimed king. The historic occasion brought together Conservative and Labour ex-premiers John Major, Tony Blair, Gordon Brown, David Cameron, Theresa May and Boris Johnson, as well as current Prime Minister Liz Truss. They were joined by past and present Cabinet ministers, the former Archbishops of Canterbury and York, Queen Camilla, and the king’s oldest son and heir William.
Also among the counsellors was former Deputy Prime Minister Nick Clegg, who lost his Sheffield seat in 2017 and is now president of global affairs at tech giant Meta, and the current and former Scottish First Ministers Nicola Sturgeon and Alex Salmond.
The historic ceremony was led by Lord President of the Council Penny Mordaunt, who was only handed the job in Tuesday night’s Cabinet reshuffle by new PM Truss.

On 10 September 2022 Portrait of the week: Truss in, Johnson out and Nord Stream 1 off
Liz Truss, the new Prime Minister, said in a speech outside 10 Downing Street: ‘Boris Johnson delivered Brexit, the Covid vaccine and stood up to Russian aggression. History will see him as a hugely consequential prime minister.’ For her part: ‘I am confident that together we can ride out the storm.’

On 11 September 2022 Liz Truss will not accompany King Charles on UK tour, says No 10
Truss will face a nightmarish schedule for parliamentary business in the days after the funeral on Monday 19 September, with parliament set to rise for recess on Thursday 22 September. The prime minister was also planning to attend the UN general assembly that week in New York. (023)

On 12 September 2022 Liz Truss under pressure to reveal details of energy crisis plan

On 12 September 2022 Liz Truss fixes UK energy prices for two years, at great cost



SANCTIONS AND LEGAL ACT OF RETORSION (029)

On 12 September  2022 Study: "The Legality of Russia’s Indefinite Suspension of NordStream 1 Gas Pipeline Under International Law"
General Remarks on the Legality of the Suspension of the Nord Stream 1 Gas Pipeline
Unilateral sanctions, irrespective of whether they are tacit or explicit, are lawful under international law if they constitute acts of retorsion or countermeasures. Accordingly, to evaluate the legality of the suspension of the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline, it is necessary to question whether Russia’s suspension constitutes an act of retorsion or countermeasure.
Retorsions are ab initio lawful, albeit unfriendly, acts, such as lawful embargoes and the expulsion of diplomats, and they can be imposed to achieve both legal and political objectives of sanctions senders.
Russia can impose retorsions against the G7 price cap plan and/or more broadly EU sanctions which have been imposed against Russia since February 2022.

Conclusion:
The analysis has first showed that Russia’s suspension of Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline is in fact a unilateral sanction imposed by Russia against the EU in reaction to the G7 price cap plan and/or more broadly EU sanctions which have been imposed against Russia since February 2022.
Secondly, it discussed whether this suspension could be considered retorsions or countermeasures under international law.
Lastly, if the indefinite nature of the suspension is revealed, and its legality was evaluated in terms of the termination process requirements within the concepts of retorsions and countermeasures...
However, since there is no binding multilateral rule regulating gas trade on Russia regarding the suspension of gas flow, Russia prima facie does not violate its international obligations owed to the EU by its suspension decision (it should be highlighted that other international obligations beyond gas trading were not discussed in this post)...
Hence, its act may constitute an act of retorsion. Unlike countermeasures, since retorsions do not involve requirements regarding the termination process of unilateral sanctions, Russia is free to indefinitely suspend Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline under current international law so long as the suspension continues to be an act of retorsion.
Consequently, it is necessary to conduct further research and regular review concerning whether Russia’s suspension is consistent with the current and future international obligations of Russia towards the EU.

On 13 September 2022 Russian President Vladimir Putin held talks with German Chancellor Olaf Scholz and told him that the problems with gas supply to Europe through the Nord Stream-1 pipeline had been caused by Western sanctions on Moscow

On 13 September 2022 TASS agency: "Deliveries of Russian gas to Europe in transit through Ukraine on September 13 remain the same - at around 42.4 mln cubic meters per day. Deliveries via the Nord Stream gas pipeline have been completely halted until equipment is repaired"

On 13 September 2022 - RU: TASS agency: "Nord Stream problems were caused by sanctions on Russia — Putin". Describing the current situation in the European energy sector, Vladimir Putin stressed that "Russia has been and remains a reliable supplier of energy resources, fulfilling all its contractual obligations, and interruptions, for example, in the operation of the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline, are caused by anti-Russian sanctions that interfere with its maintenance," the statement said.



