Tuesday, December 31, 2024

226 - Mortymer´s Nordstream hypothesis - The 2024 investigation recap


Mortymer´s investigation of Nordstream affair

The five basic steps in the crime analysis process include the 
collection, categorization, analysis, dissemination, and evaluation of information.



KEY TAKEAWAYS:

Mortymer's investigation, conducted between 2022 and 2024, identifies a small faction within the UK government as responsible for the Nord Stream attack. 

Original report, in October & November 2022 possibly a Key Evidence was found, further probes discovered serious inconsistencies in official narratives. Systematic probe was conducted, pre-investigation has shown a complex case and possible coordinated actions in cover-up of circumstances. A NATO member suspected. Pool of 17 States identified as possible perpetrators.

Progress report: While the 2023 focused on identifying of the perpetrator(s), crime scenes (near Bornholm, orders came from top - government offices) the 2024 focused on other actors involved in the case.

The case has concluded, results are scattered, synthesis is needed. The 2025 starts by reconstructing sequence of events (Part 1) leading to the affair, the beginning of the affair itself (Part 2) and how events surrounding the case (Part 3). The data is robust enough to bring next 12 parts in short order. 

US Involvement: The investigation shows that the US was aware of the UK's plans and communicated this to some European partners. Mere week before the event happened there was whistle-blowing by Norway.

The cover-up: There are several motives as why the case is kept sealed starting from uncomfortable admission of pre-knowledge of the threat which was not shared with the majority owner of the pipeline, failure to act in proportion to the threat and failure to prevent the event, legal consequences if it is confirmed that the USA knew it will happen and let it happen

Other motives of the cover-up: Admission that the perpetrator was a member of NATO has serious strategic implications. The public could demand states to leave the alliance. The Trans-Atlantic link could be further severed which could create dangerous political and security vacuum for the whole European continent. Yet, crime is a crime. Covering up crime is crime itself.

Government officials are compromised: To cover-up the serious crime which could be defined as a terrorist act by a state is a crime itself. Government officials decided jointly not to release what they know and to keep the Trans-Atlantic alliance strong.   

Methodology: Evidence was meticulously collected, analyzed, and disseminated, culminating in the publication of findings on a blog

Accessibility: The investigation is entirely self-funded and results are publicly available. There is no secret data source, all information is verifiable and properly (dates work as web links).

Future Plans: The year 2025 will be dedicated to synthesizing and publishing comprehensive findings.


MAIN OBJECTIONS DEBUNKED:

1. Ukraine was behind

-> There are no international search warrants for Ukrainian fugitives 

-> Ukraine was asking for extension of loan payments, attack of European energy infrastructure would complicate the deal for Zelenski

-> SWE main investigator implicitly rejected pro-Ukrainian amateur groups and named state as suspect 

-> SWE main investigator Mats Ljungqvist hinted that USA, Russia were excluded in several rounds from pool of suspects. meaning several most probable scenarios were disproved. SWE knows what happened and how.  

2. USA was behind

There is no real data in my vast data-set pointing to the scenario that the USA has actively engaged in planning, preparing, execution of the mission to blow-up Nordstream. On the contrary, all available data points that the USA knew about the UK´s Boris Johnson´s plan already in June, then again a week before it happened. That mission did not align with the US´s strategy for the region so they warned its allies (likely GER, DUT, FRA - owners of Nordstream, and NOR as a main ally and EU energy provider. The USA positioned itself for future crisis. )

3. Hersh has proven it was the USA

My investigation early results with some of the key evidence was published/online already in 2022/2023. In January I started to contact top investigative journalists like NYP, WaPo,...  I have contacted Sy Hersh in February 2023 after he published his Nordstream article.
He shut me down worrying I was a plant to stop him from his reporting. I sent him some my data which he has never commented on. His statements are debunked by my hard data here

5. USA ordered UK to do it

The USA actually put the special US-UK relationship in pause, iced it after Biden-Truss and Blinken-Cleverly meetings. The US withdrew its naval forces from the Baltic sea as not to be involved in next European conflict. Then the next day Truss goes into hidingThe USA jumped-onboard in the last week after Norway blew-up whistle about the threat and its risks to regional and global stability. Here.

