Thursday, December 21, 2023

121 - Hersh´s claim vs Hard data - and - Mortymer´s Nordstream hypothesis recap


Just read and see...

This post compares Seymour Hersh´s claim to my data-set.
Each his main point is debunked or explained.

The 2nd part sorts my investigation into logical groups.
The master data sheet will not be publicly available.
Researchers and journalists can request private access (on Patreon).
For contacting me use my twitter account (see bio).

(AS ALWAYS: Simple graphics,
all data is properly dates with links to sources
red - important, blue - own input)


The core of the Hersh´s claim is:

  1. Biden´s administration has planned how to take down Nordstream pipelines very early in 2022
  2. Biden himself admitted they will take them down if Russia enters Ukraine
  3. Explosives were planted during NATO´s Baltops naval exercise
  4. Guilty is the Kaersarge group with Norweigean minehunters 
  5. Norway was active participant
  6. US Poseidon 8 plane dropped a buoy which remotely triggered charges
  7. Nuland and her pile of rusting junk metal statement  

EACH single point commented:

  1. Biden´s administration has planned how to take down Nordstream pipelines very early in 2022
    -> This data-set does not support such finding AND no such data to support this were found.
    -> There is no evidence of political positioning of USA for it to execute the mission, actually the opposite. The USA, after the 19-09-2022 tried to de-escalate the crisis to prevent war - here.
    -> The USA closed in 2021 "Merkel´s deal" that if Russia enters Ukraine the NS2 will not be certified - here and here
    -> The UK, after Brexit, lost all legal ways how to stop Russian energy expansion - here
    -> The UK was voicing very much for EU to stop course of its energy policy - here
    -> There is no evidence of USA other naval forces getting into position would the crisis get out of hand, the USA actually left Baltic sea on 21-22-09-2022 due to risk to its own security - here. 
    -> This data set shows that the USA was actually supporting Germany in protecting pipelines since Baltops exercises - here
    -> The USA actually found out about the danger to Nordstream and warned its allies in June,
    The release of this news was 27-09-2022 as a part of PR after the USA left Baltic sea - here. 
    ->The ONLY data I found about US divers was here - US-UK training mission in Florida

  2. Biden himself admitted they will take them down, unspecified answer how
    -> Biden spoke ONLY about Nordstream 2, the prime target was the NS1: video here
    -> Listen carefully, he describes the Merkel´s deal he just re-signed with GER new chancellor Scholz. He clearly states the condition "IF Russia does X then..." which means that NS2 will not get the certification and that is what happened, both countries kept their promise - here.
    -> This investigation shows that Biden and Scholz were re-signing Merkel´s deal here, here
    -> Biden originally allowed NS2 in June 2021, for USA it is not an issue of national security but is for the UK as many time stated here and here.
    -> Note that USA understood well that GER needs energy diversification and was ok with NS1 but was against over-reliance of its key ally on Russia - here. 
    -> Compare this with what was the official narrative of the UK and specially Truss narrative here

  3. Explosives were planted during NATO´s Baltops naval exercise
    -> This claim looks very odd. The remote trigger by passing plane by dropping a sono-buoy with the timer to be still postponed allowing deniability? Yet planes have trackers - here.
    -> The more complex the operation is the higher risk something could go wrong.
    -> Several experts e.g. FRA navy deep diver, or DK navy experts point to sub-surface approach - here and here.
    -> This investigation has found a evidence of several states having hydro-acoustic data about submarine/mini-submarine/large submersible-drone operating in the area from 19-25 September. 
    -> All September naval exercises included anti-submarine part, there were several ASW helicopters staying long in the area flying in paths resembling anti-submarine operation.
    -> It is possible that the claim has been created in order to allow explanation of possible sono-buoy if found. Exercises: POL+POR, GER+LIT+FRA+FIN, SWE.
    -> The mission to attack Nordstream was highly complex in contested area under constant surveillance of several states, surface approach would be very risky - here
    -> Large navies do have very high-end capabilities and well trained deep divers who are accustomed to work under stress. They exercise different options, e.g. being left on the open sea. There is no point to use low tech on high end target in nofailure-allowed type of mission here
    -> The closer to the 26-09-2022 the better chance of concealment - here
    -> The longer time from the 26-09-2022 the higher risk of discovery - here
    -> The window of opportunity is from 17 July 2022 when Nordstream run internal (pigging) and external (visual) checks due to yearly maintenance. It is done by 3rd independent parties and is required for re-insurance. Explosives/charges could be found 

  4. Guilty is the Kaersarge group with Norweigean minehunters 
    -> Norway was not the country to blame but the country which found out the UK´s plan - here.
    -> Norway (PM Støre and Defence minister Gram) actually warned both USA and its EU allies. The USA informed France and Germany that the area is unsafe for them and that they need to takeover the security of the pipeline the USA was anyway against - here
    -> As a result of Russian nuclear positioning - here and snap Russian anti submarine exercise - here - was conducted near future blast. 