ARCTIC SECURITY ROUNDTABLE

On 13-14 September 2022 Norway, Oslo: Arctic Security Forces Roundtable co-chairs meet, focus on strategy. The Arctic Security Forces Roundtable (ASFR) co-chairs, Norwegian Royal Navy Rear Adm. Solveig Krey of the Norwegian Defence Staff and U.S. Air Force Brig. Gen. Edward Vaughan of U.S. European Command met in Oslo Sep. 14 -15 to discuss the content of future meetings.


REMPUS AND DYNAMIC MESSENGER NAVAL EXERCISES IN PORTUGAL

Many assets were moved to the exercise. As a result less assets to detect threats to Nordstream pipelines were available in the Baltic sea.

Between 12-22 September 2022 NATO exercises with new maritime unmanned systems in Portugal. 

REPMUS 22 is led by Portugal and supports the NATO Maritime Unmanned Systems Initiative (MUSI). REPMUS 22 takes place from 12 – 22 September 2022. The exercise has been held in the Portugal’s Troia Bay since 2004.

On 16 September 2022 NATO exercises with new maritime unmanned systems in Portugal. Around 1,500 military and civilian personnel from NATO and partner countries are gathering in Portugal this month for two maritime exercises aimed at testing the interoperability of new maritime unmanned systems. Both exercises are being held in areas around the Troia Peninsula.

This may have been important information for the perpetrator.
Best moment when to approach pipelines and mine them. 

Exercise DYNAMIC MESSENGER 22 will take place from 23 – 30 September 2022 with an emphasis on integrating maritime unmanned systems into maritime operations. It will be the first-ever exercise with a focus on unmanned underwater systems held under NATO command and on integrating unmanned systems into NATO naval task groups. The exercise will test Alliance readiness to use unmanned systems to counter security challenges ranging from conventional submarine threats, to sea mines and asymmetric threats. Both NATO’s Standing Naval Maritime Group 1 (SNMG1) and Standing NATO Maritime Counter Measures Group 1 (SNMCMG1) will be part of DYNAMIC MESSENGER 22.




This may have been important information for the perpetrator.
Best moment when to approach pipelines and mine them. Mats Ljungqvist stated that the perpetrator is a state actor with significant resources and knowledge. (058)


NORTHWOOD HEADQUARTERS: JEF, MARCOM AND ROYAL NAVY (043)

Operational control of NATO joint NAVY is in the UK, Northwood - wiki:
Northwood Headquarters - Commander Operations for the Royal Navy
The NATO Allied Maritime Command is based at Northwood



DENMARK AND UKRAINE (037)

On 13 Sep 2022 Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has met in Kyiv with Defense Ministers Morten Bodskov of Denmark and Hanno Pevkur of Estonia.

On 13 Sep 2022 Denmark says it will host training of Ukrainian soldiers. Denmark has agreed to train Ukrainian soldiers on Danish soil, Ritzau news agency quoted Defence Minister Morten Bodskov as saying after a meeting with his Ukrainian counterpart in Kyiv on Tuesday.

On 14 September 2022 Fogh Rasmussen (Former Prime Minister of Denmark) said: "Yesterday, I was in Kyiv to present recommendations on security guarantees to President Zelenskyy . Ukraine is showing that with the necessary resources, it is more than a match for Russia on the battlefield. Now Ukraine's allies must step up for the long-term."



G7 UNKRAINIAN CREDITORS POSTPONE PAYMENT OF LOANS (085)

On 14 September 2022 G7 Statement by Group of Creditors of Ukraine: "The representatives of the Group of creditors of Ukraine (“The Group”) and the government of Ukraine met virtually on September 14, 2022 to conclude a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) in order to implement the debt service suspension announced on July 20, 2022."
This MoU eases Ukraine’s liquidity pressures and allows its government to increase social, health and economic spending in response to Russia’s unjustified, unprovoked and illegal war of aggression.
During the meeting, the Minister of Finance of Ukraine provided a description of the economic and financial situation in his country and presented the measures taken by his government in the past few months to support the Ukrainian economy in the context of the war.
The Group welcomed the reforms implemented by the government of Ukraine to address the economic and financial consequences of the war. In addition, the Group welcomed the conclusion of an agreement with bondholders and warrant holders to defer debt payments for two years, which represents substantive support for the government and people of Ukraine.
Finally, the Group strongly encourages all other official bilateral creditors to swiftly reach agreement with Ukraine on a debt service suspension.
"We will continue to closely coordinate and assess the situation with the support of the IMF and the World Bank."
Background note: The Group of Creditors of Ukraine includes Canada, France, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom, and the United States of America.
Observers to the Group include Australia, Austria, Belgium, Brazil, Denmark, Finland, Ireland, Israel, Italy, Korea, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, and Switzerland.