6. Norway was involved

Norway actually wanted to reduce its energy exports, was already at maximum production.
Norway was the whiste-blower. It is unclear how much they shared and what depth of the intel there was about UK´s plans. Both whistle-blowers changed their engagements for the day when the event happened. The message was that the conflict must not spill over from Ukrainian-Russian war and further escalation must be stopped.


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2022 - The primary goal of Mortymer´s Nordstream Investigation in the Year 2022 was to follow the case itself. Evidence, data was collected but unpublished. In October and November the case was discussed offline. In December 2022 a short summary was posted to several people, it included a few events which may have been considered key evidence and several other data-points overlooked by all journalists and public. Circumstances, inconsistencies, very non-standard and odd behavior, the denial, plus the shock and awe of public brought this case to spotlight. 

2023 - The primary goal of Mortymer´s Nordstream Investigation in the Year 2023 was first to pass the collected evidence to investigative journalists. Reaching out on open to top investigators did not go as expected. Hersh´s claim in February negated all efforts. Contacting Sy Hersh led to him shutting off after evidence was passed to him. There were many wild speculations but public lacked any meaningful hard data. The collected evidence was incrementally published on this blog.

The the investigation case itself was initiated and pre-investigation was launched, the hypothesis was defined, tested, data properly collected, sorted, categorized and analysed in blocks. Profiling on individual and state level has been concluded. Comprehensive pool of 17 suspected states nd their representatives was defined. Key decision-makers were identified in each state and analysed separately, those with related data published, rest not (yet). All investigation done by the book. 

The investigative work was open to public and published results are accessible with no pay-wall, the investigation is self funded thus independent of political or other parties, all data is verifiable and sourced from public domain. The scope definition followed, then planning of next investigative steps, what to include and what not. Due to limitation not all results (e.g. minor findings, all offline work, notes, tons of data, sources, links, debunked part of sub-claims) are published but all are available would the need arise. Master Data-Set was made accessible to serious interested parties (later improved, republished).

In summary the 2023 investigation could be defined as focused on the suspect itself. The investigation has concluded. The set of available data show a small group in UK´s government is responsible for planning, preparing, orchestrating and executing the mission against international key infrastructure

The last post of 2023 is a comparison with Hersh´s claim, the other half is the overview of posts divided into blocks based on topics. 

2024 - The focus of Mortymer´s Nordstream Investigation in the Year 2024 was to collect the evidence and analyse behavior of other actors. Two investigations, one in Sweden and another in Denmark were discontinued, only one in Germany is supposedly still ongoing. No results have been published.

The 2024 investigation collected additional data which were analysed, cross-verified. The sequence of events covering the year 2022 when the attack happened was described in another 105 posts. They complement the 2023 research. There is absolutely no internal or external discrepancy, all available data point to one and only explanation how events unfolded. 

The conclusion is that the USA has had previous knowledge about the UK´s plan to attack Nordstream. Plans were in advanced stage already in spring and early in summer 2022 and so the USA informed discretely its main European allies (France, Germany, Norway). The case was discussed with the UK on the top level and shelved.

 The UK got a new leadership Boris Johnson was deposed and Liz Truss took a post of Prime Minister. The mission was already re-launced and she had confirmed its greenlight, prepared UK´s economy, its political structure for expected crisis. The mission was multifaceted and included management on international level through NATO, EU, foreign ministers and other official and unofficial channels.

The perpetrator was temporarily successful in concealing what happened and who is really responsible yet the case is far from being closed. The mission failed and now European Leadership is compromised 

 2025 - The focus of Mortymer´s Nordstream Investigation in the Year 2025 will be synthesis and publishing results. 

 

***

Journalists could apply for access to the main data-set


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This is the only publicly open investigation. 

It took over 2 years and still brings new findings. 

 You can follow, share and/or support.