    -> Is the USA culpable? My data-set does not support such data but this investigation shows that it was the UK who planned and executed the mission. The USA left the Baltic sea and started to de-escalate worrying that the crisis could  grow into next European war and possibly in the worse case scenario even a nuclear exchange.

  5. Norway was active participant and wanted to gain large profit

    -> Norway was actually announcing willingness to lower energy exports and domestic prices were too high, their largest customer is the UK whose competitiveness could be effected - here
    -> Norway actually blew a whistle on 19-09-2022 as their security seemed to learn the plans of Truss government - here
    -> Here are more details about the NOR not trusting NATO security and signing separate bilateral defence treaty with the USA just before the Nordstream is hit - here

  6. US Poseidon 8 plane dropped a buoy which remotely triggered charges
    -> This data based investigation is elegantly able to explain the Poseidon P-8 flight from Iceland - here
    -> The USA after finding out about the impending UK´s rogue attack on Nordstream (and perhaps other diversions) was feeling insecure and closed direct bileteral defence agreement just before the Nordstream happened - here. The USA started to feel also uneasy and the crisis as deepening. Putin and his advisors made statements that Russia will protect its territory with weapons. Gazprom is 51% owned by Russian state and Nordstream 2 AG is a doughter company fully owned by Gazprom, incorporated in Switzerland. 
    -> This data based investigation is elegantly able to explain Sikorski moment - here

  7. Nuland and her pile of rusting junk metal at the bottom of the sea statement
    -> The USA acted opportunistically - UK had a diplomatic mission to USA shortly before, during and after the mission. First on unofficial level, then on deeper - meetings were held.
    -> It is unclear how and when exactly the UK informed USA or whether the USA asked the UK about their plans. The special relationship pause hints to USA not agreeing first with the mission.
    -> There was a political split between the US-UK governments and the "special relationship" was even put to pause until it is clarified what was going.
    -> Data point that UK officials arrived to Norfolk on 20-09-2022 one day after NOR warning.
    -> More research is necessary to find out who knew what and how things were managed.
SUMMARY:


This investigation runs from 27-09-2022  
 In early October 2022 I realized a UK submarine S-120 Ambush 
just returned to its home port Faslane in Scotland. 
It was visited by a UK Defense Minister, 
He visited submariners in the sub, not in some meeting room. 
Stated that "Ukrainian war is our war"
  

I asked  DoD shortly after:
 
I made a brief about the Nordstream listing known facts 
It included a thesis that the UK was the only country 
which could be culpable of the deed:
100 shades of Nordstream sabotage I, II,III. 
Like many discussed ad nauseum, my claim had head and heels. 
People like the data I found and shared, wanted more. So I started the blog. 
In January 2023 a friend asked me to contact investigative journalists. 
After appeal by another one I did contacted Larrisa Ward. 
This was before Hersh came with his story.


MORTYMER´S NORDSTREAM HYPOTHESIS

THE DATA - THE EVIDENCE


THE USA-GER  NORDSTREAM POLITICS
How the Nordstream 2 did not got its certification
Was the Nordstream 2 used as an energy weapon?
About the GER-USA Nordstream 2 AG deal
Data show Biden has not ordered Nordstream destruction

THE USA-UK NORDSTREAM POLITICS
About the UK-USA "special relationship"

"MISSION NORDSTREAM", SUBMARINES related
Whose submarine visited Bornholm Deep before the Nordstream was blown up?
The UK chain of command toward SBS

BRITAIN´S NOT JUST HARSH RETHORICS
Mission accomplished - UK - from Energy Importer to Energy Exporter

The Nordstream affair, West Red herrings and Mats Ljungqvist - the SWE investigator - PART 1
The Nordstream affair, East Red herrings and Mats Ljungqvist - the SWE investigator - PART 2
Red herrings in the east, red herrings in the west, red herrings everywhere - PART 3

LIST OF STATES AS SUSPECTS:
Russian Motives to blow Nordstream pipelines
Norway energy exports to EU were at the limit. Why to blow Nordstream then?


OWN INVESTIGATIONS related (other)

ORIGINAL EARLY POSTS


Closing remarks: Here are some Q and A about my investigation.

APPEAL TO JOURNALISTS  INVESTIGATE!
ASK POLITICIANS QUESTIONS! 
IS MY HYPOTHESIS CORRECT?
OFFICIAL INVESTIGATION MUST BE OPEN TO PUBLIC!!!

***
Crime is crime
and it doesn't matter who did it,
the identity must be revealed,
it's justice or another crime.


***
- INDEX -

***
Uncovering the truth took over two years of self-funded, tireless investigation.
I decided to open it for free, no paywall, despite huge investment.
Because the truth matters.
Please consider supporting my work with a donation.

Every bit helps keep this mission alive!

mortymer001
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