On 14 September 2022 Ukraine's western government creditors agree debt service freeze. Ukraine's western government creditors concluded on Wednesday a memorandum of understanding on a planned debt service suspension, the group said. The group, which includes Canada, France, Germany, Japan, United Kingdom and the United States, said in July that they would provide a coordinated suspension of Kyiv's debt servicing to the end of 2023 and potentially for an additional year.
"This MoU eases Ukraine's liquidity pressures and allows its government to increase social, health and economic spending in response to Russia's unjustified, unprovoked and illegal war of aggression," the group said in a statement issued by France's finance ministry.

On 14 September 2022 Debt Relief for Ukraine - Debt Service Suspension (Japan)

On 14 September 2022 Joe Biden and UK’s Liz Truss agree on continued support for Ukraine, tackling energy crisis. “They agreed to redouble bilateral efforts to reduce energy dependence on Russia and to increase the amount of renewable and other forms of energy flowing from democratic states,” the spokesperson added.


RUSSIA SANCTIONS UK CITIZENS RESPONSIBLE FOR ANTI-RUSSIAN POLICY (113)

On 14 September 2022 Russia bans 30 British citizens from entry. Russia imposes sanctions against UK citizens responsible for anti-Russian policy — MFA. The Russian Foreign Ministry said that the provocative anti-Russian rhetoric of British officials show the "unfailing determination of the British leadership to continue a tough systemic confrontation" with Russia
"In response to the hostile actions from the British side, a decision has been made to put a number of representatives of the political establishment, press corps and expert community of the UK on the Russian stop-list," the ministry said. "Among them are local politicians responsible for formulating and putting into practice London's anti-Russian policy, journalists found lying and promoting Russophobia, as well as experts who cover important socio-political events in our country in a negative and contrary to reality manner."


GERMAN LED NAVAL EXERCISE NORTHERN COASTS (019, 118, 144, 146, 223, 224)

Between 9-14 Sept 2022 German Navy had an intelligence ship and a submarine hunting warship in the area . The German intelligence vessel „Oste“ A52 - The German Armed Forces call it their „eyes and ears“ was in the Bornholm area on 14th of September. 
Perhaps it spoiled the first attempt to mine the NS1 and NS2? Then it left to Kalipeda, Lithuania.
This area was therefore "guarded" during the operation of these ships. 

Between 15 - 19 Sept 2022 - GER+: Northern Coasts NATO Naval Exercise Beginning in Baltic Sea

Note Bundeswehr statements: "The increased presence in the Baltic Sea has also had an impact on the Navy's annual autumn maneuvers: Northern Coasts lasted longer than usual this year at four weeks, from 29 August to 28 September. This provided an opportunity for more participation from Germany's Baltic Sea partners."
"As a major resident, we have a natural focus in the Baltic Sea region," explains the Inspector of the Navy, Vice Admiral Jan-Christian Kaack. "Our allies expect a leadership role from us."
"There has been a significant shift in the projects of our ships, boats and aircraft from outside to the Baltic Sea," confirms frigate captain Ulrich F. from the MOCMaritime Operations Centre. And he adds: “This applies to both national and international units. However, exact figures, data and facts are classified.”


COLLECTIVE READINESS FOR A COORDNIATED, EFFECTIVE RESPONSE

On 15 September 2022 NATO: SUBLANT HOSTS REGIONAL, AREA COMMANDER SUMMIT
NORFOLK, Va. Submarine Force Atlantic (SUBLANT) hosted a regional and area commander summit onboard Naval Support Activity Hampton Roads, Sept. 15.
“The summit allowed for focused discussion to identify obstacles that might inhibit an overwhelming response to a major fire aboard a nuclear-powered warship,” said Capt. Stephen Mongold, SUBLANT’s director for maintenance and material readiness. “The intent is to develop and align on priority actions to further improve our collective readiness for a coordinated, effective response.



FRENCH PARTICIPATION IN GURDING BALTIC SEA (221)

France is a shareholder in Nordstream project.

On 
15 - 19 September 2022 The Tripartite Minehunter (CMT) Céphée made a stopover at the port of Klaipėda from September 15 to 19, as part of the multinational exercise "Northern Coasts 2022", organized by the German Navy to strengthen cooperation in the Baltic Sea.