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Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

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Friday, December 20, 2024

225 - Behavioural analysis of Truss, Støre, Gram, Scholz, Lambrecht, Bødskov,... during the day of Nordstream crisis

ONE ROGUE STATE

OTHERS, THEY KNEW

THEY FAILED TO PROTECT

NOW IT IS A HUMILIATING SECRET


Behavioral Timeline: Analysts would construct a timeline of events, 
noting when and how each suspect's behavior intersects with the crime or crime scene. 

This timeline helps in understanding who was where, 
when, and what actions they might have taken.

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

Behavioral Changes: Sudden or suspicious changes in behavior around the time of the incident, like increased secrecy, unexplained absences, or financial transactions. (NOR, US, GER leaders had suddenly changed their schedules to align with future events, Pound moves) 

Unusual Activities or Meetings: Patterns of meetings that don't align with normal behavior or routine. Secretive meetings, unusual travel patterns, or sudden changes in behavior (Truss leaving in the middle of the Mini-Budget).

Inconsistencies: Note any discrepancies between public statements and private actions or between different accounts of events. Note shallow explanations of important events. 

Access and Opportunity: Means, motive, and opportunity based on their actions and known capabilities. (Only the UK fits the profiling, has strongest motives - here)

Communication Patterns: Communication logs and known interactions for signs of planning, coordination, or post-event cover-up. (Truss messaging, several posts)

Psychological Indicators: Stress indicators, changes in social behavior, or admissions of guilt through indirect means. (Truss going into hiding 3 days before and after the event, her announcement at the UN council, the UK=s long term bashing of RU energy exports)



DATA ABOUT IMPORTANT UNUSUAL MEETINGS JUST BEFORE OR MEANWHILE  NORDSTREAM IS BLOWN UP

NEW YORK GENERAL ASSEMBLY


[MRT: MORE ABOUT US-UK RELATIONSHIP HERE]


LONDON


23 Sept 2022 - Liz truss missing

She was in the House of Commons by Kwasi Kwarteng’s side as he announced his emergency Budget on Friday, supportively nodding and smiling, but she scuttled out of the chamber as soon as the leader of the opposition had responded.

[MRT: Described in a separate post: What the heck happened on Friday 23-09-2022 that Liz Truss scuttled out of the chamber and went into hiding?. She was missing 3 days before and 3 days after. During this time she wrote supposedly a message to Blinken "It is done". What was it about? Was she asked to stop it or was she reporting progress or giving advance warning? This behavior could be connected to other events which happened on the same day, see here: 222 - The Classified Briefing - Cavoli, Nuland, Kahl, Douglas Sims II on 20-09-2022]

23 Sept 2022 - USA/NATO: The 2nd Transatlantic working dinner

Foreign Affairs Minister Bogdan Aurescu attended on Thursday a transatlantic working dinner of the EU and NATO foreign affairs ministers, a traditional event hosted by the US and carried out in New York, on the sidelines of the 77th Session of the United Nations (UN) General Assembly. 


NEW YORK

23 Sept 2022: Meeting between Baerbock and Lavrov at the UN General Assembly collapsed

A planned meeting between Federal Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Russian chief diplomat Sergei Lavrov in New York has fallen through.

"After they made their requests for negotiations with Sergei Lavrov on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly and received a proposed date from the Russian side, the EU delegations disappeared from the radar," criticized Russian Foreign Office spokeswoman Maria Zakharova on her Telegram channel on Friday.

[MRT: Germany knew, Russia knew, but Germany cancelled. Investigation hints that they tried to protect against the hybrid attack of a friendly state. Russia also knew something was up.] 

USA

24 Sept 2022 - USA @UnderSecStateP, Good to meet partner and friend Enrique Mora, 

Deputy Secretary General/Political Director, European External Action Service. Building an EU foreign policy. @enriquemora_ at #UNGA. We are committed to the enduring U.S-EU partnership on all our shared global priorities. 

25 Sept 2022 - USA: Vice President Kamala Harris to visit the USS Howard (DDG 83) in Yokosuka on Wednesday afternoon. 

[MRT: Was she sent to be at the safe place or just a normal typical day of a vice?] 

25 Sept 2022 - USA: Capt. Brian Weigelt, U.S. Naval Forces Europe-Africa Chaplain visited #USSGeorgeHWBush to speak with Sailors from our Command Religious Ministries Department. 0

[MRT: Last paying before suicidal/dangerous assignment? / They estimated a possible conflict.] 

25 Sept 2022 - USA/ROM: Joint Statement on the U.S.-Romanian Bilateral Defense Relationship

On September 24, 2022, U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs Celeste Wallander and Romanian State Secretary Simona Cojocaru met in Romania to discuss a range of bilateral defense and regional security issues.

[MRT: Looks like the US indeed used its operational and informational advantage]   

25 Sept 2022 - USA: POTUS: As we manage shifting geopolitical trendsthe United States will conduct itself as a reasonable leader. We do not seek conflict. But the United States will be unabashed in promoting our vision for a free, open, secure, and prosperous world. 


BERLIN

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Defense Ministry: 

As a result of the changed security situation

the roll call of the Territorial Command of the #Bundeswehr 

will take place tomorrow 

in the Julius Leber Barracks in Berlin in the presence of 

@Bundeskanzler and Minister Lambrecht

26 Sept 2022 - GER: The @TFK_Bundeswehr (Territorial Command of the Bundeswehr) 

has been put into service. The tasks assigned to the command are diverse. Lean structures speed up decision-making processes in order to support the Federal Government's ability to react and act, particularly in crisis situations.20 Sept 2022 - Under Secretary of Defense for Policy Dr. Colin Kahl virtually met with German Federal Ministry of Defence Political Director Dr. Jasper Wieck today to reaffirm the U.S.-Germany defense relationship.

26 Sept 2022 - GEROlaf Scholz tests positive for COVID-19, German chancellor isolates after catching coronavirus.

A government spokesman announced that Scholz has mild cold symptoms and is isolating in the chancellor’s apartment in the Federal Chancellery.

This week’s public appointments will be canceled. The chancellor wants to attend internal appointments and the scheduled meeting with the prime ministers of the federal states virtually,” a chancellery statement said.

Scholz just returned from a two-day trip to the Persian Gulf region, where he signed a gas deal with the United Arab Emirates.

26 - 27 Sept 2022 - USA/GER/FRA: 21st TSC and French Logistics Command partner to build interoperability

Maj. Gen. Stéphane Canitrot, commanding general, French Logistics Command, visited 21st Theater Sustainment Command Headquarters in Kaiserslautern, Germany for the first time on September 26-27.

U.S. Army Maj. Gen. James Smith, commanding general, 21st TSC, said building and strengthening relationships benefits both commands and a shared commitment enhances interoperability. “We must be deliberate,” said Smith.

The 21st Theater Sustainment Command executes assigned missions, plans contingency operations in the European theater; while also serving as a Joint Security Area Operations. In doing so, the 21st TSC not only ensures a theater capable of supporting routine operations, but also deterrence and contingency operations. The 21st TSC also enables and facilitates the rapid receiving and deploying of military forces to maintain a strong Europe and execute joint security area operations.  

OSLO 

26 Sept 2022 - NOR: The Minister of Defense will visit the Norwegian Navy at Haakonsvern on Monday 26 September / Bjørn Arild Gram | Ministry of Defence

Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram will visit Bergen on 26 September.

Gram will meet management and personnel at the Norwegian Navy's base at Haakonsvern. He will receive an orientation at the National Naval Operations Centre, visit the frigate squadron, Bogøytoppen, the minesweeper squadron and the corvette squadron. The Chief of the Norwegian Navy hosts the visit, which lasts the whole day.

26 Sept 2022 - NOR: Today, Defense Minister Bjørn Arild Gram is on his first visit

 to the Norwegian Navy. At Haakonsvern, he gets an insight into how the various squadrons and departments operate.

[The minister of defense at the operational command of Navy in times of worsening security situation. Whole day event when Nordstream is blown up. He knew. He was also the whistle-blower in Norfolk and later in Pentagon dealing with Austin.] 