On 20 September 2022 The Finnish Navy is exercising with the French mine countermeasures vessel Céphée in the Baltic Sea 22¬-23 September 2022 Afterwards the French vessel will moor in Turku until the 28th of September.

On 22 September 2022 Finland French ship: Mines are searched for by humans and machines
Destiny is a first name. The captain of the ship, Capitaine de Corvette Vernay, with the rank of captain in command, says that he cannot reveal the surnames of his subordinates to the public. "Unlike your country, our country is not safe", he says.

This is a very odd statement. Finland has not yet been in the NATO but France is worried about some attack. What did they know and what infrastructure were they protecting near Finland?  


US PRESENCE IN THE BALTIC SEA (111)

On 15 September 2022 US Navy, Ishee assumes command of U.S. Sixth Fleet and Naval Striking and  Support Forces NATO. U.S. NAVAL SUPPORT ACTIVITY NAPLES, Italy - Vice Adm. Thomas E. Ishee relieved Vice Adm. Gene Black III as commander, U.S. Sixth Fleet (SIXTHFLT) and commander, Naval Striking and Support Forces NATO (STRIKFORNATO) in a change of command ceremony held onboard U.S. Naval Support Activity Naples, Italy, Sept. 15, 2022.
“Gene has sustained an unprecedented level of activity as the fleet commander for the Euro-Atlantic area, recalibrating our combined forces for dynamic operations, as the tenets of strategic competition dictate, to deter Russian aggression and stand ready to defend NATO,” said Munsch. “No one can look at the tenor you’ve set and argue that our adversaries haven’t factored your warfighting command of Sixth Fleet and STRIKFORNATO into their calculus.”
Ishee, previously the Director of Global Operations for U.S. Strategic Command, spoke of his appreciation for the team he will lead, while outlining his vision and goals for the command.
“History is unfolding before our eyes, and our nation, the alliance, other allies and our partners around the world are relying on Sixth Fleet and STRIKFORNATO to maintain freedom of navigation, defend our nations and the alliance, and support our partners,” said Ishee.
Headquartered in Naples, Italy, NAVEUR-NAVAF operates U.S. naval forces in the U.S. European Command (USEUCOM) and U.S. Africa Command (USAFRICOM) areas of responsibility.


US-UK CONTACTS (023)

On 16 September 2022 Navy’s SSP Director Vice Adm. Johnny Wolfe Pays Respects Her Late Majesty Queen Elizabeth II. Vice Adm. Johnny Wolfe, Jr., Director, Strategic Systems Programs (SSP) paid his respects to Queen Elizabeth II at the Service of Thanksgiving for the Life of Her Late Majesty at the Washington National Cathedral on Wednesday and signed the condolence book of Her Majesty the Queen for the Royal Family and the people of the United Kingdom at the British Embassy in the United States Sept. 16.


NORWAY ENERGY EXPORTS ALREADY AT MAXIMUM (028)
NORWAY GOT EYES AND EARS INTEL SHARES WITH USA (069120)

On 14 September 2022 Norway, #Harstad #Norwegian Sea: #S21 #47819E Norway Air Force P-8A Poseidon

15 Sept 2022 Norway, #Harstad #Norwegian Sea: #MANTA23 #47819E Norway Air Force P-8A Poseidon

On 17 September 2022 'Norway first!' Panic as UK's biggest gas importer facing pressure to cut off supplies. Norway is the UK's primary gas supplier, responsible for about 60 percent of the country's total demand, according to figures from the Norwegian government.

On 17 Sepembert 2022 Were not invited - these must participate. King Harald and Queen Sonja are traveling from Norway for the funeral. NATO leader Jens Stoltenberg is also invited.. One person who has not been invited, however, is Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre.

On 18 September 2022 -The Minister of Defense visits the United States 18.-21. September Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Sp) travels to the USA. On Monday 19 September, Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre and Minister of Defense Bjørn Arild Gram will visit the US Navy's 2nd Fleet and NATO's operational command (Joint Force Command) in Norfolk, USA. 
They will also meet soldiers aboard the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford. After Norfolk, the Minister of Defense will continue to Washington DC. Among other things, he will meet his American colleague Lloyd Austin in the Pentagon on Tuesday 20 September.
The security policy situation we find ourselves in now is serious and has changed rapidly. That is why it is more important than ever to engage in close dialogue with close allies, says Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Sp).