26 Sept 2022 - NOR: State Secretary Eivind Vad Petersson attended a meeting with

 the marine insurance company Gard about challenges in connection with the sanctions against Russia. 

[MRT. Studying the case and implications, perhaps trying to understand how to frame the upcoming destruction?] 

26 Sept 2022 - NOR: Støre skips the opening of the new Baltic pipeline

[MRT: He knew, he was, after all, the whistle-blower

OPENING OF BALTIC PIPELINE

26 Sept 2022 - PL/DK/NOR: The launching ceremony of the #BalticPipe gas pipeline with

 participation of PM @MorawieckiM, PM of Denmark Mette Frederiksen & @prezydentpl, @AndrzejDuda. The Baltic Pipe is a strategic infrastructure project aimed at creating a new gas supply corridor on the European market. Instead of NOR PM a NOR Energy minister.

[MRT: So Denmark, Poland likely did not know. PL PM and DK PM were there but NOR PM switched with energy minister to attend some very lo event while his defence minister Gram spends whole day of Nordstream attack at the NOR Navy HQ.] 


BRUSSELS

26 Sept 2022 - NOR/NATO: Anita Nergaard @NorwayAmbNATO A great honour to meet @NATO Secretary General @jensstoltenberg today to discuss key political & defense issues facing Allies and partners in these challenging times. #WeAreNATO @NorwayMFA


26 Sept 2022 - NATO/EU: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen met with Jens Stoltenberg, NATO Secretary General. (See the -3D Fridays urgent Stoltenberg´s request - on NATO web press release pages.)

26 Sept 2022 - USA/EU: U.S. Mission to the EU, @US2EU National Security Advisor

@JakeSullivan46 met @EU_Commission EVP @TimmermansEU. They discussed 🇺🇸 🇪🇺 shared efforts to address the global climate crisis and transatlantic cooperation to address Russia’s weaponization of energy.

26 Sept 2022: NATO/BLG/DK/NED/NOR/FRA: Admiral Rob Bauer @CMC_NATO: 

It was a pleasure to meet with the new Permanent Representatives to #NATO from 🇧🇪, 🇩🇰, 🇳🇱, 🇳🇴, and the new 🇫🇷 Military Representative today. I am looking forward to working together with you to keep our Alliance safe!

AMSTERODAM

26 Sept 2022: DK, Morten Bødskov: @mfMorten    Visit to the good people (and dog) in Denmark's Special Operations Command. What skills, overview and will to make a difference! Impressive work. #dkpol @forsvaretdk

 [MRT: So Denmark perhaps knew something because they had ship in the area sniffing already... post here]

26 Sept 2022 - NOR/RU: Norway cancels Coast Guard visit to Murmansk

An unofficial visit to the port of Murmansk previously agreed upon between FSB Border Guards and the Norwegian Joint Headquarters will not take place.

 [MRT: No reason why so sudden change was given.] 

26 Sept 2022 - NOR: NOR embassy in FIN: Good discussions in #Helsinki 

between the 🇳🇴 Total Preparedness Commission #totalberedsapskommisjonen & 🇫🇮 ⁦@TKomitea⁩ on #ResilientCivilians, #Preparedness & #comprehensivesecurity.

 [MRT: Other posts explain that Finland got warning, they also were protecting their own key infrastructure. Post here.]  

 26 Sept 2022 - SWE: Royal Central, King Carl XVI Gustaf, Queen Silvia, Crown Princess Victoria and Prince Daniel will attend the Diplomatic Reception.

[MRT: Other posts explain that Sweden got warning, they also were protecting their own key infrastructure. Post here and here and here]

26 Sept 2022 - UK/SWE/DK/LAT: Brittiska Ambassaden Stockholm, @UKinSweden: 

Good neighbours... The British embassies work as a network in the Nordics and the Baltic states. Nice to have a meeting in Stockholm with visiting colleagues from 🇩🇰 🇱🇹 to talk about cooperation in energy, research and climate.

[MRT: Interesting UK-DK and UK-LAT diplomatic meeting.] 

LONDON

26 Sept 2022 - UK: According to the article, a phone hack revealed Truss sent a text to U.S. Secretary of State Anthony Blinken a few minutes before the explosion saying “It’s done.” 

26 Sept 2022 - UK: Tory MPs furious with Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng as pound crashes

[MRT: Actually once it was clear that the USA will back-up NATO which indirectly shields UK the pound rebounded and started to go up despite the Friday´s somehow messed up Mini-budget - post here ]

26 Sept 2022 - UK/RU: UK, Russian defence officials meet in London; 26 Sep 2022 (19:01 GMT)

The UK’s chief of defence staff has held talks with the Russian defence attaché at the Ministry of Defence in London.

Admiral Sir Tony Radakin and Colonel Maxim Elovik met as part of ongoing efforts to “strengthen military to military channels of communication” with Russia.

[MRT: Looks like the UK initiated a preventive de-escalation open channel diplomatic meeting just to make sure that the attack on Nordstream will not get out of hands and escalate further? Was that part of the plan or did USA demand that?]


RELATED POSTS:







***

***
Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

(retweet and follow)


 

Thursday, December 19, 2024

224 - Germany secures its own energy imports just before nordstream is blown up

 

How much did Germany really know? 

about the potential attack against Nod Stream?

Was the risk of changing security situation underestimated?




SUMMARY:

How much did Germany actually knew?

KEY TAKEAWAYS:

Nationalization of Uniper: In response to the energy crisis caused partly due to long term effects of sanctions on Russian energy and exacerbated by Russia halting Nord Stream 1 supplies, Germany nationalized Uniper, its largest gas importer.

Many meetings many top officials, issue described in separate post here. 

Chancellor Scholz's Initiatives: Chancellor Scholz actively pursued energy partnerships with Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar to substitute Russian gas imports.

LNG Shipments: These agreements secured vital LNG shipments to Germany, enhancing its energy security just before the Nord Stream attacks.

Assertive Energy Security: Despite the disruptions in Russian gas supplies, Scholz consistently maintained that Germany's energy security was intact. There was still hope for reopening Russian Nordstream 1 pipeline after solving temporary issues with turbines and INCOTERMS.

Speculations on Awareness: The timing of these energy deals, its successful closing with no known obstacles, just days before the Nord Stream sabotage, mixed with sudden worsening of the security situation in the Baltic sea, for example USA withdrawing its naval forces in a snap decision, meetings of top security representatives, diplomatic meetings, and due to other many data-points, the sum interpretation is that Germany had some awareness of a potential attack.

Was Germany underestimating the changing security landscape and how informed it truly was about the attack on subsea infrastructure? How so it succeeded?

The going thesis is that NOR blew a whistle to its allies, mainly Germany, Sweden, and independently USA. The protection against hybrid attacks is hard unless they materialize. Germany had policing boat Bamberg in the area, several planes monitoring the area. 

DATA:

19 Sept 2022 - GER: Scholz to visit Saudi Arabia as Germany seeks to replace lost energy supplies

21 Sept 2022 - GER: Europe’s Energy Crunch Pushes Germany To Nationalize Top Gas Firm—Months After France Makes Similar Move

Germany on Wednesday announced a deal to nationalize Uniper—the country’s biggest gas importer—in a move that comes months after neighboring France nationalized its biggest utility company EDF, as countries across Europe scramble to respond to an ongoing energy crisis sparked by Russia’s decision to completely cut off the supply of natural gas to the region via the critical Nord Stream 1 pipeline.

As part of the deal, the German government has agreed to acquire Finnish state-energy firm Fortum’s 78% stake in Uniper for nearly half a billion euros (nearly $480 million) raising its total stake in the company to 99%.

With the Nord Stream 1 pipeline being out of action, Russian gas supplies to Europe are now primarily flowing through Ukraine, but Moscow has threatened to shut this supply route as the G7, led by the U.S., moves to impose a global price cap on Russian oil.