On 18 September 2022 The Secretary of Defense to the United States 18 - 21 September
Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Sp) is traveling to the USA on 18 September to, among other things, meet his colleague Lloyd Austin in the Pentagon. Gram is also going to Norfolk to visit the US Navy.




RIME MINISTER MEETS ENERGY MINISTER, HEADS OF MAJORS
NORWAY IN SERIOUS THREAT SITUATION (069120)
NORWEIGEAN SECRETARY OF STATE AND GERMAN AMBASSADORS MEET (069)
GRAM TELLS NORWAY IS NOT SUFFICIENTLY EQUIPPED AGAINST THREATS 
SUCH AS SABOTAGE, TERRORIST PLANNING (127, 217, 225)

On 11 Sept 2022 - NOR: Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram visited Øvelse Trøndelag this weekend. There he said that he envisions a new home protection. The tasks in a new home protection concern, among other things, which objects must be secured in an increasingly vulnerable society. There is an increasing need to see state security and social security in context, says Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram, here in conversation with the head of the Trøndelag Home Guard District, Colonel Jens Christian Junge.

On 13 September 2022 Norwegian Minister of Defense visits Forsvarsbygg on 13 September
Bjørn Arild Gram will visit Forsvarsbygg on 13 September 2022 to get a briefing on the agency.

On 13 Sept 2022 Many EU countries demand a gas price cap for gas from Norway. "Norway's Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre does not think much of it... He warns of unintended consequences on the gas market"

On 15 September 2022 Norway will work with the European Union to seek a more stable gas market as soaring prices are not in the Nordic country's best interests, Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Stoere said on Thursday.

On 15 September 2022 Meeting with Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi. Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre and Oil and Energy Minister Terje Aasland have invited representatives from the companies Equinor, Aker BP and Vår Energi to a meeting about the energy crisis in Europe on Thursday 15 September at 08.30. The three companies are the three largest petroleum producers on the Norwegian continental shelf.

On 15 September 2022 State Secretary Eivind Vad Petersson has a meeting with Germany's new ambassador to Norway, Dr. Detlef Wächter.

On 15 September 2022 Bjørn Arild Gram (Sp) tells NRK that Norway is not sufficiently equipped to defend itself against threats such as espionage, sabotage, terrorist planning and cyber operations.

On 15 Sept 2022 Rødt demands answers about disputed monitoring system The Minister of Defence: - Is legal. Rødt's leader Bjørnar Moxnes demands an answer from the Minister of Defence.
Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram (Sp) tells NRK that Norway is not sufficiently equipped to defend itself against threats such as espionage, sabotage, terrorist planning and cyber operations.
He believes that Norway is in a serious threat situation, and that it is therefore important to get such a system in place. We are a digital society. There is a lot of good about it, but there are actors who use the digital space, who do not like us. We cannot have an analogue defense in a digital world.

It is highly probable that Norway had at this moment some important intelligence about changing security situation. Some serious issue was discovered which forced Norwegian leadership to reach out to the Germany and later to he USA. This future crisis was likely about energy sector based on meetings with representatives from major Norwegian companies.

16 Sept 2022 - NOR: The Minister of Defense will visit FFI on 16 September
Bjørn Arild Gram will visit the Norwegian Defense Research Institute (FFI) on 16 September at Kjeller.
During the visit to Kjeller, Bjørn Arild Gram had his political adviser Marie Lamo with him. Major General Henning Frantzen, department director Marianne Magnæs and senior advisor Idun Mostulien also participated.
In just under three hours, Gram got an insight into some of the many tasks the institute is responsible for. FFI's support for defense planning is central. Research leader Sverre Kvalvik and research leader Mona Guttelvik both work at the Strategic Analysis and Joint Systems department. They met an interested minister.
Compound attacks
Together they finally visited FFI's CBRE preparedness laboratory (Chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, and explosives).
The laboratory has an important role when unknown and potentially dangerous substances are discovered. Research leader Helene Thorsen Rønning and senior researcher Janne Tønsager both work at the Total Defense department, and have extensive knowledge of the challenges facing society in this area.

On 16 September 2022 Prime minister Støre: "My colleagues are talking about a war economy
The Prime Minister met the oil and gas companies to discuss the energy crisis in Europe. After the meeting, he emphasized the seriousness of the energy crisis."

The Prime Minister's program week 38 from 16 September 2022. The Prime Minister and ministers normally have these fixed posts in the weekly programme: Government conference on Thursday at 12.30 and Minister of State at the Palace on Friday at 11 a.m. There are also regular meetings of the Government's security committee (RSU).
The program does not seem to include early departure to the USA where UN meeting will take place. 
At some point fast track emergency high priority arrangement is organized between Norway and USA. Prime minister and Defence minister will travel to Norfolk, USA where they will hold series of strategic meetings at very secure place: Newly commissioned aircraft carrier G. Ford. (069120)


SUDDEN NATO PRESS RELEASE (069, 167183, 190)

On 16 September 2022 NATO issued Press Release: "NATO Secretary General to visit the USA 19-23 Sept 2022" 

The timing for the travel of the NATO Secretary General to Norfolk is the same time as Norwegian Prime Minister and his Defence Minister visit to Norfolk which is a HQ for US navy but also a NATO HQ. This statement is interesting as all three may have been opn those "series of strategic meetings on the USN General Ford. 
(069, 120)


POLISH REKIN (SHARK) NAVAL EXERCISE (075)
INCLUDING ANTI-MINE, ANTI-TERRORISM, ANTI-PIRACY

On 15 September 2022 Nearly 20 ships from will participate in Navy maneuvers under the code name REKIN22. The maneuvers will integrate ship operations supported by planes and helicopters, Special Forces and specialized shore units. The exercise will begin on September 16.

On 15 Sept 2022 - PL: (Thursday) - Poland set to launch navy exercises in Baltic Sea
Nearly 20 ships from Poland, Lithuania, Latvia, and Estonia will take part in Rekin-22 maritime exercises in the Baltic Sea set to begin on Friday (16-09-2022).
On Thursday (15-09-2022), the Polish Navy announced that military maritime maneuvers under the codename Rekin-22 will begin on Friday in the territorial waters of the Baltic Sea and the international South Baltic.
Poland's Marine Operations Center spokesperson Piotr Dulas said in a statement that the maneuvers “will be supported by Air Force aircraft and helicopters, Special Forces and specialized shore units.”
Dulas added that this year's Rekin-22 maneuvers will comprehensively implement the operation of protecting shipping routes, preventing the country from being blockaded from the sea and ensuring the free flow of goods to allied countries.
“Nowadays, when maritime transport is even more important for the economy, ensuring safe sea lines of communication which guarantee the uninterrupted functioning of the supply chain and uninterrupted trade by sea is one of the most important issues not only in Europe, but also in the world", Dulas said in the statement.
The Shark-22 maritime exercises are due to wrap up on Sunday.

On 15 Sept 2022 Manoeuvres codenamed Shark-22 will take place in the Baltic Sea
The Navy, in a communiqué, sent on Thursday, informed about the military manoeuvres under the codename Rekin-22 starting on Friday in the territorial waters of the Baltic Sea and the international South Baltic.
A spokesman for the Maritime Operations Centre – Maritime Component Command Cmdr Lt Piotr Dulas conveyed that the manoeuvres will integrate the activities of tactical compounds operating in the maritime domain, such as the 3rd Flotilla of Ships, the 8th Flotilla of Coastal Defence and the Naval Aviation Brigade.
Additionally, the ships’ actions at sea will be supported by aircraft and helicopters of the Air Force, Special Forces and specialised shore units such as the Maritime Missile Unit, the 6th Radioelectronic Centre, anti-aircraft squadrons, sapper battalions or the Naval Command Battalion – enumerated Dulas.
‘Shark’ operations will also be carried out in cooperation with the forces of the Baltic Naval Squadron, which includes ships from the Baltic countries as well as specialists from the Marine Unit of the Border Guard, the Maritime Search and Rescue Service and the maritime offices in Szczecin and Gdynia.
Dulas emphasised in the communiqué that within the framework of this year’s Rekin-22 manoeuvres, a comprehensive operation will be carried out to protect shipping routes, prevent the blockade of the country from the sea and ensure the free flow of goods to allied countries.
As indicated by a representative of the Maritime Operations Centre – Maritime Component Command, a number of episodes have been planned during the manoeuvres reflecting the widest possible spectrum of threats that may currently occur at sea.
Nowadays, when maritime transport is even more important for the economy, ensuring safe sea lines of communication guaranteeing uninterrupted functioning of the supply chain and uninterrupted trade by sea is one of the most important issues not only in Europe, but also in the world,’ noted Lieutenant Commander Dulas in the communiqué.
The COM-DKM representative points out the significant role of the Baltic Sea and transshipped goods in Polish ports. He stated that they account for up to 10 per cent of the country’s total budget.
Between 2,000 and more than 3,000 vessels pass through the Baltic every day. There is international trade, transfer of raw materials and passenger traffic. Polish ports handle more than 100 million tonnes of cargo a year, including strategic raw materials such as oil and liquefied gas,” noted Dulas.
He stressed that as part of the Rekin-22 manoeuvres, a number of ship and aviation actions will be undertaken to cover maritime transport and shipping safety.
It is mainly about countering attacks from water and air and submarine attacks, he pointed out.
He added in the communiqué that the manoeuvres also include anti-mine, anti-terrorism, anti-piracy, as well as stabilisation, peace enforcement and humanitarian operations. Exercises of this nature are key to creating the atmosphere of maritime security necessary for the unhindered development of maritime transport and trade.