Germany is not the first European country to nationalize a major utility provider in recent months. In July, the French government agreed to pay nearly €10 billion ($9.9 billion) to fully nationalize the electricity giant EDF, by acquiring the remaining 16% of the company’s shares that it did not already own.

Earlier this month, Russia warned that supplies through the key Nord Stream 1 pipeline will not resume until the West lifts all sanctions against it. Moscow argues the sanctions have prevented it from carrying out needed maintenance on the critical pipeline—an argument that European officials have dismissed.

[MRT: The issue was that sanctions were against NS2, then they spilled over to NS1 which made the maintenance and safe operation more difficult] 

23 Sept 2022: GER: Scholz confirms“we will get through this winter”

[MRT: Scholz was in the Middle East closing agreements for LNG shipments. They would go through the UK and through other LNG terminals as Germany was dependant on pipelines.]

Chancellor Olaf Scholz (64, SPD) believes that Germany's energy supply over the winter is secure from the current perspective.

With the switch to alternative gas supply sources and the construction of LNG terminals that has begun, but also with the continued operation of coal-fired power plants and the nuclear reserve, the conditions have been created, he said on Friday at a celebration of the 25th anniversary of the IG BCE union in Hanover. "All of this has contributed to the fact that we can now say: We will get through this winter. Who would have thought that a few months ago?

[MRT: The switch to alternative gas supplies enhances that the topic was also about the Nordstream which was at the moment not delivering] 

24 Sept 2022 - GER: Energy trumps human rights as Scholz visits Riyadh

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Scholz secures gas deal with Abu Dhabi amid pressure on human rights

Scholz visited the three Gulf regions of Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, and Qatar during his two-day trip from Saturday to Sunday.

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Germany secures more gas shipments as Scholz visits Gulf

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Germany’s Scholz inks gas deal with United Arab Emirates

25 Sept 2022 - GER/UAE: UAE agrees LNG deal with Germany as Berlin looks to replace Russian gas

Chancellor Olaf Scholz visits Gulf states in drive to secure energy imports

The United Arab Emirates has agreed a deal to supply liquefied natural gas to Germany as Chancellor Olaf Scholz visited the Gulf state as part of a regional tour seeking to drum up alternatives to Russian energy. Abu Dhabi National Oil Company will supply Germany utility RWE with 137,000 cubic metres of LNG later this year, which will be the first delivery to the under-construction import terminal on the north-west coast at Brunsbüttel,

RWE and the UAE state media said. Adnoc was expected to reserve another five LNG cargoes for German customers in 2023, a person briefed on the matter said on Sunday.

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Scholz wants closer energy cooperation with the Emirates

Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) wants to further promote cooperation with the United Arab Emirates in the energy sector. You already have "a whole series" of diesel and liquid gas projects with the Gulf state, said the SPD politician on Sunday in Abu Dhabi. He emphasized how important it is to rely on as many providers as possible when supplying energy. Dependence on one supplier “will certainly not happen to us again,” emphasized Scholz.

[MRT: Note Truss statements and ultimatums to Germany to cut energy ties to Russia: "107 - About Liz Truss and ending the EU´s strategic dependency on Russian hydrocarbon"   ...and ...  "107 - About Liz Truss and ending the EU´s strategic dependency on Russian hydrocarbon"] 

Until the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine, Germany still got 55 percent of its natural gas from Russia. Deliveries from there have now largely stopped and German gas suppliers are looking for new sources of supply. The United Arab Emirates has the seventh largest natural gas reserves in the world. A contract for the supply of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to Germany was expected to be signed during the Chancellor's visit.

[MRT: It is yet to be seen conditions under which this contract has been signed. If it is under not so good conditions then that means they knew that after Nord Stream pipelines are destroyed their negotiation position would be weaker. It was one day to explosion.] 

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Habeck expects hydrogen and LNG deals this weekend

Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) will conclude contracts in the areas of hydrogen and liquefied natural gas (LNG) on the Arabian Peninsula at the weekend. This is what Economics Minister Robert Habeck (Greens) says with regard to the United Arab Emirates. "Persistent effort leads to success."