Between 16 - 23 Sept 2022 The Polish Navy participates in military exercises "Rekin" and "Northern Coasts 2022". From today to September 23 in Gdynia, Poland, the Navy will participate in the Polish Navy military exercise "Rekin", and from September 19 to 22 in the stage of the international military exercise "Northern Coasts 2022", which will take place in Lithuanian waters.

On 18 September 2022 The ships 8FOW , ORP WIGRY and ORP KORMORAN from 13dTR cooperated with LNS JOTVINGIS and LVNS VARONIS from the BALTRON group, as part of the preparatory phase for exercise #REKIN22



RUSSIA APPEALS AND ENCOURAGES EUROPEANS TO RESTART NORD STREAM 2 (010)

On 16 September 2022 Putin tells Europe: "If you want gas then open Nord Stream 2"

On 16 September 2022 News conference following visit to Uzbekistan. Putin: "...Nord Stream 1. One turbine goes out of order after another. Are we breaking them? As regards the latest turbine breaking down and being taken out of service – what actually happened?
There was supposed to be a routine inspection and maintenance works; they opened the unit in the presence of Siemens specialists and found an oil leak there, which created a danger of an explosion. They saw it, and they put their signatures under the document. The turbine has to be repaired and it is not operational, with a risk of fire and explosion. But what does it have to do with us? Go ahead and repair it."

Then he continues: 
"We were told: look, they delivered a turbine from Canada but Gazprom will not accept it. But Gazprom is right in doing so. We said so many times: Gazprom’s contract for servicing turbines is not with Siemens but with a UK-based Siemens subsidiary. That is what it is all about..."



BIDEN (094)

On 16 September 2022 ‘Don’t, don’t, don’t’: Biden presses Putin on nuclear weapons. US President Joe Biden has urged Russian President Vladimir Putin to not use tactical nuclear or chemical weapons after a series of military losses in Ukraine.
Asked by an American reporter with the show 60 Minutes on US network CBS what he would say to Putin if he considered using such weapons, Biden said: “Don’t. Don’t. Don’t. It would change the face of war unlike anything since World War II.”
Biden said the US response would be “consequential” – but declined to give details.
“[Russia] would become more of a pariah in the world than they ever have been,” Biden said. “Depending on the extent of what they do, will determine what response would occur.”
Asked about Biden’s comments, RIA Novosti quoted Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov as saying: “Read [Russia’s nuclear] doctrine. Everything is written there.”
Under Moscow’s doctrine, nuclear weapons can be used after “an aggression against Russia or its ally with the use of mass destruction weapons”, or “when the very existence of the state is under threat”.



UNITED KINGDOM HAS A NEW KING, PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET (054010)

On 15 September 2022 Liz Truss to lift fracking ban ‘despite little progress on earthquake risk’

On 16 September 2022 Vanguard class submarine outbound on the Clyde in bright sunshine this evening.

On 17 September 2022 King Charles III greets Admiral Sir Ben Key, First Sea Lord, during a meeting with military chiefs of staff at Buckingham Palace in London.