Habeck continued: Germany is currently having to buy expensive energy elsewhere because there have been no Russian deliveries. This will cost the country 60 billion euros this year and 100 billion next year, roughly two percent of economic output. But, according to Habeck: The investment capacity of the German economy and industry “must be maintained.” 

[MRT: Note that the Nord Stream 2 AG project was only postponed by delayed certification but not cancelled in eternity. Would Nord Stream 2 AG not go forward then there was a high chance for Gazprom arbitration against German government - here. Also, the issue of turbines was likely a temporary one and linked to wrong INCOTERM papers from UK/Canadian subsidiary which sent them, re-certification, reissuance of fixed turbines was needed here. For Russia it would be likely more profitable to open Nord Stream 2 and shift gas through it instead of sending it through Nordstream AG (NS1) due to full ownership.]   

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Chancellor Scholz believes energy supplies are secure

Despite the interruption in Russian gas deliveries, Chancellor Scholz believes that the energy supply in Germany is secure. Since the beginning of the year, the federal government has made far-reaching decisions to ensure "that we can ensure the supply of coal, oil and gas and that the electricity supply continues to function." It can therefore be said today: "We'll probably get through." The Chancellor also referred to the global impact of the Russian war of aggression against Ukraine. "We hear the news of the destruction, of the many deaths. But we also know: Russia will not win this war," he said. 

25 Sept 2022 - GER: Defense Ministry: As a result of the changed security situation,
 
the roll call of the Territorial Command of the #Bundeswehr will take place tomorrow in the Julius Leber Barracks in Berlin in the presence of @Bundeskanzler and Minister Lambrecht.
25 Sept 2022 - GER: Scholz wants to avoid escalation between Russia and NATO

After the mobilization of hundreds of thousands of Russian reservists for the war of aggression against Ukraine, Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD) confirmed that he wanted to avoid an escalation between Russia and NATO at all costs. Germany has always supported Ukraine comprehensively, but at the same time ensured that such an escalation does not occur, said the SPD politician on the ARD “Tagesthemen”. "We will continue on exactly this path."

[MRT. So all three Scholz, Biden, Blinken and Stoltenberg try to send official messages on 25th, the day before the event happens and try to "de-escalate" to prevent wider conflict. This spells out a pre-knowledge and management of the event.] 

7:16 p.m.: Scholz - Staying the course even after Putin's declaration

Chancellor Olaf Scholz announces that he will stick to his course even after ordering partial Russian mobilization.

[MRT: The mobilization has happened already on 21st. Security had to have already pre-knowledge that it will happen so the late, 4 day delay in the statement is puzzling. There could be another reason for that statement like the worsening situation in the Baltic sea as shown here

If Russian President Vladimir Putin were to threaten to use nuclear weapons again, “we would say again: that is unacceptable. But at the same time, we remain on our measured, decisive course to support Ukraine and prevent an escalation of the war beyond that between Russia and Ukraine. And that's exactly how we will continue to do it," Scholz told ARD Tagesthemen according to the preliminary report.

[MRT: Note that Russian nuclear positioning was aimed directly and only against London, Truss and Boris Johnson and included warnings against attacking Russia. Was the West worried that the known attack on Russian asset - Nordstream - COULD spark gradual worsening of security, out of hands escalation leading to nuclear exchange???] 

Germany will also remain on its current course when it comes to supplying weapons. It remains the case that Germany does not go it alone. 

26 Sept 2022 - GER: Olaf Scholz tests positive for COVID-19, German chancellor isolates after catching coronavirus.

A government spokesman announced that Scholz has mild cold symptoms and is isolating in the chancellor’s apartment in the Federal Chancellery.

This week’s public appointments will be canceled. The chancellor wants to attend internal appointments and the scheduled meeting with the prime ministers of the federal states virtually,” a chancellery statement said.

Scholz just returned from a two-day trip to the Persian Gulf region, where he signed a gas deal with the United Arab Emirates. 

 

NORDSTREAM IS BLOWN UP LATER ON MONDAY 26TH OF SEPTEMBER 


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