On 17 September 2022 Liz Truss warned of mass bankruptcies if firms left in limbo over energy bills (042)

Between 17-18 September 2022 New UK Prime minister had meetings with foreign leaders
Saturday 17th September at Chevening:
- Prime Minister Anthony Albanese of Australia [in person]
- Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern of New Zealand [in person]
- Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al Nahyan, President of the UAE [phone call]
Sunday 18th September at No 10 Downing Street:
- Irish Taoiseach Micheál Martin [in person]
- Prime Minister Justin Trudeau of Canada [in person]
- President Andrzej Duda of Poland [in person]




SECURITY SITUATION WORSENS AFTER IN 3rd WEEK (179)
MANY NAVAL OPERATION, ANTI-TERRORIST, POLICE EXERCISES IN BALTIC SEA

NATO EUROPE

On 16-18 September 2022 - NATO: NATO Chiefs of Defence Discuss Deterrence and Defence, Multi-Domain Operations, Digital Transformation

On 16 September 2022 - NATO: Tallinn Estonia: Military Committee in Chiefs of Defence Session
The Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR) is the commander of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization's (NATO) Allied Command Operations (ACO) and head of ACO's headquarters, Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe (SHAPE). The commander is based at SHAPE in Casteau, Belgium. SACEUR is the second-highest military position within NATO, below only the Chair of the NATO Military Committee in terms of precedence.


FINLAND

On 16 September 2022 Rasmus Hindren - Director of Defence Policy, Office of the President of Finland: Hybrid CoE was happy to host the visit of the Norwegian Defence Commission /Forsvarskommisjonen

On 16 September 2022 Hybrid CoE, @HybridCoE: The President of GMF US, Heather Conley paid a visit to the Centre with a group of security policy experts. Thank you for your visit


DENMARK 

Between 12 - 18 September 2022 BALTIC SEA ACTIVITIES - BY foga.dk - wk. 37

On 17 September 2022 DNK NAVY PATROL P523 Najaden left Bornholm


LITHUANIA 

On 16 September 2022 USS Arlington #LPD24 pulls into Port Klaipeda, Lithuania, for logistical supply and military equipment management after the ship's intensive military exercises in the Baltic Sea.

NORWAY - POLAND

On 18->17 September 2022 - DK/PL: Danish Defence Attaché to Poland 🇩🇰🇵🇱: Yesterday I had the opportunity to visit the Amphibious Assault Vessel USS Kearsarge in the port of Gdynia🇵🇱 Happy to see our US ally operate in the Baltic Sea


NORWAY - NETHERLAND

On 18 September 2022 SNMG1 Supply and support ships such as NO HNoMS Maud and NED HNLMS Karel Doorman don't only replenish the own Task group, they also ensure sustainability of Allies such as 🇺🇸 USS Kearsarge.


PUTIN IS FAILING IN ALL STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES (010)

The head of UK Defence, Navy on 18 September 2022 "Putin failing on all his strategic military objectives", says defence chief. Admiral Sir Tony Radakin is the professional head of the United Kingdom’s Armed Forces, says Putin failing on all his military strategic objectives, including his desire to subjugate Ukraine & its people.


RUSSIA BEGINS MANY NAVAL, LAND AND AIR DRILLS NEAR KALININGRAD (110)

On 18 September 2022 - RU: Baltic Fleet corvette performs anti-submarine missions at sea
As part of the planned combat training, the corvette crew worked on the tasks of searching for and destroying a simulated enemy submarine in the Baltic Sea.
The corvette crew, in cooperation with the Ka-27PL anti-submarine helicopters of the naval aviation fleet, carried out a series of joint exercises to search for, track and destroy a simulated enemy submarine using radar and hydroacoustic equipment and the ships' anti-submarine weapons.

On 18 September 2022 The Russian sailing ship Sedov (four masts, one of the largest of its kind in the world) left Kaliningrad toward Bornholm.



Next post will be looking at many events which happened between 19th and 26th of September 2022.


RELATED POSTS:

002 - UK government does not like Nordstream

003 - Historical ROOTS of Nordstream affair

004 - 100 shades of Nordstream sabotage - part II

006 - 20 points about UK submarines, DDS, SWCS, MK11, deep divers, DTXG team

008 - 100 shades of Nordstream sabotage - part III

009 - USA vs Nordstream, Poseidons and submarine, Search for a submarine?

010 - Mackinder Roadblocks against Euro-Asian development & integration

012 - Whose submarine visited Bornholm Deep before the Nordstream was blown up?

014 - The UK chain of command toward SBS

016 - Tracking Astute submarines in 2022

019 - Identified submarine threat in the Baltic Sea and the German led "Northern Coasts" exercise

023 - About the UK-USA "special relationship"

026 - The $1.5 Trillion Margin Call on EU energy Utilities

027 - Mission accomplished - UK - from Energy Importer to Energy Exporter

028 - Norway energy exports to EU were at the limit. Why to blow Nordstream then?

029 - The Act of Retorsion allows Gazprom legal suspension of deliveries to Europe

















































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NEXT

(Part 11 - September 2/3 - Draft for now)

***


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I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
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